Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | No | 5.88 | $0.850 | $5.38 | +$0.38 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?No | buy | 5.33 | $0.750 | $4 | 4d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 5.32 |
| $0.940 |
| $5.03 |
| +$0.03 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 8.33 | $0.600 | $4.46 | -$0.54 |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | No | 5.33 | $0.750 | $4.08 | +$0.08 |
| Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026? | Yes | 4.5 | $0.890 | $3.91 | -$0.09 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | Yes | 3.49 | $0.860 | $3.02 | +$0.02 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 2.63 | $0.760 | $2.05 | +$0.05 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 2.7 | $0.740 | $2.01 | +$0.01 |
 Will the Democrats win the South Dakota governor race in 2026? | No | 2.06 | $0.972 | $1.97 | -$0.03 |
 Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? | Yes | 2.27 | $0.880 | $1.9 | -$0.1 |
 US recession by end of 2026? | Yes | 16.72 | $0.299 | $1.25 | -$3.75 |
 New pandemic in 2026? | No | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | No | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | $0 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 1.16 | $0.860 | $0.99 | -$0.01 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 9.36 | $0.534 | $0.8 | -$4.2 |
 Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 6.03 | $0.829 | $0.03 | -$4.97 |
| buy |
| 4.49 |
| $0.890 |
| $4 |
| 4d ago |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | 4d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Yes | buy | 3.49 | $0.860 | $3 | 4d ago |
| New pandemic in 2026?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | 4d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | 4d ago |
 Macron out by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 2.1 | $0.960 | $2.02 | 4d ago |
 Will the Democrats win the Pennsylvania governor race in 2026?Yes | sell | 5.43 | $0.961 | $5.22 | 4d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 9:00AM-9:05AM ETUp | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | 4d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 9:00AM-9:05AM ETUp | buy | 2 | $0.500 | $1 | 4d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 8:45AM-8:50AM ETDown | sell | 6.66 | $0.960 | $6.39 | 4d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 8:45AM-8:50AM ETDown | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | 4d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 8:45AM-8:50AM ETUp | sell | 2.38 | $0.610 | $1.45 | 4d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 8:45AM-8:50AM ETUp | buy | 2.38 | $0.420 | $1 | 4d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 8:40AM-8:45AM ETDown | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | 4d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 8:05AM-8:10AM ETUp | sell | 1.35 | $0.990 | $1.34 | 4d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 8:05AM-8:10AM ETUp | buy | 1.35 | $0.740 | $1 | 4d ago |
 Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 5 to September 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.82 | $0.440 | $3 | 4d ago |
 Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026?Yes | sell | 4.41 | $0.890 | $3.92 | 4d ago |
 Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026?Yes | sell | 3.84 | $0.860 | $3.3 | 4d ago |
| Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?Yes | sell | 1.28 | $0.880 | $1.13 | 4d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.600 | $5 | 8d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.63 | $0.760 | $2 | 11d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.88 | $0.850 | $5 | 11d ago |
| Macron out by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.11 | $0.949 | $2 | 11d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 1:45PM-1:50PM ETDown | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | 11d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 1:35PM-1:40PM ETUp | sell | 6.6 | $0.630 | $4.16 | 11d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 1:35PM-1:40PM ETUp | buy | 3.03 | $0.330 | $1 | 11d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 1:35PM-1:40PM ETUp | buy | 3.57 | $0.280 | $1 | 11d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 29 to August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.66 | $0.530 | $3 | 11d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 3.11 | $0.983 | $3.06 | 11d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.75 | $0.570 | $1 | May 5, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.49 | $0.680 | $1.01 | May 5, 2026 |
 Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,500 by end of June?Yes | sell | 17.24 | $0.013 | $0.22 | May 5, 2026 |
 Will the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.242 | $1.21 | May 5, 2026 |
 OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?Yes | sell | 2.89 | $0.730 | $2.11 | May 5, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?No | sell | 3.3 | $0.810 | $2.67 | May 5, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:35AM-10:40AM ETUp | sell | 1.75 | $0.070 | $0.12 | May 1, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:35AM-10:40AM ETUp | buy | 1.75 | $0.570 | $1 | May 1, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:30AM-10:35AM ETUp | sell | 1.85 | $0.560 | $1.04 | May 1, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:30AM-10:35AM ETUp | buy | 1.85 | $0.540 | $1 | May 1, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ETDown | sell | 1.23 | $0.960 | $1.18 | May 1, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ETDown | buy | 1.23 | $0.810 | $1 | May 1, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:10AM-10:15AM ETDown | buy | 1.92 | $0.520 | $1 | May 1, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:05AM-10:10AM ETDown | buy | 2.13 | $0.470 | $1 | May 1, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:00AM-10:05AM ETDown | buy | 1.28 | $0.780 | $1 | May 1, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:55AM-10:00AM ETDown | buy | 1.01 | $0.990 | $1 | May 1, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:55AM-10:00AM ETDown | buy | 1.79 | $0.560 | $1 | May 1, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:50AM-9:55AM ETDown | buy | 1.75 | $0.570 | $1 | May 1, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:25AM-9:30AM ETDown | sell | 1.38 | $0.990 | $1.37 | May 1, 2026 |