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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | No | 200 | $0.640 | $182 | +$54 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Jared Kushner visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 653.26 | $0.046 | $30.05 | 4d ago |
 |
| No |
| 200 |
| $0.660 |
| $171 |
| +$39 |
 Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | No | 150 | $0.670 | $132.75 | +$32.25 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | No | 100 | $0.810 | $90.5 | +$9.5 |
 U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by September 30? | No | 120 | $0.423 | $87 | +$36.2 |
 US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30? | No | 80 | $0.770 | $75.6 | +$14 |
 US strike on Colombia by December 31? | Yes | 293.44 | $0.147 | $42.55 | -$0.56 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30? | Yes | 799.99 | $0.070 | $25.2 | -$30.8 |
 NATO downs another Russian drone by September 30? | No | 37.95 | $0.320 | $24.48 | +$12.33 |
 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by August 31? | Yes | 300 | $0.312 | $17.25 | -$76.35 |
| buy |
| 211.85 |
| $0.051 |
| $10.73 |
| 4d ago |
 Will Iran target Kuwait by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.600 | $60 | 17d ago |
 Houthis successfully target shipping by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 138 | $0.408 | $56.36 | 20d ago |
 Will there be 3 or more North Korea tests in August 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.370 | $37 | 20d ago |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.100 | $20 | 20d ago |
 Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 135 | $0.107 | $14.4 | 20d ago |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31?Yes | sell | 120.71 | $0.300 | $36.26 | 21d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.090 | $18 | 24d ago |
 Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.370 | $37 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Iran successfully targets shipping by July 15?Yes | buy | 90.48 | $0.280 | $25.33 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 165 | $0.450 | $74.25 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 100.21 | $0.540 | $54.11 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes | sell | 93.74 | $0.996 | $93.37 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.620 | $62 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will JD Vance sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.560 | $2.8 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31?Yes | sell | 42.6 | $0.280 | $11.93 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.530 | $7.95 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.450 | $2.25 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | buy | 61.99 | $0.670 | $41.53 | May 23, 2026 |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31?Yes | sell | 140 | $0.234 | $32.75 | May 23, 2026 |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31?Yes | sell | 141.31 | $0.232 | $32.8 | May 23, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | sell | 199.99 | $0.700 | $139.99 | May 22, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?No | sell | 193.52 | $0.934 | $180.75 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.600 | $60 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?No | sell | 83.67 | $0.680 | $56.9 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?No | buy | 193.52 | $0.557 | $107.79 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?No | sell | 999.94 | $0.014 | $14 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?No | buy | 10 | $0.300 | $3 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit China by May 31?No | sell | 320.35 | $0.140 | $44.85 | Apr 16, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Yes | sell | 375 | $0.120 | $45 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | sell | 342.14 | $0.920 | $314.77 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes | sell | 400 | $0.998 | $399.2 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?No | sell | 400 | $0.790 | $316 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30?No | buy | 250 | $0.440 | $110 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by March 31?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.013 | $6.64 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by March 31?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.050 | $25 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?No | sell | 137.5 | $0.920 | $126.5 | Mar 28, 2026 |
| U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by March 31?Yes | sell | 364.63 | $0.140 | $51.05 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by March 31?Yes | sell | 125 | $0.350 | $43.75 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by March 31?Yes | sell | 126.93 | $0.380 | $48.23 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?No | buy | 400 | $0.620 | $248 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.230 | $46 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by March 31?Yes | buy | 374.9 | $0.219 | $82.18 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 162.5 | $0.350 | $56.92 | Mar 11, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.699 | $69.9 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | sell | 84.53 | $0.480 | $40.57 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 124.99 | $0.400 | $50 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 199.99 | $0.998 | $199.59 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Yes | sell | 199.99 | $0.920 | $183.99 | Feb 28, 2026 |