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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 11.45 | $0.961 | $11 | Aug 10, 2026 |
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| sell |
| 4.03 |
| $0.989 |
| $3.99 |
| Aug 10, 2026 |
Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?No | sell | 5.15 | $0.998 | $5.14 | Aug 10, 2026 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 10, 2026?No | buy | 4.03 | $0.992 | $4 | Aug 10, 2026 |
Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?No | buy | 5.15 | $0.970 | $5 | Jul 17, 2026 |
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 20?No | buy | 2.13 | $0.940 | $2 | Jul 17, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 50.55 | $0.985 | $49.79 | Jun 18, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 50.56 | $0.989 | $50 | Jun 11, 2026 |
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $9,000 by end of June?No | sell | 50.05 | $0.998 | $49.95 | Jun 11, 2026 |
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $9,000 by end of June?No | buy | 50.05 | $0.999 | $50 | Jun 5, 2026 |
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 60.24 | $0.840 | $50.6 | Jun 5, 2026 |
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 60.24 | $0.830 | $50 | Jun 2, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:15AM-4:20AM ETUp | buy | 59.52 | $0.420 | $25 | May 29, 2026 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?No | sell | 59.55 | $0.947 | $56.41 | May 29, 2026 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?No | buy | 59.55 | $0.890 | $53 | May 27, 2026 |
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 57.95 | $0.902 | $52.25 | May 27, 2026 |
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 57.95 | $0.880 | $51 | May 25, 2026 |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No | sell | 55.64 | $0.930 | $51.75 | May 25, 2026 |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No | buy | 55.64 | $0.899 | $50 | May 23, 2026 |
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?Yes | sell | 50.76 | $0.983 | $49.91 | May 23, 2026 |
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?Yes | buy | 50.76 | $0.985 | $50 | May 22, 2026 |
Will Meta have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?No | sell | 37.03 | $0.998 | $36.96 | May 19, 2026 |
Will Meta have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?No | buy | 37.04 | $0.999 | $37 | May 18, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:30AM-6:45AM ETUp | buy | 17.24 | $0.290 | $5 | May 18, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:30AM-6:45AM ETUp | buy | 17.24 | $0.290 | $5 | May 18, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:30AM-6:45AM ETUp | buy | 21.74 | $0.230 | $5 | May 18, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:30AM-6:45AM ETUp | buy | 21.74 | $0.230 | $5 | May 18, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:30AM-6:45AM ETUp | buy | 21.74 | $0.230 | $5 | May 18, 2026 |
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No | buy | 3 | $0.999 | $3 | Mar 18, 2026 |
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in February?No | buy | 13.01 | $0.999 | $13 | Feb 22, 2026 |
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?No | buy | 7.01 | $0.999 | $7 | Feb 22, 2026 |
Will the DHS shutdown last 10 days or more?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.999 | $2 | Feb 22, 2026 |
Will Drake have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?No | buy | 6.02 | $0.996 | $6 | Feb 10, 2026 |
Will there be at least 800 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 14.06 | $0.996 | $14 | Feb 10, 2026 |
Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.1% in January?No | buy | 2.01 | $0.995 | $2 | Feb 10, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?No | buy | 3 | $0.999 | $3 | Jan 28, 2026 |
Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?No | buy | 7.02 | $0.997 | $7 | Jan 28, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in January?No | buy | 6.01 | $0.999 | $6 | Jan 28, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?No | buy | 11.01 | $0.999 | $11 | Jan 28, 2026 |