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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Yes | 0.32 | $0.530 | $0.04 | -$0.13 |
Will Alberta join the US? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | sell | 13 | $0.890 | $11.57 | Jun 25, 2026 |
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| Yes |
| 0.41 |
| $0.049 |
| $0.01 |
| -$0.01 |
| buy |
| 13 |
| $0.890 |
| $11.57 |
| Jun 25, 2026 |
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | sell | 38 | $0.850 | $32.3 | Jun 24, 2026 |
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 17 | $0.850 | $14.45 | Jun 24, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 46 | $0.957 | $44.02 | Jun 23, 2026 |
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?Yes | buy | 37 | $0.200 | $7.4 | Jun 23, 2026 |
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?Yes | buy | 151 | $0.180 | $27.18 | Jun 22, 2026 |
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 72 | $0.115 | $8.28 | Jun 20, 2026 |
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 166 | $0.115 | $19.09 | Jun 20, 2026 |
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 166 | $0.113 | $18.76 | Jun 20, 2026 |
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | sell | 49 | $0.942 | $46.16 | Jun 20, 2026 |
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | buy | 49 | $0.942 | $46.16 | Jun 20, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No | sell | 62 | $0.690 | $42.78 | Jun 19, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No | buy | 33 | $0.670 | $22.11 | Jun 18, 2026 |
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 13 | $0.330 | $4.29 | Jun 18, 2026 |
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 41.23 | $0.310 | $12.78 | Jun 18, 2026 |
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | sell | 48 | $0.910 | $43.68 | Jun 18, 2026 |
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 28 | $0.910 | $25.48 | Jun 18, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes | sell | 11.55 | $0.370 | $4.27 | Jun 17, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes | buy | 130 | $0.380 | $49.4 | Jun 17, 2026 |
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | sell | 10 | $0.420 | $4.2 | Jun 15, 2026 |
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 45 | $0.420 | $18.9 | Jun 15, 2026 |
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?No | buy | 10 | $0.942 | $9.42 | Jun 14, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 81 | $0.460 | $37.26 | Jun 13, 2026 |
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 76 | $0.147 | $11.17 | Jun 12, 2026 |
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 46 | $0.930 | $42.78 | Jun 12, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 63.84 | $0.330 | $21.07 | Jun 9, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 116 | $0.330 | $38.28 | Jun 9, 2026 |
Will Alberta join the US?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.040 | $0.32 | Jun 8, 2026 |
Will Alberta join the US?Yes | sell | 102 | $0.050 | $5.1 | Jun 5, 2026 |
Will Alberta join the US?Yes | buy | 169 | $0.049 | $8.27 | Jun 5, 2026 |
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | buy | 43 | $0.980 | $42.14 | Jun 5, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 66 | $0.510 | $33.66 | Jun 3, 2026 |
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | sell | 48 | $0.988 | $47.42 | Jun 1, 2026 |
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | buy | 48 | $0.986 | $47.33 | Jun 1, 2026 |
US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | sell | 80 | $0.530 | $42.4 | May 31, 2026 |
US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | buy | 80.32 | $0.530 | $42.57 | May 31, 2026 |
Will Alberta join the US?Yes | sell | 73 | $0.043 | $3.14 | May 31, 2026 |
Will Alberta join the US?Yes | buy | 73 | $0.043 | $3.14 | May 31, 2026 |
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?No | buy | 45 | $0.966 | $43.47 | May 30, 2026 |
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 60 | $0.440 | $26.4 | May 29, 2026 |
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | buy | 61 | $0.710 | $43.31 | May 29, 2026 |
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 142 | $0.063 | $8.95 | May 28, 2026 |
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 142 | $0.066 | $9.37 | May 28, 2026 |
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 42 | $0.410 | $17.22 | May 28, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 67 | $0.630 | $42.21 | May 27, 2026 |
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes | buy | 71 | $0.410 | $29.11 | May 26, 2026 |
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 41 | $0.310 | $12.71 | May 25, 2026 |
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 43 | $0.984 | $42.31 | May 24, 2026 |
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No | sell | 70 | $0.666 | $46.62 | May 24, 2026 |