Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will another country strike Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 27.78 | $0.540 | $15 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 17.85 |
| $0.976 |
| $17.42 |
| Mar 8, 2026 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | sell | 96.13 | $0.997 | $95.84 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | buy | 28.65 | $0.698 | $20 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?Yes | buy | 92.86 | $0.280 | $26 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 4?Up | buy | 32.31 | $0.650 | $21 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?Yes | buy | 17.86 | $0.280 | $5 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Yes | buy | 67.48 | $0.815 | $55 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Yes | sell | 99.8 | $0.480 | $47.9 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Yes | buy | 51.72 | $0.580 | $30 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2?Down | buy | 23.29 | $0.730 | $17 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Yes | buy | 48.08 | $0.520 | $25 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.750 | $15 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 1:40PM-1:45PM ETUp | buy | 3.5 | $0.280 | $0.98 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 12:40PM-12:45PM ETUp | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 11:05AM-11:10AM ETUp | buy | 2.43 | $0.400 | $0.97 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 10:50AM-10:55AM ETDown | buy | 2.08 | $0.960 | $2 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 9:55AM-10:00AM ETDown | buy | 3.38 | $0.290 | $0.98 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 9:50AM-9:55AM ETDown | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 1:10PM-1:15PM ETUp | buy | 3.78 | $0.260 | $0.98 | Feb 22, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 29?Up | buy | 38.1 | $0.840 | $32 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 28?Down | buy | 12.73 | $0.550 | $7 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 28?Up | sell | 27.39 | $0.460 | $12.6 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 28?Up | buy | 27.4 | $0.730 | $20 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 21?Up | buy | 14.04 | $0.997 | $14 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 21?Up | sell | 10 | $0.890 | $8.9 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 21?Up | buy | 11.04 | $0.906 | $10 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 21?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 21?Yes | buy | 3.33 | $0.600 | $2 | Jan 21, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 21?Up | buy | 18.39 | $0.870 | $16 | Jan 21, 2026 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 35.17 | $0.984 | $34.61 | Jan 21, 2026 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: JanuaryYes | buy | 11.27 | $0.710 | $8 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: JanuaryYes | buy | 8.82 | $0.680 | $6 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | sell | 8.82 | $0.380 | $3.35 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.460 | $4.6 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by January 31?No | sell | 8.75 | $0.520 | $4.55 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.740 | $7.4 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?Yes | buy | 2.67 | $0.750 | $2 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: JanuaryYes | buy | 3.57 | $0.560 | $2 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 Cavaliers vs. PacersCavaliers | buy | 2.94 | $0.680 | $2 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 8.82 | $0.340 | $3 | Jan 6, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | sell | 13.79 | $0.270 | $3.72 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 13.79 | $0.290 | $4 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) opening price Up or Down on January 5?Yes | buy | 6.9 | $0.870 | $6 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 12.07 | $0.870 | $10.5 | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by January 31?No | buy | 8.75 | $0.800 | $7 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump say "Gaza" or "Israel" 12+ times during Israel President events on December 29?Yes | buy | 10.81 | $0.740 | $8 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 23.1 | $0.870 | $20.1 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 Netanyahu out by 2025?No | sell | 24.09 | $0.996 | $23.99 | Dec 28, 2025 |