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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Gemini 4.0 released by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 31 | $0.996 | $30.88 | 15d ago |
 |
| buy |
| 31 |
| $0.996 |
| $30.88 |
| Jul 19, 2026 |
 Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 78 | $0.988 | $77.06 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 39 | $0.998 | $38.92 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $285 in May?No | buy | 73 | $0.999 | $72.93 | May 23, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 30?Yes | buy | 68 | $0.999 | $67.93 | Apr 30, 2026 |
 Nikita Bier out as Head of Product at X by March 31?No | buy | 58.9 | $0.994 | $58.55 | Mar 29, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 7?No | buy | 133 | $0.997 | $132.6 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 Will Agibot have robot dancers at the 2026 Spring Festival Gala?No | buy | 130 | $0.999 | $129.87 | Feb 16, 2026 |
 Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 1?Yes | buy | 15.77 | $0.986 | $15.55 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Will the US next strike Iran on February 1, 2026 (ET)?No | buy | 40 | $0.998 | $39.92 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2025?No | buy | 34.7 | $0.999 | $34.67 | Dec 29, 2025 |
 Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 3?No | buy | 54.66 | $0.984 | $53.79 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30?No | buy | 30 | $0.980 | $29.4 | Nov 8, 2025 |
 Will Monad perform an airdrop by June 30?Yes | buy | 29.19 | $0.989 | $28.87 | Oct 9, 2025 |
 Xi Jinping out before October?No | buy | 218.87 | $0.998 | $218.43 | Sep 19, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?No | buy | 22.27 | $0.983 | $21.89 | Aug 8, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?No | buy | 21.89 | $0.985 | $21.56 | Jul 29, 2025 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by Friday?No | buy | 21.56 | $0.979 | $21.11 | Jun 20, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet 300–324 times May 2–9?No | buy | 31.11 | $0.999 | $31.08 | May 9, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet less than 100 times April 11–18?No | buy | 111.08 | $0.998 | $110.86 | Apr 13, 2025 |
 Will Dogecoin reach $0.60 in March?No | buy | 26.38 | $0.997 | $26.3 | Mar 17, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 400-449 times Feb 21-28?No | buy | 100.78 | $0.998 | $100.58 | Feb 25, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 7?No | buy | 23.32 | $0.999 | $23.3 | Feb 7, 2025 |
 Will $Trump FDV be less than $5b on Feb 1?No | buy | 31.19 | $0.994 | $31 | Jan 28, 2025 |
 Will Trump create a Bitcoin reserve in first week?No | buy | 30.12 | $0.996 | $30 | Jan 25, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by January 31, 2025?No | buy | 39.39 | $0.990 | $39 | Jan 16, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet less than 550 times Jan 3-Jan 10?Yes | buy | 1.76K | $0.001 | $1.76 | Jan 9, 2025 |
 Ethena USDe flips USDC market cap in 2024?No | buy | 19.78 | $0.998 | $19.74 | Dec 28, 2024 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024?No | buy | 29.34 | $0.987 | $28.96 | Dec 12, 2024 |
 Will China unban Bitcoin in 2024?No | buy | 25.2 | $0.974 | $24.54 | Dec 3, 2024 |
 Will Berachain launch a token in November?No | buy | 73.24 | $0.993 | $72.73 | Nov 23, 2024 |
 Will Trump tweet 50 or more times Nov 8-15?No | buy | 62.75 | $0.998 | $62.62 | Nov 14, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 52.55 | $0.998 | $52.44 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Swell airdrop in 2024?Yes | buy | 20.06 | $0.996 | $19.98 | Nov 5, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris drop out of presidential race?No | buy | 29.8 | $0.999 | $29.77 | Nov 5, 2024 |
 Trump in jail before election day?No | buy | 22.64 | $0.995 | $22.53 | Oct 30, 2024 |
 Will Trump tweet 10-19 times Oct 25 - Nov 1?No | buy | 72.28 | $0.999 | $72.21 | Oct 26, 2024 |
 Scroll airdrop in 2024?Yes | buy | 72.2 | $0.990 | $71.48 | Oct 20, 2024 |
 Pudgy Penguins airdrop by September 30?No | buy | 24.61 | $0.997 | $24.54 | Sep 24, 2024 |
 Linea airdrop by September 30?No | buy | 46.87 | $0.999 | $46.82 | Sep 24, 2024 |
 Trump posts less than 5 times on X?No | buy | 84.64 | $0.999 | $84.56 | Aug 25, 2024 |
| Trump posts 100 or more times on X?No | buy | 84.56 | $0.999 | $84.48 | Aug 21, 2024 |
 Will Trump tweet 7 times this week?No | buy | 84.47 | $0.998 | $84.3 | Aug 18, 2024 |
 Will Trump post 50 or more times this week?No | buy | 84.3 | $0.999 | $84.22 | Aug 16, 2024 |
 Will Elon tweet less than 60 times?No | buy | 24.28 | $0.999 | $24.26 | Aug 10, 2024 |
 Will Kamala drop out in July?No | buy | 40.08 | $0.999 | $40.04 | Jul 29, 2024 |
 Will Trump be Speaker by August 1?No | buy | 44.11 | $0.997 | $43.98 | Jul 27, 2024 |
 CrowdStrike caused by a hack?No | buy | 40.04 | $0.999 | $40 | Jul 27, 2024 |
 Nasrallah remains leader of Hezbollah through July?Yes | sell | 23.3 | $0.973 | $22.67 | Jul 22, 2024 |