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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 1.19 | $0.988 | $1.18 | Jul 21, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 1.08 |
| $0.994 |
| $1.07 |
| Jun 9, 2026 |
Will New Zealand win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 1.16 | $0.965 | $1.12 | Jun 9, 2026 |
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 2.16 | $0.997 | $2.15 | Jun 9, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C or higher on May 21?No | buy | 1.13 | $0.998 | $1.13 | May 20, 2026 |
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes | buy | 2.61 | $0.959 | $2.5 | May 20, 2026 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes | buy | 3.62 | $0.968 | $3.5 | May 20, 2026 |
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?Yes | buy | 2.74 | $0.987 | $2.7 | Mar 9, 2026 |
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?Yes | buy | 1.43 | $0.976 | $1.4 | Mar 9, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?No | buy | 3.82 | $0.996 | $3.8 | Mar 9, 2026 |
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 22?Yes | buy | 1.68 | $0.950 | $1.6 | Feb 22, 2026 |
Will Anthropic have the second-best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | buy | 3.04 | $0.921 | $2.8 | Feb 22, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?No | buy | 10.29 | $0.999 | $10.28 | Feb 22, 2026 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.31 | $0.993 | $1.3 | Jan 2, 2026 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes | buy | 2.53 | $0.950 | $2.4 | Jan 2, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 December 29-January 4?No | buy | 3.21 | $0.998 | $3.2 | Jan 2, 2026 |
Will no CEO be announced in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.33 | $0.975 | $1.3 | Dec 11, 2025 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on December 10?No | buy | 3.04K | $0.999 | $3.04K | Dec 10, 2025 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on December 10?No | buy | 250 | $0.998 | $249.5 | Dec 9, 2025 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on December 9?No | buy | 3.79K | $0.999 | $3.78K | Dec 8, 2025 |
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on December 8?No | buy | 3.55K | $0.998 | $3.54K | Dec 8, 2025 |
Solana Up or Down - December 7, 8AM ETDown | buy | 300 | $0.950 | $285 | Dec 7, 2025 |
Solana Up or Down - December 7, 7AM ETUp | buy | 268 | $0.980 | $262.64 | Dec 7, 2025 |
Solana Up or Down - December 7, 7AM ETUp | buy | 318 | $0.980 | $311.64 | Dec 7, 2025 |
Solana Up or Down - December 7, 7AM ETUp | buy | 150 | $0.980 | $147 | Dec 7, 2025 |
Solana Up or Down - December 7, 7AM ETUp | buy | 27.4 | $0.970 | $26.58 | Dec 7, 2025 |
Solana Up or Down - December 7, 3AM ETDown | buy | 50 | $0.080 | $4 | Dec 7, 2025 |
Solana Up or Down - December 7, 1AM ETUp | buy | 100 | $0.980 | $98 | Dec 7, 2025 |
Solana Up or Down - December 7, 1AM ETUp | buy | 151 | $0.970 | $146.47 | Dec 7, 2025 |
Solana Up or Down - December 6, 9PM ETUp | buy | 128.36 | $0.970 | $124.51 | Dec 7, 2025 |
Solana Up or Down - December 6, 7PM ETDown | buy | 300 | $0.163 | $48.99 | Dec 7, 2025 |
Solana Up or Down - December 6, 7PM ETUp | buy | 150 | $0.900 | $135 | Dec 7, 2025 |
Solana Up or Down - December 6, 8AM ETUp | buy | 9.67 | $0.970 | $9.38 | Dec 6, 2025 |
Solana Up or Down - December 6, 7AM ETDown | buy | 200 | $0.970 | $194 | Dec 6, 2025 |
Solana Up or Down - December 6, 6AM ETUp | buy | 84.73 | $0.950 | $80.49 | Dec 6, 2025 |
Solana Up or Down - December 6, 6AM ETUp | buy | 142.84 | $0.930 | $132.84 | Dec 6, 2025 |
Will Google have the top AI model at the end of November 2025?Yes | buy | 1.85 | $0.920 | $1.7 | Nov 7, 2025 |
Will no CEO be announced in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.64 | $0.975 | $1.6 | Nov 7, 2025 |
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?Yes | buy | 1.44 | $0.970 | $1.4 | Nov 7, 2025 |
Will Sanae Takaichi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?Yes | buy | 1.23 | $0.976 | $1.2 | Oct 19, 2025 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $112,000 on October 19?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.999 | $1.2 | Oct 19, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $135k in October?No | buy | 2.77 | $0.974 | $2.7 | Oct 19, 2025 |
Will the price of Solana be above $190 on September 27?Yes | buy | 2.78K | $0.999 | $2.78K | Sep 27, 2025 |
Will the price of Solana be above $190 on September 27?Yes | buy | 3.63K | $0.999 | $3.63K | Sep 26, 2025 |
Will the price of Ethereum be between $4700 and $4800 on September 1?No | buy | 1.7 | $0.998 | $1.7 | Sep 1, 2025 |
Bitcoin above $116K on September 1?No | buy | 1.6 | $0.998 | $1.6 | Sep 1, 2025 |