Analytics
Allow Google Analytics cookies to measure visits, navigation, completed signups and checkout starts on our website and app? Analytics identifiers last up to 180 days. Account details, searches, wallet addresses and payment details are excluded. Your choice is optional and you can change it anytime.
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027? | No | 32.58 | $0.921 | $31.28 | +$1.28 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.9 | $0.690 | $2 | 8d ago |
 |
| No |
| 34.02 |
| $0.588 |
| $29.43 |
| +$9.43 |
 Iran nuclear test before 2027? | No | 23.26 | $0.860 | $21.97 | +$1.97 |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? | No | 23.53 | $0.850 | $21.53 | +$1.53 |
 Iran Nuke before 2027? | No | 22.73 | $0.880 | $21.39 | +$1.39 |
 Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026? | No | 17.86 | $0.840 | $16.61 | +$1.61 |
 Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? | No | 33.82 | $0.626 | $16.23 | -$4.93 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? | No | 15.96 | $0.940 | $15.08 | +$0.08 |
 Will James Comey be arrested before 2027? | No | 13.27 | $0.980 | $12.22 | -$0.78 |
 Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? | No | 13.16 | $0.760 | $12.04 | +$2.04 |
 Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | No | 10.4 | $0.962 | $10.24 | +$0.24 |
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 7.32 | $0.820 | $6.26 | +$0.26 |
 Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? | Yes | 45.45 | $0.220 | $5.68 | -$4.32 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 34.84 | $0.143 | $4.7 | -$0.3 |
| Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026? | No | 8.2 | $0.610 | $4.59 | -$0.41 |
 Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? | No | 4.05 | $0.740 | $3.47 | +$0.47 |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 3.26 | $0.920 | $3.21 | +$0.21 |
| Will James Clapper be arrested before 2027? | No | 3.61 | $0.830 | $2.95 | -$0.05 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 4.76 | $0.630 | $2.37 | -$0.63 |
| U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by December 31, 2026? | No | 2.9 | $0.690 | $2.03 | +$0.03 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 18.18 | $0.110 | $1.18 | -$0.82 |
| Will there be exactly 2 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? | Yes | 29.41 | $0.034 | $1 | $0 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | Yes | 3.85 | $0.260 | $0.94 | -$0.06 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 25 | $0.040 | $0.24 | -$0.76 |
| buy |
| 15.96 |
| $0.940 |
| $15 |
| 8d ago |
| Will John Kerry be arrested before 2027?No | sell | 2.02 | $0.979 | $1.98 | 8d ago |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?Yes | buy | 23.08 | $0.130 | $3 | 20d ago |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.26 | $0.380 | $2 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?No | buy | 7.04 | $0.710 | $5 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 6 | $0.500 | $3 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will James Clapper be arrested before 2027?No | buy | 3.61 | $0.830 | $3 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| US x Cuba military clash in 2026?No | buy | 15.15 | $0.660 | $10 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.040 | $1 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Yes | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?No | sell | 8.19 | $0.756 | $6.19 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 2 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.034 | $1 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 4.05 | $0.740 | $3 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?Yes | buy | 11.76 | $0.170 | $2 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Ukraine election called by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 10.42 | $0.960 | $10 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?No | buy | 10.53 | $0.950 | $10 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 10.53 | $0.950 | $10 | Jun 29, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No | sell | 6.02 | $0.961 | $5.79 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?No | buy | 12.2 | $0.820 | $10 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?No | buy | 10.63 | $0.941 | $10 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No | buy | 7.32 | $0.820 | $6 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No | buy | 6.02 | $0.830 | $5 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Iran x Oman Strait of Hormuz agreement by June 15?No | buy | 1.27 | $0.785 | $1 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?No | buy | 23.53 | $0.850 | $20 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?No | buy | 32.58 | $0.921 | $30 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | sell | 18.98 | $0.800 | $15.18 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| US x Cuba military clash in 2026?No | buy | 18.87 | $0.530 | $10 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No | sell | 69.15 | $0.281 | $19.46 | Jun 6, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?No | buy | 5.81 | $0.861 | $5 | May 29, 2026 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | sell | 23.55 | $0.930 | $21.9 | May 28, 2026 |
 Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?Yes | sell | 5.46 | $0.860 | $4.7 | May 28, 2026 |
 Will Lars Løkke Rasmussen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?No | sell | 5.16 | $0.959 | $4.95 | May 28, 2026 |
 Will London have less than 30mm of precipitation in June?No | buy | 1.85 | $0.540 | $1 | May 28, 2026 |
| Will London have less than 30mm of precipitation in June?No | buy | 1.85 | $0.540 | $1 | May 28, 2026 |
 Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in May 2026?No | sell | 10.44 | $0.998 | $10.42 | May 28, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?No | buy | 3.05 | $0.380 | $1.16 | May 28, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | buy | 3.26 | $0.920 | $3 | May 20, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?No | buy | 15.64 | $0.959 | $15 | May 20, 2026 |
 Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?No | buy | 3.61 | $0.830 | $3 | May 20, 2026 |
| Will Marco Rubio have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?No | buy | 11.38 | $0.967 | $11 | May 20, 2026 |
 US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?No | buy | 3.19 | $0.313 | $1 | May 20, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 4.76 | $0.630 | $3 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in May 2026?No | buy | 10.45 | $0.957 | $10 | May 11, 2026 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: MayNothing | buy | 4.05 | $0.740 | $3 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will Lars Løkke Rasmussen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?No | sell | 5.16 | $0.861 | $4.44 | May 10, 2026 |
| Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?Yes | sell | 5.9 | $0.620 | $3.66 | May 10, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit China by May 15?No | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | May 10, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by May 15?No | buy | 9 | $0.210 | $1.89 | May 1, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?No | sell | 15.54 | $0.997 | $15.49 | May 1, 2026 |