Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | No | 25 | $0.905 | $24.24 | +$1.61 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Yes | buy | 14.93 | $0.670 | $10 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 60.3 |
| $0.340 |
| $8.74 |
| -$11.76 |
 Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31? | OpenAI | 48.05 | $0.170 | $4.32 | -$3.84 |
 US military draft authorized in 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.090 | $3.15 | -$5.85 |
 Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026? | Yes | 30 | $0.060 | $0.68 | -$1.13 |
| buy |
| 10 |
| $0.840 |
| $8.4 |
| Jun 24, 2026 |
| Will Japan reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?No | buy | 20 | $0.947 | $18.94 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?No | buy | 20 | $0.929 | $18.58 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 10 | $0.921 | $9.21 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.146 | $11.68 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by June 30?Yes | buy | 12.35 | $0.810 | $10 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?Yes | buy | 10.27 | $0.974 | $10 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?No | sell | 25 | $0.780 | $19.5 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.965 | $9.65 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 36.76 | $0.170 | $6.25 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?OpenAI | sell | 51.94 | $0.250 | $12.99 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?70k | buy | 47.7 | $0.629 | $30 | May 18, 2026 |
 Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.060 | $3 | May 13, 2026 |
| GPT-5.6 released by May 15, 2026?No | sell | 63.15 | $0.983 | $62.08 | May 6, 2026 |
| GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 26.67 | $0.750 | $20 | May 4, 2026 |
 Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?Yes | buy | 400.36 | $0.025 | $10 | May 4, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 37.74 | $0.530 | $20 | May 4, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | buy | 40.82 | $0.490 | $20 | May 4, 2026 |
| GPT-5.6 released by May 15, 2026?No | buy | 63.16 | $0.950 | $60 | May 4, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 147.06 | $0.340 | $50 | Apr 26, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?No | sell | 92.59 | $0.860 | $79.63 | Apr 26, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 248.69 | $0.960 | $238.74 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?No | sell | 12.64 | $0.999 | $12.63 | Apr 26, 2026 |
 Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by April 30?No | sell | 6.32 | $0.880 | $5.56 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 58.82 | $0.850 | $50 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by April 30?No | buy | 6.33 | $0.790 | $5 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?No | sell | 58.14 | $0.999 | $58.08 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?No | buy | 12.64 | $0.870 | $11 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?No | buy | 92.59 | $0.540 | $50 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?No | buy | 57.29 | $0.960 | $55 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 117.65 | $0.850 | $100 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?No | sell | 116.85 | $0.967 | $112.99 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?No | sell | 103.19 | $0.999 | $103.09 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 72.23 | $0.800 | $57.78 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?No | sell | 58.13 | $0.994 | $57.78 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?No | buy | 103.2 | $0.969 | $100 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?No | buy | 116.28 | $0.860 | $100 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?No | buy | 116.85 | $0.856 | $100 | Apr 20, 2026 |