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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceArgentina | sell | 2.78K | $0.375 | $1.04K | Jul 19, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 5.55K |
| $0.360 |
| $2K |
| Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?Yes | sell | 315 | $0.340 | $107.15 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?Yes | buy | 705.09 | $0.396 | $279.49 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: KhameneiYes | sell | 500.46 | $0.003 | $1.5 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: KhameneiYes | sell | 434.16 | $0.023 | $9.99 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: KhameneiYes | buy | 357 | $0.020 | $7.14 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: KhameneiYes | buy | 515.17 | $0.022 | $11.33 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: KhameneiYes | buy | 62.45 | $0.018 | $1.12 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?No | buy | 12.76K | $0.016 | $204.16 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of February?No | sell | 2.6K | $0.999 | $2.6K | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 8, 2026?Yes | sell | 32.69 | $0.780 | $25.5 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 8, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.33K | $0.800 | $6.67K | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?No | buy | 13.37K | $0.220 | $2.94K | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?Yes | sell | 45.69K | $0.003 | $149.22 | Feb 22, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 45.69K | $0.040 | $1.84K | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | sell | 7.63K | $0.090 | $686.8 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Odds of Khamenei out by February over 30% in January?Yes | sell | 462.68 | $0.001 | $0.46 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 5, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.88K | $0.230 | $2.04K | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | buy | 1.5K | $0.231 | $346.66 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.230 | $22.95 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | buy | 5.88K | $0.220 | $1.29K | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $90 by end of February?No | sell | 91 | $0.011 | $1 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of February?No | buy | 89.51 | $0.731 | $65.46 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $85 by end of February?No | buy | 3.58K | $0.030 | $108.43 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $90 by end of February?No | buy | 9.94K | $0.020 | $203.12 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $95 by end of February?No | buy | 8.71K | $0.010 | $84.8 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of February?No | buy | 1.32K | $0.816 | $1.08K | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of February?No | buy | 2.78K | $0.740 | $2.06K | Jan 31, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?No | buy | 7K | $0.950 | $6.65K | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 8.86K | $0.831 | $7.36K | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 8.93K | $0.829 | $7.4K | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Odds of Khamenei out by February over 30% in January?Yes | buy | 9.64K | $0.036 | $344.88 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.3K | $0.910 | $2.09K | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Odds of Khamenei out by February over 30% in January?Yes | buy | 3.41K | $0.056 | $189.79 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 Will Ukraine join the Board of Peace?No | buy | 891.84 | $0.891 | $794.75 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Odds of Khamenei out by February over 30% in January?Yes | buy | 10.14K | $0.070 | $709.87 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 10K | $0.890 | $8.9K | Jan 27, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 464.3 | $0.850 | $394.66 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?No | buy | 2K | $0.983 | $1.97K | Jan 26, 2026 |
| Odds of Khamenei out by February over 30% in January?Yes | sell | 180 | $0.098 | $17.72 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| Odds of Khamenei out by February over 30% in January?Yes | sell | 151.56 | $0.100 | $15.16 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| Odds of Khamenei out by February over 30% in January?Yes | sell | 1.24K | $0.100 | $123.5 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| Odds of Khamenei out by February over 30% in January?Yes | buy | 3.79K | $0.098 | $369.72 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| Will Germany join the Board of Peace?No | buy | 520.48 | $0.880 | $458.02 | Jan 23, 2026 |
| Will Germany join the Board of Peace?No | buy | 2.2K | $0.882 | $1.94K | Jan 23, 2026 |
| Will China join the Board of Peace?No | buy | 2.91K | $0.919 | $2.67K | Jan 23, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | sell | 20.65K | $0.250 | $5.16K | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 9.22K | $0.217 | $2K | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 9.41K | $0.212 | $2K | Jan 10, 2026 |