Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | Yes | 7.17 | $0.360 | $4.26 | +$1.68 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during RNC Convention?No | buy | 8.32 | $0.310 | $2.58 | 3h ago |
 |
| No |
| 8.32 |
| $0.310 |
| $2.46 |
| -$0.12 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? | No | 6.97 | $0.370 | $2.34 | -$0.24 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? | No | 2.82 | $0.550 | $1.18 | -$0.37 |
 Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 Week of September 7 2026? | Yes | 5.73 | $0.450 | $0.63 | -$1.95 |
| buy |
| 5.61 |
| $0.460 |
| $2.58 |
| 1d ago |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 Week of September 7 2026?Yes | buy | 5.73 | $0.450 | $2.58 | 2d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?No | buy | 6.97 | $0.370 | $2.58 | 2d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 7.17 | $0.360 | $2.58 | 6d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?No | buy | 2.82 | $0.550 | $1.55 | 7d ago |
 S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on September 2?No | buy | 7.59 | $0.340 | $2.58 | 7d ago |
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.61 | $0.460 | $2.58 | 8d ago |
 Will Andy Burnham say "Nuclear" during the next PMQ?No | buy | 3.63 | $0.710 | $2.58 | 9d ago |
 SSI public model released by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 11.25 | $0.229 | $2.58 | 17d ago |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August?Yes | buy | 4.34 | $0.595 | $2.58 | 18d ago |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August?No | buy | 6.29 | $0.410 | $2.58 | 18d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?Yes | buy | 10.75 | $0.240 | $2.58 | 19d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?No | buy | 5.73 | $0.450 | $2.58 | 20d ago |
| S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on August 19?Yes | buy | 2.84 | $0.910 | $2.58 | 22d ago |
 Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $330 Week of August 17 2026?No | buy | 6.29 | $0.410 | $2.58 | 22d ago |
 Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $186 Week of August 17 2026?Yes | buy | 8.32 | $0.310 | $2.58 | 23d ago |
| Will Trump say "Hell" 7+ times during remarks in New York?Yes | buy | 6.97 | $0.370 | $2.58 | 28d ago |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?No | buy | 3.35 | $0.770 | $2.58 | 29d ago |
 Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $304 Week of August 10 2026?Yes | buy | 5.16 | $0.500 | $2.58 | Aug 11, 2026 |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 11.22 | $0.230 | $2.58 | Aug 11, 2026 |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 15?No | buy | 3.49 | $0.740 | $2.58 | Aug 11, 2026 |
 Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $495 Week of August 10 2026?No | buy | 11.73 | $0.220 | $2.58 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $236 Week of August 10 2026?No | buy | 3.74 | $0.690 | $2.58 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 11.22 | $0.230 | $2.58 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 7.59 | $0.340 | $2.58 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 10, 2026?No | buy | 3.53 | $0.730 | $2.58 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will Hims & Hers Health (HIMS) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 5.61 | $0.460 | $2.58 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Magnet" during Friday roundtable?No | buy | 5.06 | $0.510 | $2.58 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 7?Down | buy | 6.45 | $0.400 | $2.58 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Transgender" during Friday roundtable?No | buy | 3.58 | $0.720 | $2.58 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | buy | 3.44 | $0.750 | $2.58 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $3.50 Week of August 3 2026?Yes | buy | 10.75 | $0.240 | $2.58 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.99 | $0.369 | $2.58 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Under Armour (UAA) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 4.78 | $0.540 | $2.58 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | buy | 11.73 | $0.220 | $2.58 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.1 | $0.630 | $2.58 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?No | buy | 11.22 | $0.230 | $2.58 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will Disney say "Moana" during earnings call?Yes | buy | 3.63 | $0.710 | $2.58 | Aug 4, 2026 |