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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 503.47 | $0.921 | $484.09 | +$20.32 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | buy | 144 | $0.945 | $136.08 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 166.88 |
| $0.829 |
| $144.35 |
| +$6.03 |
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 167 | $0.161 | $24.22 | -$2.69 |
| sell |
| 40 |
| $0.965 |
| $38.6 |
| Mar 8, 2026 |
| Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after March 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 80 | $0.001 | $0.08 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 45.62 | $0.032 | $1.46 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 80 | $0.002 | $0.16 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.015 | $2.25 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.120 | $24 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.840 | $168 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 3.4 | $0.110 | $0.37 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 19 | $0.170 | $3.23 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 18.88 | $0.820 | $15.48 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | buy | 128.47 | $0.910 | $116.91 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 68 | $0.007 | $0.48 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 68 | $0.019 | $1.29 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 68 | $0.968 | $65.82 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 13 | $0.860 | $11.18 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.087 | $3.48 | Feb 22, 2026 |
| No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 35.58 | $0.887 | $31.56 | Feb 22, 2026 |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 41 | $0.090 | $3.69 | Feb 22, 2026 |
| No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 41.96 | $0.887 | $37.22 | Feb 22, 2026 |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 83.63 | $0.089 | $7.43 | Feb 22, 2026 |
| No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 84.18 | $0.886 | $74.58 | Feb 22, 2026 |
| No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.886 | $53.16 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 61.5 | $0.089 | $5.47 | Feb 21, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.031 | $0.93 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.025 | $0.75 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?Yes | buy | 13.2 | $0.934 | $12.33 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 107 | $0.007 | $0.75 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 40.68 | $0.113 | $4.6 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 51 | $0.111 | $5.66 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.109 | $0.55 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 36.7 | $0.840 | $30.83 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.007 | $0.56 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.007 | $0.56 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.840 | $33.6 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 25.36 | $0.109 | $2.76 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.840 | $33.6 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.109 | $4.35 | Feb 21, 2026 |
 Will Carlos Alcaraz win a calendar Grand Slam in 2026?Yes | sell | 60 | $0.081 | $4.86 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| Will no male player win a calendar Grand Slam in 2026?Yes | sell | 60 | $0.900 | $54 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 148 | $0.160 | $23.68 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 148 | $0.830 | $122.84 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. collect between $500b and $1t in revenue in 2025?Yes | buy | 73 | $0.003 | $0.22 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?Yes | buy | 73 | $0.050 | $3.65 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?Yes | buy | 73 | $0.024 | $1.75 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?Yes | buy | 73 | $0.918 | $67.01 | Feb 18, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the February decision?Yes | buy | 18.5 | $0.990 | $18.32 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. collect between $500b and $1t in revenue in 2025?Yes | buy | 23 | $0.003 | $0.07 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.024 | $0.6 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.050 | $1.25 | Feb 18, 2026 |