Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 24.69 | $0.810 | $21.6 | +$1.6 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 1.81K | $0.003 | $5 | 1h ago |
 |
| No |
| 21.19 |
| $0.944 |
| $20.48 |
| +$0.48 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | No | 12.35 | $0.810 | $11.79 | +$1.79 |
 Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? | Yes | 11.76 | $0.850 | $11.52 | +$1.52 |
 Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? | Yes | 12.66 | $0.790 | $11.33 | +$1.33 |
| Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $1,900? | Yes | 10.33 | $0.968 | $10.33 | +$0.33 |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 10.72 | $0.933 | $10.31 | +$0.31 |
 Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? | No | 11.24 | $0.890 | $10.28 | +$0.28 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 10.67 | $0.937 | $10.26 | +$0.26 |
 Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026? | No | 10.64 | $0.940 | $10.24 | +$0.24 |
 Human moon landing in 2026? | No | 10.32 | $0.969 | $10.24 | +$0.24 |
 Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? | No | 10.47 | $0.955 | $10.16 | +$0.16 |
 Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? | No | 10.32 | $0.969 | $10.12 | +$0.12 |
 Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 5.57 | $0.898 | $5.41 | +$0.41 |
| Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 1.81K | $0.003 | $2.71 | -$2.29 |
 Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 1.1% and 1.5%? | Yes | 21.66 | $0.462 | $2.38 | -$7.62 |
| buy |
| 10.33 |
| $0.968 |
| $10 |
| 1h ago |
 Will Bytedance have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 2.5K | $0.002 | $5 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 732.62 | $0.007 | $5 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 2.5K | $0.002 | $5 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?No | buy | 20 | $0.490 | $9.8 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 17?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.980 | $39.2 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No | sell | 36.58 | $0.610 | $22.31 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 17?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.850 | $34 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 17?No | sell | 80 | $0.151 | $12.06 | Jun 27, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | sell | 11.99 | $0.990 | $11.87 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 17?No | buy | 80 | $0.260 | $20.8 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?No | sell | 34.09 | $0.880 | $30 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 14.53 | $0.793 | $11.52 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No | buy | 36.59 | $0.410 | $15 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes | sell | 12.98 | $0.590 | $7.66 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 24.69 | $0.810 | $20 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?No | buy | 34.09 | $0.880 | $30 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | buy | 21.19 | $0.944 | $20 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?No | sell | 15.87 | $0.930 | $14.76 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes | sell | 15.22 | $0.768 | $11.69 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?No | buy | 15.87 | $0.630 | $10 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?Yes | sell | 49.18 | $0.370 | $18.2 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes | buy | 15.22 | $0.657 | $10 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?Yes | buy | 16.39 | $0.610 | $10 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?Yes | buy | 32.79 | $0.610 | $20 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes | buy | 12.99 | $0.770 | $10 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 8.06 | $0.380 | $3.06 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | sell | 12.65 | $0.760 | $9.61 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 26.01 | $0.192 | $5 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 20.78 | $0.650 | $13.51 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?Yes | buy | 17.54 | $0.570 | $10 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.110 | $10 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 20.79 | $0.481 | $10 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?No | sell | 19.23 | $0.062 | $1.19 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by July 31?No | buy | 15.15 | $0.660 | $10 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 1.1% and 1.5%?Yes | buy | 21.66 | $0.462 | $10 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.800 | $10 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 14.53 | $0.688 | $10 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?No | buy | 11.24 | $0.890 | $10 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No | buy | 12.35 | $0.810 | $10 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?Yes | buy | 16.13 | $0.620 | $10 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 10.64 | $0.940 | $10 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?Yes | buy | 11.76 | $0.850 | $10 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?Yes | buy | 12.66 | $0.790 | $10 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?No | buy | 10.32 | $0.969 | $10 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Human moon landing in 2026?No | buy | 10.32 | $0.969 | $10 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 11.99 | $0.834 | $10 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | buy | 10.72 | $0.933 | $10 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?No | buy | 10.12 | $0.988 | $10 | Jun 2, 2026 |