Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 142.2 | $0.997 | $140.99 | -$0.78 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.997 | $99.7 | 17d ago |
 |
| No |
| 50 |
| $0.995 |
| $49.98 |
| +$0.23 |
 Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 37.7 | $0.994 | $37.68 | +$0.21 |
 Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 30 | $0.995 | $29.99 | +$0.14 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 149.99 | $0.253 | $21.37 | -$16.52 |
 Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | No | 15 | $0.962 | $14.78 | +$0.35 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 17.45 | $0.025 | $0.32 | -$0.11 |
| buy |
| 100 |
| $0.999 |
| $99.9 |
| 17d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 142.2 | $0.997 | $141.77 | 17d ago |
 Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in July?No | buy | 270 | $0.998 | $269.46 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Will Ethereum dip to $700 in July?No | buy | 24 | $0.996 | $23.9 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Will XRP reach $3.00 in July?No | buy | 79 | $0.995 | $78.61 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?No | buy | 20 | $0.997 | $19.94 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in June?No | buy | 267 | $0.999 | $266.73 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Will Nico Hulkenberg win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?No | buy | 5 | $0.999 | $5 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will Carlos Sainz Jr. win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?No | buy | 57 | $0.999 | $56.94 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will Arvid Lindblad win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?No | buy | 105 | $0.999 | $104.9 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.025 | $1.25 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 5?No | buy | 7 | $0.998 | $6.99 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?No | buy | 25 | $0.999 | $24.98 | May 13, 2026 |
 Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?No | buy | 32 | $0.999 | $31.97 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 37.7 | $0.994 | $37.47 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?No | buy | 127.96 | $0.998 | $127.71 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - April 17, 10:15AM-10:30AM ETDown | buy | 8.63 | $0.050 | $0.43 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - April 17, 10:15AM-10:30AM ETUp | buy | 0.23 | $0.990 | $0.23 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?No | buy | 38 | $0.964 | $36.63 | Apr 16, 2026 |
 Anthropic CEO arrested?No | buy | 20 | $0.984 | $19.68 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | buy | 15 | $0.962 | $14.43 | Apr 16, 2026 |
 GTA VI released before June 2026?No | buy | 15 | $0.985 | $14.78 | Apr 16, 2026 |
 Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?No | buy | 40 | $0.999 | $39.96 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 30 | $0.995 | $29.85 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 50 | $0.995 | $49.75 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 10.25 | $0.025 | $0.26 | Mar 23, 2026 |
 Will Galatasaray win the 2025–26 Champions League?No | buy | 60 | $0.991 | $59.46 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 Champions League?No | buy | 50 | $0.989 | $49.45 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?No | buy | 55 | $0.999 | $54.95 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3AM ETUp | buy | 10 | $0.370 | $3.7 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.818 | $6.54 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.253 | $25.3 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.113 | $1.13 | Feb 20, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 11 | $0.760 | $8.36 | Feb 20, 2026 |
 Will Club Santos Laguna win on 2026-01-30?No | buy | 15.53 | $0.999 | $15.51 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Fed emergency rate cut in 2025?No | buy | 150 | $0.999 | $149.85 | Dec 27, 2025 |
 US national Ethereum reserve in 2025?No | buy | 123 | $0.999 | $122.88 | Dec 27, 2025 |
 US national XRP reserve in 2025?No | buy | 120 | $0.999 | $119.88 | Dec 27, 2025 |
 US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?No | buy | 127.43 | $0.992 | $126.47 | Dec 27, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 544 | $0.996 | $541.82 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No | buy | 5 | $0.981 | $4.91 | Oct 15, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No | buy | 455 | $0.998 | $454.09 | Oct 15, 2025 |
 Will Mistral AI have the best AI model on October 31?No | buy | 16 | $0.999 | $15.98 | Oct 15, 2025 |
 Will Meta have the best AI model on October 31?No | buy | 15 | $0.999 | $14.99 | Oct 15, 2025 |
 Will Microsoft have the best AI model on October 31?No | buy | 21 | $0.999 | $20.98 | Oct 15, 2025 |
 Will Tencent have the best AI model on October 31?No | buy | 22 | $0.999 | $21.98 | Oct 15, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum reach $8000 in September?No | buy | 13 | $0.999 | $12.99 | Sep 25, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200K in September?No | buy | 437 | $0.999 | $436.56 | Sep 25, 2025 |
 Will Solana reach $350 in September?No | buy | 88 | $0.999 | $87.91 | Sep 25, 2025 |