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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US-China tariff agreement before 90 day deadline?No | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Jun 27, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 14.29 |
| $0.210 |
| $3 |
| Jun 27, 2025 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.140 | $4 | Jun 27, 2025 |
 Will @realDonaldTrump be suspended by Friday?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Jun 11, 2025 |
 Trump x Elon talk by Friday?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | Jun 11, 2025 |
 Elon Musk's security clearance revoked before July?Yes | buy | 20.41 | $0.049 | $1 | Jun 11, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump give Elon Musk a nickname before July?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Jun 11, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk unfollow Donald Trump before July?Yes | buy | 43.48 | $0.023 | $1 | Jun 11, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2025?No | sell | 15.15 | $0.527 | $7.98 | Jun 11, 2025 |
 Will anyone be charged with insider trading Trump tariff announcement?Yes | buy | 105.53 | $0.038 | $4 | Apr 24, 2025 |
 Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits?Yes | buy | 108.38 | $0.037 | $4 | Apr 24, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on April 24?No | buy | 97.5 | $0.051 | $5 | Apr 24, 2025 |
 Trump trade deal before June?No | sell | 35.71 | $0.190 | $6.78 | Apr 24, 2025 |
 Elon out of Trump administration in 2025?No | sell | 16.66 | $0.380 | $6.33 | Apr 24, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on April 23?No | buy | 83.33 | $0.060 | $5 | Apr 23, 2025 |
 Will Trump cut military spending?Yes | sell | 150.05 | $0.033 | $4.97 | Apr 23, 2025 |
 Will Trump unfreeze Harvard funding?Yes | buy | 16.24 | $0.308 | $5 | Apr 17, 2025 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.070 | $2 | Apr 17, 2025 |
 Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto before June?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.040 | $2 | Apr 17, 2025 |
 Will Trump agree to sell F-35 to Turkey before May?Yes | buy | 90.86 | $0.022 | $2 | Apr 17, 2025 |
| Trump trade deal before June?No | buy | 35.71 | $0.140 | $5 | Apr 17, 2025 |
 U.S. citizens transferred to El Salvador before July?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Apr 17, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump visit Saudi Arabia in 2025?No | buy | 19.61 | $0.051 | $1 | Apr 17, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2025?No | buy | 15.15 | $0.330 | $5 | Apr 17, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump visit the United Kingdom in 2025?No | buy | 42.08 | $0.119 | $5 | Apr 17, 2025 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $86000 on Apr 18?Yes | buy | 20.83 | $0.240 | $5 | Apr 17, 2025 |
 Will Meta have the top AI model on June 30?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.022 | $1 | Apr 17, 2025 |
 Will Alibaba have the top AI model on June 30?Yes | buy | 35.21 | $0.028 | $1 | Apr 17, 2025 |
 Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on June 30?Yes | buy | 21.74 | $0.046 | $1 | Apr 17, 2025 |
 Kilmar Abrego Garcia released from custody in April?Yes | buy | 83.69 | $0.060 | $5 | Apr 17, 2025 |
| Will Trump cut military spending?Yes | buy | 150.05 | $0.033 | $5 | Apr 17, 2025 |
 Will Trump claim he crashed the market on purpose?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.050 | $5 | Apr 17, 2025 |
 Will federal spending decrease by $250-500b between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.055 | $5 | Apr 17, 2025 |
 Will Trump lower tariffs on China by April 30?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.140 | $5 | Apr 17, 2025 |
 Peter Navarro out of Trump administration in April?Yes | buy | 128.15 | $0.039 | $5 | Apr 17, 2025 |
 Trump announce run for 3rd term?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.080 | $5 | Apr 17, 2025 |
 Trump x Putin talk by Friday?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.020 | $1 | Apr 17, 2025 |
 Will Trump remove Jerome Powell in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 97.09 | $0.010 | $1 | Apr 17, 2025 |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.170 | $5 | Apr 17, 2025 |
 Will Trump remove 10% blanket tariff in April?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.070 | $5 | Apr 17, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on April 17?No | buy | 58.58 | $0.085 | $5 | Apr 17, 2025 |
| Elon out of Trump administration in 2025?No | buy | 16.67 | $0.300 | $5 | Apr 17, 2025 |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.170 | $5 | Apr 17, 2025 |