Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?Yes | sell | 76.02 | $0.072 | $5.45 | 19d ago |
|
| buy |
| 76.03 |
| $0.125 |
| $9.5 |
| 19d ago |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | sell | 10 | $0.750 | $7.5 | 28d ago |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | buy | 11.96 | $0.794 | $9.5 | 28d ago |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | sell | 12.18 | $0.770 | $9.38 | 28d ago |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | buy | 12.18 | $0.780 | $9.5 | 28d ago |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | sell | 13.77 | $0.700 | $9.64 | 28d ago |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | buy | 13.77 | $0.690 | $9.5 | 28d ago |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | sell | 13.57 | $0.630 | $8.55 | 28d ago |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | buy | 13.57 | $0.700 | $9.5 | 28d ago |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No | sell | 11.04 | $0.830 | $9.16 | 28d ago |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No | buy | 11.05 | $0.860 | $9.5 | 28d ago |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.330 | $3.3 | 28d ago |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | buy | 28.79 | $0.330 | $9.5 | 28d ago |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Yes | sell | 39.58 | $0.206 | $8.17 | 29d ago |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 13.76 | $0.680 | $9.36 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 13.77 | $0.690 | $9.5 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?No | sell | 10.55 | $0.890 | $9.39 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?No | buy | 10.56 | $0.900 | $9.5 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election?No | sell | 23.75 | $0.380 | $9.03 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election?No | buy | 23.75 | $0.400 | $9.5 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | sell | 10.44 | $0.900 | $9.4 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | buy | 10.44 | $0.910 | $9.5 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?No | sell | 20.66 | $0.420 | $8.68 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?No | buy | 20.65 | $0.460 | $9.5 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?No | sell | 24.35 | $0.380 | $9.25 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?No | buy | 24.36 | $0.390 | $9.5 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on August 31?Yes | sell | 14.84 | $0.620 | $9.2 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on August 31?Yes | buy | 14.84 | $0.640 | $9.5 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No | sell | 14.62 | $0.594 | $8.68 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No | buy | 14.62 | $0.650 | $9.5 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | sell | 15.83 | $0.580 | $9.18 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | buy | 15.83 | $0.600 | $9.5 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No | sell | 15.08 | $0.597 | $9 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No | buy | 15.08 | $0.630 | $9.5 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No | sell | 15.57 | $0.570 | $8.87 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No | buy | 15.57 | $0.610 | $9.5 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No | sell | 15.58 | $0.560 | $8.72 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No | buy | 15.57 | $0.610 | $9.5 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026?Yes | sell | 36.54 | $0.220 | $8.04 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 36.54 | $0.260 | $9.5 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026?Yes | sell | 33.93 | $0.247 | $8.38 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 33.93 | $0.280 | $9.5 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026?No | sell | 12.18 | $0.747 | $9.1 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026?No | buy | 12.18 | $0.780 | $9.5 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 Will Ed Case be the HI-01 Democratic nominee?Yes | sell | 14.2 | $0.487 | $6.92 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Ed Case be the HI-01 Democratic nominee?Yes | buy | 12.03 | $0.790 | $9.5 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Ed Case be the HI-01 Democratic nominee?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.750 | $7.5 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Ed Case be the HI-01 Democratic nominee?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.750 | $7.5 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Ed Case be the HI-01 Democratic nominee?Yes | buy | 12.03 | $0.790 | $9.5 | Aug 9, 2026 |