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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | Yes | 109.99 | $0.216 | $3.57 | -$20.22 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?No | buy | 10 | $0.167 | $1.67 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 50 |
| $0.060 |
| $3 |
| Jul 17, 2026 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Yes | sell | 39.98 | $0.340 | $13.59 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 104.48 | $0.220 | $22.99 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?Yes | sell | 194.82 | $0.030 | $5.84 | May 21, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by May 31?Yes | sell | 49.98 | $0.220 | $11 | May 21, 2026 |
 Netanyahu out by May 31?Yes | sell | 142.85 | $0.008 | $1.14 | May 21, 2026 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?Yes | buy | 21.43 | $0.140 | $3 | May 19, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by May 31?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.007 | $1 | May 18, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?Yes | buy | 15.38 | $0.130 | $2 | May 5, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.150 | $5 | May 1, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.150 | $5 | May 1, 2026 |
 QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?No | buy | 23.81 | $0.042 | $1 | May 1, 2026 |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?Yes | sell | 29.98 | $0.190 | $5.7 | May 1, 2026 |
 Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?No | sell | 72.25 | $0.210 | $15.17 | Apr 19, 2026 |
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey?Yes | sell | 155.76 | $0.006 | $0.93 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?No | sell | 30 | $0.090 | $2.7 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?Yes | buy | 22.78 | $0.180 | $4.1 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?No | buy | 32.26 | $0.310 | $10 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 34.48 | $0.290 | $10 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 28.17 | $0.710 | $20 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?No | buy | 40 | $0.260 | $10.4 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey?Yes | buy | 155.76 | $0.006 | $1 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.87 | $0.127 | $1 | Apr 15, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?No | sell | 30 | $0.195 | $5.85 | Apr 15, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.550 | $5.5 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.460 | $9.2 | Apr 11, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $160 end of April?No | sell | 70 | $0.040 | $2.8 | Apr 11, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 31?No | sell | 30 | $0.998 | $29.94 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?No | buy | 30 | $0.840 | $25.2 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 Will Iran strike UAE again in March?No | sell | 80 | $0.125 | $10 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?No | buy | 10 | $0.800 | $8 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No | buy | 20 | $0.840 | $16.8 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?Yes | sell | 29.98 | $0.360 | $10.79 | Mar 23, 2026 |
 Tulsi Gabbard out by March 31?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.068 | $2.04 | Mar 23, 2026 |
 Will Iran strike Ghawar Field by March 31?Yes | sell | 22 | $0.180 | $3.96 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by March 31?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.054 | $1.62 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Tulsi Gabbard out by March 31?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.123 | $3.69 | Mar 20, 2026 |
 Will Frankenstein win Best Production Design at the 98th Academy Awards?No | buy | 6.61 | $0.151 | $1 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?No | sell | 20 | $0.590 | $11.8 | Mar 9, 2026 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?No | sell | 101.69 | $0.375 | $38.16 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?No | buy | 81.7 | $0.306 | $25 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Will another country strike Iran by March 7?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.160 | $2 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Solana Up or Down on January 23?Up | buy | 3.39 | $0.590 | $2 | Jan 23, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Expert" or "Genius" during WEF Address on January 21?No | buy | 5 | $0.250 | $1.25 | Jan 21, 2026 |
 Will 'Avatar: Fire and Ash' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?Yes | sell | 55 | $0.032 | $1.76 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Solana Up or Down on December 9?Up | buy | 3.45 | $0.290 | $1 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on November 30?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.170 | $3.4 | Nov 30, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on November 26?Down | buy | 28.57 | $0.070 | $2 | Nov 26, 2025 |
| Solana Up or Down on November 24?Down | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Nov 24, 2025 |