Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Biden pardon Trump?Yes | buy | 17.86 | $0.056 | $1 | Sep 19, 2024 |
 |
| buy |
| 6.06 |
| $0.330 |
| $2 |
| Sep 19, 2024 |
 Will Kamala lead by 1.1-1.5 or more points on September 20?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.015 | $0.5 | Sep 19, 2024 |
| Will Kamala lead by 2.1-2.5 or more points on September 20?Yes | buy | 10.53 | $0.190 | $2 | Sep 19, 2024 |
 Will Michelle Obama become Dem Nominee?No | buy | 10.17 | $0.983 | $10 | Sep 1, 2024 |
 Will Trump drop out of presidential race?Yes | buy | 27.78 | $0.036 | $1 | Sep 1, 2024 |
 Will AfD make it into Thuringia or Saxony government?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | Sep 1, 2024 |
 Will Trump debate Kamala on Sept 10?No | buy | 11.76 | $0.170 | $2 | Aug 26, 2024 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 September meeting?Yes | buy | 24.39 | $0.041 | $1 | Aug 25, 2024 |
 Will Taylor Swift endorse Kamala Harris?No | buy | 11.76 | $0.170 | $2 | Aug 24, 2024 |
 Will RFK Jr. debate Biden/Trump?No | buy | 10.16 | $0.984 | $10 | Aug 24, 2024 |
 Fed cuts rates by 75 basis points in Sept meeting?No | buy | 5.13 | $0.974 | $5 | Aug 24, 2024 |
 Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31?No | buy | 5.26 | $0.950 | $5 | Aug 24, 2024 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire before September?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Aug 24, 2024 |
 RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?No | buy | 19.61 | $0.051 | $1 | Aug 24, 2024 |
 Will Taylor Swift attend the DNC?No | buy | 11.57 | $0.864 | $10 | Aug 22, 2024 |
 Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO in 2024?No | buy | 5.56 | $0.900 | $5 | Aug 17, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 6.1 | $0.820 | $5 | Aug 17, 2024 |
 Kamala Harris blowout victory?No | buy | 6.58 | $0.760 | $5 | Aug 17, 2024 |
 10+ monkeypox cases in US by October 31?Yes | buy | 14.71 | $0.680 | $10 | Aug 17, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris say "Not going back" during DNC speech?Yes | buy | 10.87 | $0.920 | $10 | Aug 17, 2024 |
 Elon x Kamala Harris interview in August?No | buy | 10.18 | $0.982 | $10 | Aug 17, 2024 |
 Iran military response by Friday?No | buy | 5.75 | $0.870 | $5 | Aug 17, 2024 |
 Trump in jail before election day?No | buy | 10.48 | $0.954 | $10 | Aug 17, 2024 |
 Fed rate cut by September 18?Yes | buy | 5.32 | $0.940 | $5 | Aug 17, 2024 |
 Will Tim Walz be D-nom for VP on Election Day?Yes | buy | 5.2 | $0.962 | $5 | Aug 17, 2024 |
 Confirmed case of monkeypox in US by Aug 31?Yes | buy | 10.42 | $0.480 | $5 | Aug 17, 2024 |