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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Fannie Mae’s market cap be between $250B and $300B at market close on IPO day?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | May 16, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 5.01 |
| $0.999 |
| $5 |
| May 16, 2026 |
Will US Bank fail by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.998 | $5 | May 16, 2026 |
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.06 | $0.989 | $5 | May 16, 2026 |
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the April 2026 meeting?No | sell | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | Apr 24, 2026 |
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No | sell | 5.02 | $0.998 | $5.01 | Apr 24, 2026 |
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?No | sell | 15.09 | $0.995 | $15.01 | Apr 24, 2026 |
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No | sell | 15.09 | $0.996 | $15.03 | Apr 24, 2026 |
Will Z.ai have the best AI model for math on March 31?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | Mar 19, 2026 |
New "Stranger Things" episode released by March 31?No | buy | 5.02 | $0.997 | $5 | Mar 19, 2026 |
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the April 2026 meeting?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.998 | $5 | Mar 19, 2026 |
Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be less than 3.5%?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.998 | $5 | Mar 19, 2026 |
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.998 | $5 | Mar 19, 2026 |
Will annual inflation increase by 2.4% in March?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.998 | $5 | Mar 19, 2026 |
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | Mar 19, 2026 |
Will Sweet Dreams of Joy - Viva Verdi win Best Original Song at the 98th Academy Awards?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.998 | $5 | Feb 24, 2026 |
New "Stranger Things" episode released by February 28?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.998 | $5 | Feb 24, 2026 |
Will Scott Bessent attend the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes | buy | 5.01 | $0.998 | $5 | Feb 24, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | Feb 24, 2026 |
Will 'Arirang' - BTS debut week album sales be between 4m and 4.5m?No | sell | 5.04 | $0.951 | $4.79 | Feb 24, 2026 |
Will 'Arirang' - BTS debut week album sales be between 4m and 4.5m?No | buy | 5.05 | $0.991 | $5 | Feb 15, 2026 |
Will Dear Me - Diane Warren: Relentless win Best Original Song at the 98th Academy Awards?No | buy | 5.02 | $0.997 | $5 | Feb 15, 2026 |
Will "NUEVAYoL - Bad Bunny" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.998 | $5 | Feb 15, 2026 |
Will "GOAT" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 17m?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | Feb 15, 2026 |
Will Sentimental Value win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?No | buy | 5.04 | $0.992 | $5 | Feb 15, 2026 |
Will Claude 5 be released on February 14, 2026?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | Feb 15, 2026 |
Will Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?No | buy | 10.01 | $0.999 | $10 | Feb 9, 2026 |
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?No | buy | 10.02 | $0.998 | $10 | Feb 9, 2026 |
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No | buy | 10.08 | $0.992 | $10 | Feb 9, 2026 |
Will there be at least 800 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 10.07 | $0.993 | $10 | Feb 9, 2026 |
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?No | buy | 10.06 | $0.994 | $10 | Feb 9, 2026 |
Will Moonshot have the #2 AI model at the end of February 2026?No | sell | 5.01 | $0.991 | $4.96 | Feb 5, 2026 |
Will "Greenland" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?Yes | sell | 5.01 | $0.958 | $4.8 | Feb 5, 2026 |
Will SpaceX have exactly 6 launches in February?No | sell | 5.01 | $0.953 | $4.77 | Feb 5, 2026 |
Will Moonshot have the #2 AI model at the end of February 2026?No | buy | 5.02 | $0.996 | $5 | Feb 3, 2026 |
Will "Greenland" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?Yes | buy | 5.01 | $0.998 | $5 | Feb 3, 2026 |
Will CapCut: Photo & Video Editor be the #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 6?No | buy | 5.05 | $0.990 | $5 | Feb 3, 2026 |
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No | buy | 5.02 | $0.996 | $5 | Feb 3, 2026 |
Will SpaceX have exactly 6 launches in February?No | buy | 5.02 | $0.996 | $5 | Feb 3, 2026 |
Will Grok 4.20 be released on February 3, 2026?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | Feb 3, 2026 |
Will Meituan have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | Feb 3, 2026 |
Once Upon a Farm IPO before 2027?Yes | buy | 5.04 | $0.993 | $5 | Feb 3, 2026 |
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?No | buy | 5.04 | $0.993 | $5 | Feb 3, 2026 |
Will Phạm Thị Thanh Trà be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?No | sell | 6 | $0.997 | $5.98 | Feb 2, 2026 |
Will Phạm Thị Thanh Trà be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?No | buy | 6.01 | $0.999 | $6 | Feb 1, 2026 |
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No | buy | 5.06 | $0.989 | $5 | Feb 1, 2026 |
Will "Melania" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 1.5m?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.998 | $5 | Jan 31, 2026 |
Will MrBeast hit 115 billion views by January 31?No | buy | 5.05 | $0.990 | $5 | Jan 31, 2026 |
Will "Iron Lung" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 11m?No | buy | 5.02 | $0.996 | $5 | Jan 31, 2026 |
Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce a decrease at the January meeting?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | Jan 30, 2026 |