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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Deltan Dallagnol win the most votes in the 2026 Paraná Senate election? | Yes | 28.39 | $0.170 | $7.81 | +$2.98 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 255.26 | $0.019 | $4.85 | 12d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 51.84 |
| $0.096 |
| $3.29 |
| -$1.71 |
 Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary? | Yes | 19.84 | $0.244 | $3.23 | -$1.61 |
 StandX FDV above $2B one day after launch? | Yes | 51.09 | $0.110 | $2.89 | -$2.73 |
 Will Imelda Castro Castro win the 2027 Sinaloa Governor Election? | No | 18.65 | $0.260 | $2.52 | -$2.33 |
 Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 41.67 | $0.120 | $2.29 | -$2.71 |
 Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | No | 40.85 | $0.118 | $2.14 | -$2.68 |
 US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026? | Yes | 24.2 | $0.200 | $2.06 | -$2.78 |
 FDA approves Retatrutide this year? | Yes | 30.19 | $0.160 | $1.66 | -$3.17 |
 Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 548.57 | $0.007 | $1.65 | -$2.19 |
 Vanta IPO before 2027? | Yes | 20.83 | $0.120 | $1.35 | -$1.15 |
 Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election? | No | 57.8 | $0.100 | $1.1 | -$4.68 |
 Will there be exactly 2 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? | Yes | 37.31 | $0.067 | $1.08 | -$1.42 |
 Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December? | Yes | 25 | $0.120 | $0.84 | -$2.16 |
 Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 320 | $0.009 | $0.8 | -$2.08 |
 Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 500 | $0.008 | $0.75 | -$3.25 |
 Will Exponent launch a token by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 16.37 | $0.231 | $0.73 | -$3.05 |
 Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 960 | $0.005 | $0.48 | -$4.32 |
 Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 271.17 | $0.008 | $0.41 | -$1.76 |
 Will Sadegh Larijani be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 153.85 | $0.013 | $0.38 | -$1.62 |
 Will the Republican Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 2% and 4%? | Yes | 17.96 | $0.111 | $0.35 | -$1.65 |
 Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 225.44 | $0.010 | $0.34 | -$1.92 |
 Will the US strike 15 or more countries in 2026? | Yes | 62.5 | $0.032 | $0.25 | -$1.75 |
 Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? | Yes | 17.59 | $0.220 | $0.23 | -$3.64 |
 Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record? | Yes | 26.49 | $0.069 | $0.17 | -$1.66 |
| buy |
| 60.13 |
| $0.080 |
| $4.81 |
| 12d ago |
| Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.120 | $5 | 12d ago |
| Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes | buy | 19.84 | $0.244 | $4.84 | 12d ago |
| Will Imelda Castro Castro win the 2027 Sinaloa Governor Election?No | buy | 18.65 | $0.260 | $4.85 | 12d ago |
| Will Deltan Dallagnol win the most votes in the 2026 Paraná Senate election?Yes | buy | 28.39 | $0.170 | $4.83 | 12d ago |
 Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | buy | 278.72 | $0.017 | $4.8 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be less than $1,176,000 on September 30?Yes | buy | 16.07 | $0.300 | $4.82 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the TX-37 House seat?No | buy | 154.84 | $0.031 | $4.8 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?Yes | buy | 24.2 | $0.200 | $4.84 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?No | buy | 17.88 | $0.269 | $4.81 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?Yes | buy | 185.19 | $0.027 | $5 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 92.5 | $0.052 | $4.81 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 960 | $0.005 | $4.8 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 19 | $0.300 | $5.7 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Jung Chung-rae out as DP leader by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 64.22 | $0.090 | $5.78 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?No | buy | 57.8 | $0.100 | $5.78 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| StandX FDV above $2B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 51.09 | $0.110 | $5.62 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Arcium FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 57.35 | $0.098 | $5.62 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will Yvette Cooper be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.44K | $0.004 | $5.76 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 365.38 | $0.013 | $4.75 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Will Washington Wizards win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 404.17 | $0.012 | $4.85 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 1.25K | $0.004 | $5 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.080 | $5 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 249.65 | $0.019 | $4.8 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will Luis Diaz be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 485 | $0.010 | $4.85 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 593.75 | $0.008 | $4.75 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 29.41 | $0.170 | $5 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 342.86 | $0.014 | $4.8 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Will Norway score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 117.07 | $0.041 | $4.8 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?Yes | buy | 175.93 | $0.027 | $4.75 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 266.67 | $0.018 | $4.8 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.070 | $5 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?Yes | buy | 395.83 | $0.012 | $4.75 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will Perena launch a token by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 21.79 | $0.217 | $4.73 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?No | buy | 40.85 | $0.118 | $4.82 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.005 | $5 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | buy | 395.83 | $0.012 | $4.75 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?Yes | buy | 68.71 | $0.070 | $4.81 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will Federico Valverde be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 808.33 | $0.006 | $4.85 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 833.33 | $0.006 | $5 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31 2027?Yes | buy | 102.13 | $0.047 | $4.8 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T?Yes | buy | 53.44 | $0.090 | $4.81 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 165.52 | $0.029 | $4.8 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?Yes | buy | 100.88 | $0.048 | $4.8 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will Bruno Fernandes be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 606.25 | $0.008 | $4.85 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will Rafael Leao be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 970 | $0.005 | $4.85 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump visit France in 2026?No | buy | 218.3 | $0.022 | $4.8 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 45.99 | $0.109 | $5 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| FDA approves Retatrutide this year?Yes | buy | 30.19 | $0.160 | $4.83 | Jun 3, 2026 |