Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 55.95 | $0.983 | $55.87 | +$0.87 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $3.00 (LOW) by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 8.27 | $0.967 | $8 | May 18, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 7.09 |
| $0.988 |
| $7 |
| Feb 22, 2026 |
 Negative GDP growth in Q3 2025?No | buy | 5.04 | $0.993 | $5 | Nov 29, 2025 |
 5% GDP contraction in Q3 2025?No | buy | 5.03 | $0.994 | $5 | Nov 29, 2025 |
| Negative GDP growth in Q3 2025?No | buy | 5.04 | $0.993 | $5 | Nov 29, 2025 |
 Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in November?Yes | buy | 5.12 | $0.976 | $5 | Nov 29, 2025 |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?No | buy | 5.28 | $0.947 | $5 | Nov 29, 2025 |
 Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | buy | 6.38 | $0.941 | $6 | Oct 24, 2025 |
 Will the September 2025 unemployment rate be ≤4.0%?No | buy | 5.02 | $0.997 | $5 | Oct 24, 2025 |
 Trump approval Up or Down this week?Down | buy | 8.01 | $0.999 | $8 | Sep 26, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 55.95 | $0.983 | $55 | Aug 13, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Kupiansk by August 31?No | buy | 7.71 | $0.908 | $7 | Aug 13, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 65.98 | $0.984 | $64.92 | Aug 13, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 65.99 | $0.985 | $65 | Aug 13, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Kupiansk by August 31?No | buy | 5.64 | $0.886 | $5 | Aug 13, 2025 |
 Successful Ukrainian counterattack in Donbass?Yes | sell | 499.99 | $0.161 | $80.3 | Aug 13, 2025 |
 Harvard international students ban ended before August?No | buy | 6.19 | $0.970 | $6 | Jul 27, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 5.13 | $0.975 | $5 | Jun 26, 2025 |
 Will CTBC Flying Oyster win the 2025 Mid-Season Invitational?No | buy | 6.03 | $0.995 | $6 | Jun 26, 2025 |
 Megaquake in May?No | buy | 6.01 | $0.998 | $6 | May 31, 2025 |
 Will Trump increase tariffs on Mexico before May?Yes | buy | 6.85 | $0.876 | $6 | Apr 30, 2025 |
 Israel military action against Iran in April?No | buy | 6.02 | $0.996 | $6 | Apr 30, 2025 |
 DOGE prosecutes US Treasury?No | buy | 8.02 | $0.998 | $8 | Apr 30, 2025 |
 Will Abdullah Öcalan be freed before April?No | buy | 3.01 | $0.998 | $3 | Mar 29, 2025 |
 Luigi Mangione sex tape released before April?No | buy | 7.04 | $0.994 | $7 | Mar 29, 2025 |
 Will The Left wins 5% or more of vote in German election?Yes | buy | 15.02 | $0.999 | $15 | Feb 28, 2025 |
 Tel Aviv bus bomber arrested by Friday?No | buy | 15.58 | $0.963 | $15 | Feb 28, 2025 |
 Will Gold close over $3,000 at the end of 2024?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | Dec 24, 2024 |
 Will Arjun Erigaisi win the 2024 World Rapid Championship?No | buy | 7.45 | $0.940 | $7 | Dec 24, 2024 |
 Will Elon tweet less than 250 times Dec 20-27?No | buy | 8.02 | $0.998 | $8 | Dec 24, 2024 |
 Will Tottenham win the 2024 Carabao Cup?No | buy | 7.69 | $0.910 | $7 | Dec 24, 2024 |
 Congress pay raise removed from funding bill by Friday?Yes | buy | 7.01 | $0.999 | $7 | Dec 24, 2024 |
 Will Liverpool lead the EPL in points at midway point?Yes | buy | 7.1 | $0.986 | $7 | Dec 24, 2024 |
 Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian Presidential election by 10% or more?No | buy | 6.09 | $0.986 | $6 | Dec 24, 2024 |
 Will Marcel Ciolacu win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?No | buy | 6.08 | $0.987 | $6 | Dec 24, 2024 |
 Will Jill Stein get the most votes of any 3rd party candidate?Yes | buy | 5.03 | $0.995 | $5 | Dec 13, 2024 |
 Will RFK Jr. win <1% of the popular vote?Yes | buy | 6.01 | $0.998 | $6 | Dec 13, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris win Vermont by the largest margin?Yes | buy | 6.02 | $0.997 | $6 | Dec 13, 2024 |
 Will Wisconsin be the closest state?Yes | buy | 6.01 | $0.999 | $6 | Dec 13, 2024 |
 Will Pennsylvania be the tipping point state?Yes | buy | 6.04 | $0.994 | $6 | Dec 13, 2024 |
 Will ≥2% of votes go to 3rd Party candidates?Yes | buy | 6.05 | $0.991 | $6 | Dec 13, 2024 |
 Will Jill Stein get >1% of the popular vote?No | buy | 7.01 | $0.999 | $7 | Dec 7, 2024 |
 Will Micheal Martin be the next Prime Minister of Ireland?Yes | buy | 8.59 | $0.931 | $8 | Dec 7, 2024 |
| Will ≥2% of votes go to 3rd Party candidates?Yes | buy | 6.28 | $0.955 | $6 | Dec 7, 2024 |
| Will Pennsylvania be the tipping point state?Yes | buy | 6.01 | $0.998 | $6 | Dec 7, 2024 |
| Will Wisconsin be the closest state?Yes | buy | 6.01 | $0.998 | $6 | Dec 7, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win Vermont by the largest margin?Yes | buy | 6.01 | $0.999 | $6 | Dec 7, 2024 |
 Will Fischer win Nebraska senate election by 7+ points?No | buy | 6.13 | $0.979 | $6 | Nov 24, 2024 |
 IA-01 election: Bohannan (D) vs. Miller-Meeks (R)Miller-Meeks | buy | 5.05 | $0.990 | $5 | Nov 24, 2024 |
 Will RFK Jr. place second in any state?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | Nov 24, 2024 |