Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will António José Seguro win 4th place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No | buy | 1.42 | $0.998 | $1.42 | Jan 17, 2026 |
Based FDV above $300M one day after launch?No| sell |
| 1.89 |
| $0.700 |
| $1.32 |
| Jan 13, 2026 |
| Based FDV above $300M one day after launch?No | buy | 1.9 | $0.780 | $1.48 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Nicolás Maduro seen in public by January 5?Yes | buy | 1.5 | $0.853 | $1.28 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Bill Clinton charged by January 31?No | sell | 1.23 | $0.976 | $1.2 | Jan 2, 2026 |
 Will "Christmas Gameday: Cowboys vs. Commanders" be the top US Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)No | buy | 1.49 | $0.990 | $1.48 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in December 2025?No | sell | 1.12 | $0.995 | $1.11 | Dec 27, 2025 |
| Bill Clinton charged by January 31?No | buy | 1.23 | $0.974 | $1.2 | Dec 24, 2025 |
 Trump EO easing access or decriminalizing weed by Friday?Yes | sell | 1.1 | $0.944 | $1.04 | Dec 20, 2025 |
| Trump EO easing access or decriminalizing weed by Friday?Yes | buy | 1.11 | $0.994 | $1.1 | Dec 20, 2025 |
| Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in December 2025?No | buy | 1.13 | $0.984 | $1.11 | Dec 16, 2025 |
 Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?No | sell | 3.55 | $0.650 | $2.31 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 Over $400M committed to the Gensyn public sale?No | buy | 1.52 | $0.860 | $1.31 | Dec 12, 2025 |
 Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | sell | 1.44 | $0.890 | $1.28 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?No | buy | 3.56 | $0.680 | $2.42 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Will Ben-Gurion win the Genesis Cup?No | buy | 1.63 | $0.820 | $1.34 | Dec 2, 2025 |
 Will Yoon be sentenced to prison in 2025?No | sell | 1.39 | $0.978 | $1.36 | Nov 28, 2025 |
| Will Yoon be sentenced to prison in 2025?No | buy | 1.4 | $0.986 | $1.38 | Nov 28, 2025 |
| Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | buy | 1.45 | $0.870 | $1.26 | Nov 17, 2025 |
 Will Mikie Sherrill win by 12-15%?No | sell | 3.22 | $0.006 | $0.02 | Nov 12, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win by >9%?No | buy | 3.39 | $0.360 | $1.22 | Nov 11, 2025 |
| Will Mikie Sherrill win by 12-15%?No | buy | 3.23 | $0.880 | $2.84 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?No | sell | 1.42 | $0.993 | $1.41 | Oct 29, 2025 |
 Will Ryan Reynolds be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?No | buy | 1.46 | $0.997 | $1.46 | Oct 25, 2025 |
 Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?No | sell | 1.77 | $0.917 | $1.62 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Will the US loose jobs in September?No | sell | 1.46 | $0.897 | $1.31 | Oct 8, 2025 |
 Will the Government shutdown end before October 15?No | buy | 1.43 | $0.760 | $1.09 | Oct 8, 2025 |
 Will Azerbaijan win Intervision 2025?No | sell | 1.36 | $0.995 | $1.35 | Sep 19, 2025 |
| Will the US loose jobs in September?No | buy | 1.47 | $0.830 | $1.22 | Sep 19, 2025 |
 Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No | sell | 1.38 | $0.957 | $1.32 | Sep 2, 2025 |
| Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No | buy | 1.39 | $0.960 | $1.33 | Sep 1, 2025 |
 U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "European Union"?No | sell | 2.25 | $0.950 | $2.14 | Aug 16, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 1.42 | $0.985 | $1.4 | Aug 14, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?No | sell | 1.6 | $0.870 | $1.39 | Aug 11, 2025 |
| Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?No | buy | 1.78 | $0.810 | $1.44 | Aug 9, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?No | sell | 1.5 | $0.912 | $1.37 | Aug 5, 2025 |
| Will Azerbaijan win Intervision 2025?No | buy | 1.37 | $0.979 | $1.34 | Aug 3, 2025 |
 Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31?No | sell | 1.42 | $0.920 | $1.31 | Jul 31, 2025 |
 Will anyone say "WhatsApp" during the Q2 2025 Meta earnings call?Yes | buy | 1.06 | $0.963 | $1.02 | Jul 29, 2025 |
 Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?No | sell | 1.13 | $0.959 | $1.08 | Jul 26, 2025 |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "European Union"?No | buy | 2.26 | $0.820 | $1.85 | Jul 26, 2025 |
 Ethereum all time high before October?No | sell | 1.73 | $0.700 | $1.21 | Jul 17, 2025 |
| Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31?No | buy | 1.42 | $0.950 | $1.35 | Jul 15, 2025 |
 Will a cat 5 hurricane make US landfall during Hurricane Season 2025?No | sell | 0.35 | $0.880 | $0.31 | Jul 15, 2025 |
| Ethereum all time high before October?No | buy | 1.73 | $0.860 | $1.49 | Jul 12, 2025 |
 Xi Jinping seen in public before August?Yes | buy | 1.51 | $0.960 | $1.45 | Jul 7, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.51 | $0.889 | $1.34 | Jul 3, 2025 |
 Will Obama congratulate Mamdani by Friday?No | buy | 1.19 | $0.930 | $1.11 | Jun 27, 2025 |
| Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?No | buy | 1.13 | $0.929 | $1.05 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?No | buy | 4.03 | $0.300 | $1.21 | Jun 17, 2025 |