Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 300 | $0.916 | $287.85 | +$13.05 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?No | buy | 99.99 | $0.822 | $82.19 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 350.88 |
| $0.570 |
| $278.95 |
| +$78.95 |
 Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? | Yes | 88.57 | $0.770 | $79.27 | +$11.07 |
| buy |
| 100 |
| $0.790 |
| $79 |
| Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.790 | $79 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 350.88 | $0.570 | $200 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | buy | 15 | $0.916 | $13.74 | May 2, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 62.5 | $0.800 | $50 | May 2, 2026 |
 Spirit Airlines shutdown/liquidation by May 31?No | buy | 166.67 | $0.090 | $15 | May 2, 2026 |
| Xi Jinping out by June 30?No | buy | 400 | $0.965 | $386 | Feb 12, 2026 |
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes | sell | 14.52 | $0.360 | $5.23 | Jan 27, 2026 |
 Will Gold close between $4400 and $4500 at the end of 2025?Yes | buy | 79.7 | $0.125 | $10 | Dec 5, 2025 |
| Will Gold close between $4500 and $4600 at the end of 2025?Yes | buy | 257 | $0.058 | $15 | Dec 5, 2025 |
| 'No change' or '25 bps cut' favored for Fed decision in January on December 10?25 bps cut | buy | 150 | $0.130 | $19.5 | Dec 5, 2025 |
 First to 5k: Gold or ETH?Gold | buy | 491.8 | $0.610 | $300 | Dec 2, 2025 |
 Will the Fed cut-cut-cut in 2025?Yes | sell | 520.04 | $0.680 | $353.63 | Nov 4, 2025 |
 Will Elon and DOGE cut more than 200k employees in 2025?Yes | buy | 34.49 | $0.460 | $15.87 | Oct 17, 2025 |
 Will Elon and DOGE cut less than 50k employees in 2025?No | buy | 30 | $0.934 | $28.02 | Oct 17, 2025 |
 Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?Yes | sell | 182.25 | $0.210 | $38.27 | Oct 8, 2025 |
 Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?Yes | buy | 68.97 | $0.290 | $20 | Sep 19, 2025 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes | buy | 400 | $0.250 | $100 | Sep 19, 2025 |
| Will the Fed cut-cut-cut in 2025?Yes | buy | 226.42 | $0.530 | $120 | Sep 12, 2025 |
| Will the Fed cut-cut-cut in 2025?Yes | buy | 37.74 | $0.530 | $20 | Sep 12, 2025 |
| Will the Fed cut-cut-cut in 2025?Yes | buy | 37.04 | $0.540 | $20 | Sep 12, 2025 |
| Will the Fed cut-cut-cut in 2025?Yes | buy | 37.04 | $0.540 | $20 | Sep 12, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?No | buy | 27.03 | $0.740 | $20 | Sep 12, 2025 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $115,000 on September 12 at 12AM ET?No | buy | 50 | $0.100 | $5 | Sep 12, 2025 |
| Will the Fed cut-cut-cut in 2025?Yes | buy | 181.82 | $0.550 | $100 | Sep 12, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $115,000 on September 12 at 12AM ET?No | buy | 83.33 | $0.120 | $10 | Sep 12, 2025 |
 Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2025?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.910 | $91 | Sep 12, 2025 |
| Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2025?No | sell | 120 | $0.091 | $10.97 | Sep 12, 2025 |
 Canada recession in 2025?Yes | buy | 275.81 | $0.363 | $100 | Sep 12, 2025 |
| Canada recession in 2025?Yes | buy | 21 | $0.350 | $7.35 | Sep 12, 2025 |
| Canada recession in 2025?Yes | buy | 28.44 | $0.352 | $10 | Sep 12, 2025 |
| Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2025?No | buy | 120 | $0.150 | $18 | Sep 12, 2025 |
| Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2025?No | buy | 105.26 | $0.950 | $100 | Sep 12, 2025 |
 ECB rate cut in 2025?No | buy | 24.39 | $0.820 | $20 | Sep 12, 2025 |
| ECB rate cut in 2025?No | buy | 24.1 | $0.830 | $20 | Sep 12, 2025 |
| ECB rate cut in 2025?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.800 | $10 | Sep 12, 2025 |
| ECB rate cut in 2025?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.800 | $10 | Sep 12, 2025 |
| ECB rate cut in 2025?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.800 | $10 | Sep 12, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?No | buy | 668.06 | $0.748 | $500 | Sep 12, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 307.06 | $0.977 | $300 | Sep 12, 2025 |
| Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?Yes | buy | 151.52 | $0.660 | $100 | Sep 12, 2025 |
| Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?Yes | buy | 15.36 | $0.651 | $10 | Sep 12, 2025 |
| Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?Yes | buy | 15.38 | $0.650 | $10 | Sep 12, 2025 |
 Will the price of XRP be between $2.97 and $3.00 on September 10 at 12AM ET?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.060 | $20 | Sep 10, 2025 |
| Will the price of XRP be between $2.94 and $2.97 on September 10 at 12AM ET?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.880 | $40 | Sep 10, 2025 |
| Will the price of XRP be between $2.91 and $2.94 on September 10 at 12AM ET?Yes | buy | 222.22 | $0.090 | $20 | Sep 10, 2025 |
 Will Trump's approval rating hit 40% in 2025?Yes | buy | 999 | $0.200 | $199.8 | Sep 10, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 520.29 | $0.961 | $500 | Sep 10, 2025 |
 US government shutdown by October 1?No | buy | 51.61 | $0.620 | $32 | Sep 9, 2025 |