Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 115.07 | $0.300 | $17.84 | -$16.68 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 65.8 | $0.300 | $19.74 | Apr 15, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 20 |
| $0.987 |
| $19.74 |
| Apr 15, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 49.27 | $0.300 | $14.78 | Apr 15, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Biden" 10+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes | buy | 21.29 | $0.340 | $7.24 | Feb 18, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Lyman by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 10.2 | $0.710 | $7.24 | Feb 18, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 8, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.21K | $0.060 | $72.75 | Feb 6, 2026 |
 Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.120 | $24 | Feb 6, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 5PM ETDown | buy | 6.08 | $0.240 | $1.46 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 5PM ETDown | buy | 14.81 | $0.270 | $4 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 5PM ETDown | buy | 5 | $0.400 | $2 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 5PM ETDown | buy | 2 | $0.500 | $1 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 4PM ETDown | sell | 8.47 | $0.999 | $8.46 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 4PM ETDown | buy | 8.47 | $0.530 | $4.49 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 73.96 | $0.050 | $3.7 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 3.44 | $0.230 | $0.79 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 12:30AM-12:45AM ETDown | buy | 3.62 | $0.410 | $1.49 | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 3:30AM-3:45AM ETDown | buy | 3.15 | $0.310 | $0.98 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 3:15AM-3:30AM ETDown | sell | 3.18 | $0.790 | $2.51 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 3:15AM-3:30AM ETDown | buy | 3.15 | $0.310 | $0.98 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 45.45 | $0.017 | $0.77 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 2:00AM-2:15AM ETUp | buy | 33.32 | $0.030 | $1 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 2:00AM-2:15AM ETUp | buy | 18.55 | $0.040 | $0.74 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 2:00AM-2:15AM ETUp | buy | 19.92 | $0.100 | $1.99 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 1:45AM-2:00AM ETUp | buy | 10.99 | $0.180 | $1.98 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 1:45AM-2:00AM ETUp | buy | 10.99 | $0.180 | $1.98 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 1:45AM-2:00AM ETUp | buy | 17.49 | $0.280 | $4.9 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 1:45AM-2:00AM ETUp | buy | 14.57 | $0.400 | $5.83 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 1:30AM-1:45AM ETDown | buy | 49.99 | $0.020 | $1 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 1:30AM-1:45AM ETDown | buy | 16.64 | $0.060 | $1 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 1:30AM-1:45AM ETDown | buy | 16.64 | $0.060 | $1 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 1:30AM-1:45AM ETDown | buy | 9.82 | $0.250 | $2.46 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 1:30AM-1:45AM ETDown | buy | 10.04 | $0.340 | $3.41 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.140 | $28 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 62.86 | $0.070 | $4.4 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.160 | $32 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 554.71 | $0.066 | $36.41 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?Yes | buy | 21.62 | $0.130 | $2.81 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Will the United States win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes | buy | 27.27 | $0.220 | $6 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 203.02 | $0.005 | $1 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 251.54 | $0.013 | $3.27 | Jan 27, 2026 |
 Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?No | sell | 13.63 | $0.240 | $3.27 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?No | buy | 13.63 | $0.258 | $3.52 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 12:30AM-12:45AM ETUp | buy | 33.32 | $0.030 | $1 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 12:30AM-12:45AM ETUp | buy | 12.47 | $0.080 | $1 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 12:30AM-12:45AM ETUp | buy | 24.93 | $0.080 | $1.99 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 12:15AM-12:30AM ETDown | buy | 16.64 | $0.060 | $1 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 12:15AM-12:30AM ETDown | buy | 10.99 | $0.180 | $1.98 | Jan 26, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 22.15 | $0.475 | $10.52 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 2AM ETUp | buy | 53.19 | $0.160 | $8.51 | Jan 24, 2026 |
 Will the US next strike Iran on January 27, 2026 (ET)?Yes | sell | 77.7 | $0.028 | $2.2 | Jan 24, 2026 |