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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.002 | $2 | Dec 5, 2025 |
|
| buy |
| 420 |
| $0.007 |
| $2.94 |
| Dec 5, 2025 |
 Any fleeing Texas House Democrats arrested by Friday?Yes | buy | 244.9 | $0.049 | $12 | Aug 5, 2025 |
 US-China tariff agreement before 90 day deadline?No | sell | 48.78 | $0.196 | $9.56 | Aug 5, 2025 |
| Any fleeing Texas House Democrats arrested by Friday?Yes | buy | 322.8 | $0.050 | $16 | Aug 5, 2025 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by August 31?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.018 | $18.1 | Aug 4, 2025 |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by August 31?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.022 | $22 | Aug 4, 2025 |
 XRP Up or Down - August 3, 10AM ETDown | buy | 66.67 | $0.030 | $2 | Aug 3, 2025 |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by August 31?Yes | sell | 908.59 | $0.026 | $23.62 | Aug 3, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Pope Francis in August?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Aug 1, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in August?Yes | buy | 18.18 | $0.110 | $2 | Aug 1, 2025 |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by August 31?Yes | buy | 808.59 | $0.026 | $21 | Aug 1, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 465.34 | $0.044 | $20.41 | Aug 1, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 430.86 | $0.051 | $22 | Aug 1, 2025 |
 Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Israel in July?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Jul 31, 2025 |
 Obama federally charged in 2025?Yes | buy | 17.72 | $0.056 | $1 | Jul 31, 2025 |
 Solana Up or Down - July 31, 10AM ETUp | buy | 13.75 | $0.073 | $1 | Jul 31, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: AugustNo | buy | 11.11 | $0.180 | $2 | Jul 31, 2025 |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Brazil in July?Yes | buy | 58.82 | $0.017 | $1 | Jul 31, 2025 |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Germany in July?Yes | buy | 262.75 | $0.004 | $1 | Jul 31, 2025 |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with India in July?Yes | buy | 18.18 | $0.110 | $2 | Jul 31, 2025 |
 Missing Epstein cell footage released before August?Yes | buy | 396.26 | $0.005 | $2 | Jul 31, 2025 |
 Trump x Elon talk by August 31?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.100 | $2 | Jul 31, 2025 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by October 31?Yes | buy | 11.92 | $0.120 | $1.43 | Jul 30, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Jul 30, 2025 |
| XRP Up or Down - July 29, 11PM ETUp | buy | 4.26 | $0.470 | $2 | Jul 30, 2025 |
 Will the Bank of Canada announce an increase at the July meeting?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Jul 30, 2025 |
 Will four or more people dissent the Fed decision?Yes | buy | 106 | $0.038 | $4 | Jul 30, 2025 |
 Trump appoints special prosecutor for Epstein case by July 31?Yes | sell | 444.44 | $0.003 | $1.33 | Jul 30, 2025 |
 Will Prince Andrew be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes | sell | 2.22 | $0.430 | $0.95 | Jul 30, 2025 |
| Will Hillary Clinton be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes | sell | 6.25 | $0.120 | $0.75 | Jul 30, 2025 |
| Will Barack Obama be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes | sell | 12.5 | $0.070 | $0.88 | Jul 30, 2025 |
| Will Alan Dershowitz be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes | sell | 2.7 | $0.340 | $0.92 | Jul 30, 2025 |
| Will Bill Clinton be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes | sell | 3.84 | $0.500 | $1.92 | Jul 30, 2025 |
| Will Oprah Winfrey be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes | sell | 22.22 | $0.080 | $1.78 | Jul 30, 2025 |
| Will three people dissent the Fed decision?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.030 | $0.6 | Jul 30, 2025 |
| Will Bill Clinton be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes | buy | 1.92 | $0.520 | $1 | Jul 29, 2025 |
| Will Bill Clinton be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes | buy | 1.92 | $0.520 | $1 | Jul 29, 2025 |
 Will Astronomer CEO Andy Byron sue Coldplay?Yes | sell | 21.72 | $0.078 | $1.69 | Jul 29, 2025 |
| Will Alan Dershowitz be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes | buy | 2.7 | $0.370 | $1 | Jul 29, 2025 |
| Will Prince Andrew be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes | buy | 2.22 | $0.450 | $1 | Jul 29, 2025 |
| Will Kevin Spacey be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | Jul 29, 2025 |
| Will Hillary Clinton be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Jul 29, 2025 |
| Will Barack Obama be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Jul 29, 2025 |
| Will Jay-Z be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Jul 29, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 34.48 | $0.058 | $2 | Jul 29, 2025 |
| Will three people dissent the Fed decision?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.100 | $2 | Jul 29, 2025 |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by August 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.060 | $6 | Jul 29, 2025 |
 Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau confirmed relationship by August 31?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.140 | $2 | Jul 29, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 20K | $0.004 | $80 | Jul 29, 2025 |