Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 15.5 | $0.645 | $10.93 | +$0.93 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Minnesota 2026 Senate race be within 5%?No | buy | 1.3 | $0.770 | $1 | 6h ago |
|
| No |
| 13.02 |
| $0.683 |
| $9.31 |
| +$0.42 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 17.86 | $0.560 | $9.2 | -$0.8 |
 Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | No | 25.54 | $0.431 | $8.81 | -$2.19 |
 Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 25.43 | $0.393 | $8.81 | -$1.19 |
 Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | No | 25.32 | $0.395 | $8.74 | -$1.26 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the MI-07 House seat? | Yes | 16.67 | $0.600 | $8.58 | -$1.42 |
| Will the Ohio Special 2026 Senate race be within 5%? | Yes | 14.52 | $0.580 | $8.57 | +$0.15 |
 Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 23.27 | $0.430 | $8.26 | -$1.74 |
| Will the Minnesota 2026 Senate race be within 5%? | No | 8.39 | $0.763 | $6.63 | +$0.23 |
 Trump out as President by September 30? | No | 6.62 | $0.985 | $6.55 | +$0.03 |
 Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | No | 9.21 | $0.760 | $6.49 | -$0.51 |
 Will the Democrats win the Maine governor race in 2026? | Yes | 5.43 | $0.920 | $5.2 | +$0.2 |
 Will the Democrats win the Colorado governor race in 2026? | Yes | 5.35 | $0.934 | $5.2 | +$0.2 |
 Will the Democrats win the Colorado Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 5.38 | $0.930 | $5.16 | +$0.16 |
 Will the Republicans win the Colorado Senate race in 2026? | No | 5.32 | $0.940 | $5.16 | +$0.16 |
 Will the Democrats win the Illinois governor race in 2026? | Yes | 5.32 | $0.940 | $5.12 | +$0.12 |
 Will the Democrats win the Connecticut governor race in 2026? | Yes | 5.32 | $0.940 | $5.11 | +$0.11 |
 Will the Republicans win the Arkansas governor race in 2026? | Yes | 5.24 | $0.954 | $5.07 | +$0.07 |
 Will the Democrats win the Rhode Island Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 5.26 | $0.950 | $5.05 | +$0.05 |
 Will the Democrats win the Virginia Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 5.26 | $0.950 | $5.03 | +$0.03 |
 Will Georgia use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? | No | 5.17 | $0.968 | $4.98 | -$0.02 |
 Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 5.38 | $0.930 | $4.92 | -$0.08 |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | No | 5.17 | $0.967 | $4.92 | -$0.08 |
 Will the Republicans win the Rhode Island Senate race in 2026? | No | 4.91 | $0.957 | $4.71 | +$0.01 |
| buy |
| 8.62 |
| $0.580 |
| $5 |
| 18h ago |
| Will the Ohio Special 2026 Senate race be within 5%?Yes | buy | 5.9 | $0.580 | $3.42 | 18h ago |
| Will the Minnesota 2026 Senate race be within 5%?No | buy | 5.79 | $0.760 | $4.4 | 18h ago |
| Will Georgia use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?No | buy | 5.17 | $0.968 | $5 | 1d ago |
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | sell | 14.7 | $0.950 | $13.96 | 2d ago |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.33 | $0.880 | $1.17 | 2d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 0.16 | $0.880 | $0.14 | 2d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 0.14 | $0.880 | $0.12 | 2d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 0.12 | $0.880 | $0.11 | 2d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 0.7 | $0.880 | $0.62 | 2d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 0.13 | $0.880 | $0.11 | 2d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 0.17 | $0.880 | $0.15 | 2d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.44 | $0.880 | $1.27 | 2d ago |
| Will the Minnesota 2026 Senate race be within 5%?No | buy | 1.3 | $0.770 | $1 | 2d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 6.28 | $0.680 | $4.27 | 4d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 4.49 | $0.680 | $3.05 | 4d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes | buy | 3.94 | $0.680 | $2.68 | 4d ago |
| Trump out as President by September 30?No | buy | 4.43 | $0.985 | $4.36 | 5d ago |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MI-07 House seat?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.600 | $5 | 5d ago |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MI-07 House seat?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.600 | $5 | 5d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 0.53 | $0.720 | $0.38 | 5d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.49 | $0.720 | $1.07 | 5d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 0.21 | $0.710 | $0.15 | 5d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 0.29 | $0.700 | $0.2 | 5d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.49 | $0.690 | $1.03 | 5d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.91 | $0.650 | $1.89 | 5d ago |
| Trump out as President by September 30?No | buy | 2.19 | $0.986 | $2.16 | 5d ago |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 8.62 | $0.580 | $5 | 6d ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 8.93 | $0.560 | $5 | 7d ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 8.93 | $0.560 | $5 | 7d ago |
 Will Dan McKee win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Democratic primary election?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.998 | $5 | 7d ago |
 Will Helena Foulkes win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Democratic primary election?Yes | buy | 1.59 | $0.997 | $1.59 | 7d ago |
| Will Helena Foulkes win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Democratic primary election?Yes | buy | 5.02 | $0.997 | $5 | 7d ago |
 Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 2.02 | $0.989 | $2 | 11d ago |
 Will Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by September 30?No | sell | 1.28 | $0.780 | $1 | 12d ago |
| Will Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by September 30?No | buy | 1.28 | $0.780 | $1 | 13d ago |
 Next White House Press Secretary announced by August 28, 2026?No | buy | 5.26 | $0.950 | $5 | 14d ago |
| Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 4, 2026?No | buy | 6.49 | $0.770 | $5 | 14d ago |
| Next White House Press Secretary announced by August 28, 2026?No | buy | 5.43 | $0.920 | $5 | 14d ago |
 Will Darline Graham Nordone win Spartanburg County in the South Carolina Special Senate Primary runoff?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.999 | $1.1 | 15d ago |
 Will Ralph Norman win Horry County in the South Carolina Special Senate Primary runoff?No | buy | 4.99 | $0.999 | $4.99 | 15d ago |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone win the SC Republican Senate special primary runoff by at least 30%?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | 15d ago |
| Will Ralph Norman win the SC Republican Senate special primary runoff by at least 20%?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | 15d ago |
| Will Ralph Norman win the SC Republican Senate special primary runoff by 15–20%?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | 15d ago |
| Will Ralph Norman win the SC Republican Senate special primary runoff by 10–15%?No | buy | 1 | $0.997 | $1 | 15d ago |
| Will Ralph Norman win the SC Republican Senate special primary runoff by 5–10%?No | buy | 1 | $0.997 | $1 | 15d ago |
| Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?No | buy | 5.56 | $0.900 | $5 | 15d ago |
| Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes | sell | 9.67 | $0.070 | $0.68 | 15d ago |
| Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes | sell | 2.4 | $0.050 | $0.12 | 15d ago |