Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump meet with Putin by August 31?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.160 | $16 | Aug 18, 2025 |
|
| sell |
| 40 |
| $0.550 |
| $22 |
| Aug 18, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump visit France in 2025?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.154 | $15.4 | Aug 18, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2025?No | sell | 52.63 | $0.540 | $28.4 | Aug 18, 2025 |
 Will Trump and Zelenskyy hug on Monday?No | sell | 60 | $0.930 | $55.8 | Aug 18, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Putin by August 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.080 | $8 | Aug 16, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Putin by October 31?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.490 | $19.6 | Aug 16, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Putin by August 31?No | sell | 105.46 | $0.920 | $97.02 | Aug 16, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Putin by August 31?No | buy | 105.46 | $0.948 | $100 | Aug 15, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.370 | $37 | Aug 15, 2025 |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?Yes | sell | 99.99 | $0.290 | $29 | Aug 15, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Rare Earth" during conference with Putin on August 15?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.400 | $10 | Aug 15, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.440 | $44 | Aug 15, 2025 |
 Will Trump and Putin hug on Friday?No | buy | 70 | $0.950 | $66.5 | Aug 15, 2025 |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?Yes | buy | 99.99 | $0.290 | $29 | Aug 15, 2025 |
 Will MrBeast's TeamWater livestream last between 24 and 36 hours?Yes | buy | 23 | $0.112 | $2.58 | Aug 15, 2025 |
| Will MrBeast's TeamWater livestream last between 24 and 36 hours?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.110 | $2.2 | Aug 15, 2025 |
| Will MrBeast's TeamWater livestream last between 12 and 24 hours?Yes | buy | 9.01 | $0.910 | $8.2 | Aug 15, 2025 |
| Will MrBeast's TeamWater livestream last between 12 and 24 hours?Yes | buy | 10.99 | $0.910 | $10 | Aug 15, 2025 |
| Will MrBeast's TeamWater livestream last between 12 and 24 hours?Yes | buy | 21.02 | $0.951 | $20 | Aug 15, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Biden's war" during conference with Putin on August 15?No | buy | 43.48 | $0.460 | $20 | Aug 15, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Biden's war" during conference with Putin on August 15?No | buy | 43.48 | $0.460 | $20 | Aug 15, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2025?No | buy | 52.63 | $0.380 | $20 | Aug 15, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin shake hands on Friday?No | buy | 100 | $0.050 | $5 | Aug 15, 2025 |
 Will MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?Yes | sell | 256.34 | $0.930 | $238.4 | Aug 15, 2025 |
| Will MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?Yes | buy | 133 | $0.750 | $99.75 | Aug 11, 2025 |
| Will MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?Yes | buy | 90.2 | $0.740 | $66.75 | Aug 11, 2025 |
| Will MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?Yes | buy | 33.14 | $0.700 | $23.2 | Aug 11, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | sell | 385.9 | $0.350 | $135.06 | Aug 9, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | buy | 204.08 | $0.490 | $100 | May 17, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | buy | 181.82 | $0.550 | $100 | May 11, 2025 |
 Will new pope be 70+ years old?Yes | sell | 125 | $0.550 | $68.75 | Apr 24, 2025 |
| Will new pope be 70+ years old?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.560 | $112 | Apr 24, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | sell | 420 | $0.590 | $247.8 | Apr 23, 2025 |
 Will Anthony Albanese be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the 2025 election?No | buy | 200 | $0.170 | $34 | Apr 21, 2025 |
| Will Anthony Albanese be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the 2025 election?No | buy | 390 | $0.170 | $66.3 | Apr 21, 2025 |
 Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?Yes | sell | 170 | $0.143 | $24.31 | Apr 19, 2025 |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?Yes | sell | 140 | $0.144 | $20.16 | Apr 19, 2025 |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?Yes | buy | 140 | $0.150 | $21 | Apr 19, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | sell | 227.27 | $0.610 | $138.63 | Apr 19, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | buy | 227.27 | $0.440 | $100 | Apr 14, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 30+ times during NRCC Dinner on April 8?No | buy | 20 | $0.590 | $11.8 | Apr 9, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during NRCC Dinner on April 8?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.590 | $11.8 | Apr 9, 2025 |
 Will Trump reduce majority of tariffs before July?No | sell | 100 | $0.730 | $73 | Apr 4, 2025 |
| Will Trump reduce majority of tariffs before July?No | buy | 100 | $0.753 | $75.27 | Apr 4, 2025 |
 Yoon reinstated as President before July?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.050 | $2.5 | Apr 4, 2025 |
 Yoon out as president of South Korea before May?No | buy | 100 | $0.030 | $3 | Apr 4, 2025 |
| Yoon reinstated as President before July?Yes | buy | 21 | $0.330 | $6.93 | Apr 4, 2025 |
| Yoon reinstated as President before July?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.280 | $56 | Apr 3, 2025 |
| Yoon reinstated as President before July?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.320 | $96 | Apr 3, 2025 |