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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 50 | $0.740 | $35.25 | -$1.75 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.590 | $5.9 | 23d ago |
| No |
| 30 |
| $0.593 |
| $25.65 |
| +$7.85 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 30 | $0.653 | $21.75 | +$2.15 |
 Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series? | Yes | 30 | $0.297 | $9.45 | +$0.55 |
 Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? | Yes | 40 | $0.220 | $8.6 | -$0.2 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | No | 10 | $0.590 | $8.55 | +$2.65 |
 Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | 10 | $0.601 | $8.53 | +$2.52 |
 Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 10 | $0.670 | $6.45 | -$0.25 |
 Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 10 | $0.538 | $5.83 | +$0.45 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 10 | $0.740 | $4.45 | -$2.95 |
 Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 10 | $0.309 | $3.57 | +$0.48 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.650 | $3.35 | -$3.15 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 10.01 | $0.187 | $2.41 | +$0.54 |
 Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Yes | 10 | $0.170 | $1.65 | -$0.05 |
 Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup? | Yes | 5 | $0.160 | $1.13 | +$0.33 |
 Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31? | Yes | 10 | $0.060 | $0.24 | -$0.36 |
 Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | Yes | 9.99 | $0.093 | $0.17 | -$0.76 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Yes| buy |
| 10 |
| $0.650 |
| $6.5 |
| 23d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.740 | $7.4 | 23d ago |
 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.008 | $0.08 | 23d ago |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.006 | $0.12 | 23d ago |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.429 | $4.29 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.680 | $6.8 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.740 | $7.4 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.220 | $2.2 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | sell | 30 | $0.520 | $15.6 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.429 | $4.29 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.570 | $5.7 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.680 | $6.8 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | buy | 10 | $0.570 | $5.7 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.570 | $5.7 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.220 | $2.2 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?No | buy | 10 | $0.730 | $7.3 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?No | sell | 10 | $0.460 | $4.6 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?No | buy | 10 | $0.590 | $5.9 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.690 | $6.9 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | buy | 10 | $0.610 | $6.1 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.220 | $2.2 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 69.99 | $0.196 | $13.72 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.198 | $1.98 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.429 | $4.29 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?No | buy | 10 | $0.740 | $7.4 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.270 | $2.7 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?No | buy | 10 | $0.633 | $6.33 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.650 | $6.5 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 10 | $0.650 | $6.5 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.350 | $3.5 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.538 | $5.38 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.700 | $7 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.300 | $3 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | buy | 10 | $0.630 | $6.3 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.700 | $7 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.410 | $4.1 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.220 | $2.2 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.030 | $0.3 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.042 | $0.42 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.060 | $1.2 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.390 | $3.9 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.410 | $4.1 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.210 | $4.2 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?No | sell | 10 | $0.510 | $5.1 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.570 | $5.7 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?No | sell | 0.09 | $0.510 | $0.05 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.309 | $3.09 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.570 | $5.7 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.340 | $3.4 | Jul 21, 2026 |