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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 4.58 | $0.881 | $4.28 | +$0.25 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Kyōto Sanga FC vs. Kashiwa Reysol end in a draw?No | buy | 2.14 | $0.810 | $1.73 | 3h ago |
 |
| No |
| 2.19 |
| $0.880 |
| $1.97 |
| +$0.04 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 2.31 | $0.758 | $1.97 | +$0.22 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | No | 2.33 | $0.765 | $1.94 | +$0.16 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 2.18 | $0.730 | $1.84 | +$0.25 |
 Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? | No | 2.07 | $0.830 | $1.82 | +$0.1 |
 SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.93 | $0.870 | $1.74 | +$0.06 |
 Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.76 | $0.900 | $1.68 | +$0.1 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? | No | 2.08 | $0.760 | $1.65 | +$0.07 |
| buy |
| 1.59 |
| $0.910 |
| $1.45 |
| 14d ago |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?No | buy | 2.08 | $0.760 | $1.58 | 24d ago |
| SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.93 | $0.870 | $1.68 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | buy | 2.33 | $0.765 | $1.78 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 2.31 | $0.758 | $1.75 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 2.18 | $0.730 | $1.59 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 Will Apple (AAPL) close above $310 on July 13?Yes | buy | 2.12 | $0.840 | $1.78 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?No | buy | 2.07 | $0.830 | $1.72 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?No | buy | 2.19 | $0.880 | $1.93 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 Will Micron Q3 NAND revenue be above $7.5B?Yes | buy | 2.03 | $0.900 | $1.83 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.62 | $0.970 | $1.57 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Will Google Gemini score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?No | buy | 1.98 | $0.850 | $1.68 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.76 | $0.900 | $1.58 | May 30, 2026 |
 Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.77 | $0.480 | $0.85 | May 30, 2026 |
 GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Jil Teichmann vs Petra MarcinkoPetra Marcinko | buy | 1.66 | $0.890 | $1.48 | May 22, 2026 |
| China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.14 | $0.870 | $1.86 | May 15, 2026 |
 Will Siga Batista win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?No | sell | 1.48 | $0.554 | $0.82 | May 15, 2026 |
 Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.03 | $0.910 | $1.85 | May 9, 2026 |
| Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.08 | $0.890 | $1.85 | May 2, 2026 |
 Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?No | buy | 1.72 | $0.920 | $1.58 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?No | buy | 2.27 | $0.820 | $1.86 | Apr 16, 2026 |
 Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen by April 30?No | buy | 1.64 | $0.963 | $1.58 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.86 | $0.964 | $1.79 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 US/Israel strike Yemen by March 31?No | buy | 2.08 | $0.890 | $1.85 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Will Siga Batista win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?No | buy | 1.48 | $0.998 | $1.48 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 Silver (SI) Up or Down on March 9?Down | buy | 1.86 | $0.850 | $1.58 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.78 | $0.890 | $1.58 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by March 31?No | buy | 2.08 | $0.860 | $1.79 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31?No | buy | 2.54 | $0.910 | $2.31 | Feb 16, 2026 |
 Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?Yes | sell | 7.61 | $0.810 | $6.16 | Feb 11, 2026 |
 Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 2.06 | $0.795 | $1.64 | Feb 11, 2026 |
 Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.73 | $0.467 | $0.81 | Feb 11, 2026 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.73 | $0.900 | $1.56 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31?No | buy | 2.11 | $0.820 | $1.73 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31?No | buy | 1.32 | $0.920 | $1.21 | Jan 23, 2026 |
| Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?Yes | buy | 1.85 | $0.960 | $1.78 | Jan 18, 2026 |
| Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?Yes | buy | 2.6 | $0.930 | $2.42 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.44 | $0.890 | $2.17 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?Yes | buy | 3.16 | $0.880 | $2.78 | Jan 4, 2026 |
 Ethereum Up or Down on December 30?Up | buy | 3.48 | $0.830 | $2.89 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?Yes | buy | 2.12 | $0.930 | $1.97 | Dec 25, 2025 |
 Will Trump release a new Russia x Ukraine peace plan by December 31?No | buy | 1.57 | $0.940 | $1.48 | Dec 20, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.68 | $0.880 | $2.36 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on December 5?Up | buy | 2.34 | $0.760 | $1.78 | Dec 5, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: NovemberYes | buy | 1.82 | $0.976 | $1.78 | Nov 30, 2025 |
 Will Russia enter Lyman by November 30?No | buy | 1.84 | $0.910 | $1.67 | Nov 29, 2025 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: NovemberYes | buy | 2.52 | $0.710 | $1.79 | Nov 24, 2025 |
 Will Russia enter Siversk by November 30?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.930 | $1.86 | Nov 19, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Rivnopillia by December 31?Yes | buy | 2.07 | $0.960 | $1.99 | Nov 13, 2025 |