Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 138.05 | $0.022 | $3 | Feb 22, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 1.23 |
| $0.810 |
| $1 |
| Feb 22, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1 | Feb 22, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Feb 22, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Feb 22, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | Feb 22, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Feb 22, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Feb 22, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.978 | $1 | Feb 22, 2026 |
 Will Bangladesh Jamaat-e-Islami win the most seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Feb 10, 2026 |
 Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.992 | $1 | Feb 10, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Feb 10, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 12, 2026?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.972 | $1 | Feb 10, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 11, 2026?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.984 | $1 | Feb 10, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 10, 2026?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.992 | $1 | Feb 10, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?No | buy | 2.03 | $0.986 | $2 | Feb 10, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?No | buy | 7.06 | $0.850 | $6 | Feb 10, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?No | buy | 16.71 | $0.359 | $6 | Feb 10, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 33.43 | $0.179 | $6 | Feb 10, 2026 |
 Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?Yes | sell | 10.21 | $0.999 | $10.2 | Feb 10, 2026 |
 Will CDA be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?Yes | sell | 1.51 | $0.985 | $1.49 | Feb 10, 2026 |
 Will BBB be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?No | sell | 1.51 | $0.988 | $1.49 | Feb 10, 2026 |
 Will JA21 be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?No | sell | 1.51 | $0.990 | $1.49 | Feb 10, 2026 |
 Will GL/PvdA be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?No | sell | 1.51 | $0.992 | $1.5 | Feb 10, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.987 | $1 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 8, 2026?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.994 | $1 | Feb 8, 2026 |
 Will Anutin Charnvirakul be the next prime minister of Thailand?Yes | buy | 11.27 | $0.710 | $8 | Feb 8, 2026 |
 Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 6?No | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Feb 8, 2026 |
 Will Seguro win all of Portugal's districts?Yes | buy | 9.3 | $0.860 | $8 | Feb 8, 2026 |
 US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?No | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.970 | $1 | Feb 6, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.981 | $1 | Feb 6, 2026 |
 Will BAILE INOLVIDABLE be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?Yes | buy | 8.19 | $0.976 | $8 | Feb 6, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?No | buy | 7.29 | $0.960 | $7 | Feb 6, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?No | buy | 10.15 | $0.788 | $8 | Feb 6, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 10.84 | $0.738 | $8 | Feb 6, 2026 |
 US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31?Yes | sell | 10.75 | $0.958 | $10.3 | Feb 6, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 317.95 | $0.028 | $9 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Will 50PLUS be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?No | buy | 1.5 | $0.997 | $1.5 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Will SGP be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?No | buy | 1.51 | $0.996 | $1.5 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Will SP be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?No | buy | 1.51 | $0.995 | $1.5 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Will PVV be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?No | buy | 1.5 | $0.998 | $1.5 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Will BBB be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?No | buy | 1.51 | $0.993 | $1.5 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Will FvD be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?No | buy | 1.51 | $0.994 | $1.5 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Will CU be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?No | buy | 1.51 | $0.996 | $1.5 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Will GL/PvdA be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?No | buy | 1.52 | $0.990 | $1.5 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Will JA21 be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?No | buy | 1.52 | $0.988 | $1.5 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Will CDA be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?Yes | buy | 1.52 | $0.989 | $1.5 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Will VVD be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?Yes | buy | 1.52 | $0.990 | $1.5 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Will D66 be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?Yes | buy | 1.51 | $0.992 | $1.5 | Feb 4, 2026 |