Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? | Yes | 200 | $0.520 | $113 | +$9 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?No | buy | 5 | $0.964 | $4.82 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 75.25 |
| $0.620 |
| $51.92 |
| +$5.27 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? | No | 5 | $0.964 | $4.95 | +$0.13 |
| buy |
| 5 |
| $0.900 |
| $4.5 |
| May 29, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?No | buy | 5 | $0.992 | $4.96 | May 29, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?No | buy | 5 | $0.860 | $4.3 | May 29, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 240 | $0.956 | $229.37 | May 17, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?No | buy | 38.27 | $0.994 | $38.04 | Apr 26, 2026 |
 Tria FDV above $50M one day after launch?No | buy | 1K | $0.002 | $2 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Opinion FDV above $4B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.039 | $39 | Jan 26, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 7.7K | $0.560 | $4.31K | Jan 19, 2026 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 4.42K | $0.997 | $4.4K | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No | sell | 4.42K | $0.996 | $4.4K | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 4.42K | $0.997 | $4.41K | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?No | sell | 132.6 | $0.031 | $4.11 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?No | sell | 7.4 | $0.320 | $2.37 | Nov 6, 2025 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal before August?No | buy | 38.19 | $0.810 | $30.93 | Jun 30, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.613 | $12.26 | Nov 1, 2024 |
 Will Daniel Chapo win the Mozambican presidential election?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.998 | $9.98 | Oct 11, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 1.85K | $0.516 | $953.64 | Oct 6, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 1.95K | $0.488 | $949.7 | Oct 6, 2024 |