Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | No | 106.61 | $0.837 | $92.59 | +$3.33 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?No | buy | 106.61 | $0.837 | $89.26 | 2d ago |
 |
| sell |
| 90.81 |
| $0.990 |
| $89.9 |
| 3d ago |
| Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?No | buy | 30.32 | $0.750 | $22.74 | 14d ago |
 Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.749 | $22.47 | 14d ago |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 38.18 | $0.932 | $35.58 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.745 | $22.35 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.997 | $7.98 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 9 | $0.591 | $5.32 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | sell | 141 | $0.890 | $125.49 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 64.5 | $0.830 | $53.54 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 153.1 | $0.330 | $50.52 | May 23, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | sell | 76.5 | $0.660 | $50.49 | May 23, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | sell | 50.09 | $0.830 | $41.57 | May 5, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 33.67 | $0.610 | $20.54 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | sell | 21.26 | $0.966 | $20.54 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | sell | 21.25 | $0.930 | $19.76 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 27 | $0.410 | $11.07 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 17.22 | $0.760 | $13.09 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No | sell | 4.65 | $0.850 | $3.95 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?No | sell | 5 | $0.878 | $4.39 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?No | sell | 5 | $0.938 | $4.69 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 6.8 | $0.720 | $4.9 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?No | sell | 5 | $0.930 | $4.65 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 5 | $0.720 | $3.6 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.770 | $3.85 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 7 | $0.720 | $5.04 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?No | sell | 5.48 | $0.920 | $5.04 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-04-18?No | buy | 7.9 | $0.880 | $6.95 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 6.49 | $0.770 | $5 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No | buy | 4.65 | $0.860 | $4 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?No | buy | 5 | $0.850 | $4.25 | Apr 11, 2026 |
 Over 400 US flights cancelled on April 5?Yes | buy | 6.07 | $0.989 | $6 | Apr 5, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 31?No | sell | 19.49 | $0.999 | $19.47 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?No | buy | 6.79 | $0.908 | $6.17 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?No | buy | 19.49 | $0.947 | $18.46 | Mar 30, 2026 |
 Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 18.66 | $0.988 | $18.44 | Mar 29, 2026 |
 Will Germany win on 2026-03-30?Yes | buy | 6.17 | $0.810 | $5 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?No | buy | 5.49 | $0.911 | $5 | Mar 29, 2026 |
 Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?No | buy | 18.12 | $0.982 | $17.79 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?No | buy | 10.33 | $0.968 | $10 | Mar 27, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No | buy | 10.74 | $0.940 | $10.1 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 Champions League?No | sell | 10.11 | $0.999 | $10.1 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 Champions League?No | buy | 10.11 | $0.989 | $10 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No | buy | 18.51 | $0.890 | $16.47 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?No | buy | 5 | $0.954 | $4.77 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?No | buy | 10 | $0.975 | $9.75 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?No | buy | 5 | $0.951 | $4.76 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?No | buy | 5 | $0.940 | $4.7 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?No | buy | 40.44 | $0.999 | $40.4 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?No | buy | 40.4 | $0.929 | $37.55 | Mar 11, 2026 |