Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 322.58 | $0.930 | $298.39 | -$1.61 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.994 | $1 | 5d ago |
|
| No |
| 294.12 |
| $0.850 |
| $254.41 |
| +$4.41 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | No | 200 | $0.530 | $197.1 | +$91.1 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 120.92 | $0.827 | $102.3 | +$2.3 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? | No | 101.94 | $0.981 | $101.07 | +$1.07 |
| Iran leadership change by September 30? | No | 102.56 | $0.975 | $100.21 | +$0.21 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 103.95 | $0.962 | $99.95 | -$0.05 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 105.26 | $0.950 | $99.47 | -$0.53 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 106.38 | $0.940 | $99.47 | -$0.53 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | No | 100 | $0.961 | $99.35 | +$3.25 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | No | 106.38 | $0.940 | $98.4 | -$1.6 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 153.85 | $0.650 | $79.23 | -$20.77 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | No | 89.29 | $0.840 | $76.34 | +$1.34 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30? | No | 64.04 | $0.890 | $61.48 | +$4.48 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 60.24 | $0.830 | $51.51 | +$1.51 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 51.71 | $0.967 | $49.97 | -$0.03 |
| Iran leadership change by October 31? | No | 52.63 | $0.950 | $49.74 | -$0.26 |
| Iran leadership change by November 30? | No | 54.35 | $0.920 | $49.73 | -$0.27 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | Yes | 57.47 | $0.870 | $49.71 | -$0.29 |
| Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? | No | 40 | $0.750 | $29 | -$1 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | No | 27.78 | $0.900 | $25.14 | +$0.14 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | No | 26.6 | $0.940 | $24.87 | -$0.13 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 1.01 | $0.994 | $1 | +$0 |
| buy |
| 40 |
| $0.750 |
| $30 |
| 5d ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | buy | 294.12 | $0.850 | $250 | 5d ago |
| Iran leadership change by November 30?No | buy | 54.35 | $0.920 | $50 | 5d ago |
| Iran leadership change by October 31?No | buy | 52.63 | $0.950 | $50 | 5d ago |
| Iran leadership change by September 30?No | buy | 102.56 | $0.975 | $100 | 5d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Yes | buy | 57.47 | $0.870 | $50 | 5d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 89.29 | $0.840 | $75 | 5d ago |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?No | buy | 23.4 | $0.940 | $22 | 17d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?No | buy | 64.04 | $0.890 | $57 | 17d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Yes | buy | 72.16 | $0.970 | $70 | 17d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 83.6 | $0.957 | $80 | 17d ago |
 Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?No | buy | 75.65 | $0.661 | $50 | 17d ago |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in August?No | buy | 4.04 | $0.990 | $4 | 23d ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?No | buy | 12.66 | $0.790 | $10 | 23d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in August?No | buy | 10.15 | $0.985 | $10 | 23d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 22?No | buy | 22.22 | $0.900 | $20 | 23d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 27.78 | $0.900 | $25 | 23d ago |
 Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?No | buy | 16.13 | $0.930 | $15 | 23d ago |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?No | buy | 15.46 | $0.970 | $15 | 23d ago |
 Iran full airspace closure by August 31?No | buy | 37.23 | $0.940 | $35 | 23d ago |
 Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?No | buy | 5.04 | $0.993 | $5 | 23d ago |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 43.48 | $0.920 | $40 | 23d ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 153.85 | $0.650 | $100 | 23d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | buy | 26.6 | $0.940 | $25 | 23d ago |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No | buy | 106.38 | $0.940 | $100 | 23d ago |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 103.95 | $0.962 | $100 | 23d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 55.56 | $0.900 | $50 | 23d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?No | buy | 258.08 | $0.969 | $250 | 23d ago |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | buy | 105.26 | $0.950 | $100 | 23d ago |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 120.92 | $0.827 | $100 | 23d ago |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | buy | 51.71 | $0.967 | $50 | 23d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 101.21 | $0.988 | $100 | 23d ago |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 322.58 | $0.930 | $300 | 23d ago |
| Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 101.94 | $0.981 | $100 | 23d ago |
| Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 100.6 | $0.994 | $100 | 23d ago |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 106.38 | $0.940 | $100 | 23d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 60.24 | $0.830 | $50 | 23d ago |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?No | buy | 100 | $0.930 | $93 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?No | buy | 300 | $0.670 | $201 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 Knicks vs. SpursSpurs | sell | 40 | $0.250 | $10 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?No | buy | 2.01 | $0.997 | $2 | May 14, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No | buy | 15.87 | $0.630 | $10 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?No | buy | 33.97 | $0.790 | $26.84 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No | buy | 24.64 | $0.974 | $24 | May 5, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 8?No | buy | 21.67 | $0.831 | $18 | May 5, 2026 |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by May 31?No | buy | 5.26 | $0.950 | $5 | May 4, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?No | buy | 16 | $0.870 | $13.92 | May 2, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.960 | $4.8 | May 2, 2026 |
 QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.992 | $14.88 | May 2, 2026 |