Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | No | 109.29 | $0.915 | $104.32 | +$4.32 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 5:50AM-5:55AM ETDown | buy | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 11.9 |
| $0.840 |
| $11.46 |
| +$1.46 |
 Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | No | 10.4 | $0.962 | $10.19 | +$0.19 |
 Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 10.12 | $0.988 | $10.1 | +$0.1 |
 SBF released from custody in 2026? | No | 5.32 | $0.940 | $5.19 | +$0.19 |
 Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? | No | 5.2 | $0.961 | $5.08 | +$0.08 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 3.24 | $0.927 | $3.11 | +$0.11 |
 Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31? | No | 2.13 | $0.940 | $2.08 | +$0.08 |
 Will Dan Caine be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 1K | $0.001 | $1.5 | +$0.5 |
 Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026? | No | 1.02 | $0.979 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
| buy |
| 2.24 |
| $0.893 |
| $2 |
| Jun 16, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 2.17 | $0.920 | $2 | May 31, 2026 |
 Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 4:15AM-4:20AM ETUp | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | May 31, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:15AM-4:20AM ETUp | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | May 31, 2026 |
| Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?No | buy | 2.13 | $0.940 | $2 | May 31, 2026 |
 Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 73m and 79m?No | sell | 600 | $0.817 | $490.03 | May 31, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?No | buy | 3.04 | $0.988 | $3 | May 29, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:00PM-11:05PM ETDown | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | May 27, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?No | sell | 297 | $0.263 | $78.25 | May 27, 2026 |
 Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit TigersDetroit Tigers | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | May 27, 2026 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | sell | 94.48 | $0.670 | $63.3 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?No | buy | 2.03 | $0.985 | $2 | May 3, 2026 |
 Solana Up or Down - April 29, 4:15AM-4:20AM ETUp | buy | 1.03 | $0.970 | $1 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:15AM-4:20AM ETUp | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 30?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.980 | $1 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:45AM-3:50AM ETDown | buy | 1.16 | $0.840 | $0.98 | Apr 27, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 3.24 | $0.927 | $3 | Apr 27, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:40AM-3:45AM ETUp | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $0.99 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.992 | $1 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 Huzhou: Xiaodi You vs Jiajing LuXiaodi You | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $0.99 | Apr 27, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:35AM-7:40AM ETDown | buy | 1.52 | $0.620 | $0.95 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.979 | $1 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 1.03 | $0.967 | $1 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?No | buy | 5.2 | $0.961 | $5 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:30AM-7:35AM ETDown | buy | 1.86 | $0.500 | $0.93 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 12:05AM-12:10AM ETDown | buy | 1.2 | $0.810 | $0.97 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No | buy | 109.29 | $0.915 | $100 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Athletics vs. Seattle MarinersAthletics | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 12:00AM-12:05AM ETUp | buy | 1.11 | $0.890 | $0.98 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| SBF released from custody in 2026?No | buy | 5.32 | $0.940 | $5 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| Will Dan Caine be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Yes | buy | 205.13 | $0.975 | $200 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No | buy | 5.12 | $0.976 | $5 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 8?Yes | buy | 2.01 | $0.997 | $2 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Thunder vs. LakersThunder | buy | 2.1 | $0.950 | $1.99 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 10:15PM-10:20PM ETDown | buy | 1.08 | $0.920 | $0.99 | Mar 30, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No | buy | 10.18 | $0.982 | $10 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?No | sell | 829.46 | $0.990 | $821.32 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 7:25AM-7:30AM ETUp | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?No | buy | 827.45 | $0.991 | $820 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes | buy | 10.02 | $0.998 | $10 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C on March 27?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.990 | $1 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 10.12 | $0.988 | $10 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?No | sell | 803.21 | $0.997 | $800.8 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?No | buy | 803.21 | $0.996 | $800 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 11:10PM-11:15PM ETUp | buy | 1.22 | $0.810 | $0.99 | Mar 25, 2026 |
 Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?No | buy | 5.03 | $0.995 | $5 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?No | buy | 2.02 | $0.989 | $2 | Mar 20, 2026 |
 Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No | buy | 10.04 | $0.996 | $10 | Mar 20, 2026 |