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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 15?No | sell | 194.38 | $0.936 | $181.85 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 125 |
| $0.890 |
| $111.25 |
| Jan 4, 2026 |
| US forces in Venezuela again by January 10, 2026?No | buy | 125 | $0.800 | $100 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31?Yes | sell | 295.47 | $0.578 | $170.66 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" this week? (December 29 - January 4)No | sell | 635.66 | $0.614 | $390.07 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" this week? (December 29 - January 4)No | buy | 635.67 | $0.173 | $109.8 | Jan 2, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by January 15?No | sell | 120.67 | $0.910 | $109.81 | Jan 2, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?No | sell | 180.83 | $0.900 | $162.75 | Dec 26, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by January 15?No | buy | 120.68 | $0.871 | $105.07 | Dec 26, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?No | buy | 211.81 | $0.472 | $100 | Dec 26, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31?Yes | sell | 295.47 | $0.694 | $205.07 | Dec 26, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 15?No | buy | 194.38 | $0.619 | $120.38 | Dec 25, 2025 |
 US strike on Syria by December 31?No | sell | 143.31 | $0.840 | $120.38 | Dec 25, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31?Yes | buy | 156.86 | $0.703 | $110.32 | Dec 23, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Huliaipole by January 31?Yes | sell | 136.2 | $0.810 | $110.32 | Dec 23, 2025 |
| US strike on Syria by December 31?No | buy | 143.32 | $0.720 | $103.19 | Dec 23, 2025 |
 U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?No | sell | 245.08 | $0.421 | $103.19 | Dec 23, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 180.83 | $0.630 | $113.92 | Dec 22, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?No | sell | 126.58 | $0.900 | $113.92 | Dec 22, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?No | buy | 126.58 | $0.915 | $115.85 | Dec 22, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?No | sell | 128.72 | $0.900 | $115.85 | Dec 22, 2025 |
| U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?No | buy | 245.09 | $0.181 | $44.44 | Dec 21, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?No | sell | 56.33 | $0.789 | $44.44 | Dec 21, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31?Yes | buy | 193.91 | $0.811 | $157.31 | Dec 21, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: DecemberYes | sell | 176.75 | $0.890 | $157.31 | Dec 21, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Huliaipole by January 31?Yes | buy | 136.2 | $0.817 | $111.3 | Dec 18, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?No | sell | 120.43 | $0.924 | $111.3 | Dec 18, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?No | buy | 128.72 | $0.900 | $115.85 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?Yes | sell | 121.95 | $0.950 | $115.85 | Dec 17, 2025 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: DecemberYes | buy | 176.75 | $0.840 | $148.47 | Dec 17, 2025 |
| U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?No | sell | 62.56 | $0.750 | $46.92 | Dec 17, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?No | sell | 116.72 | $0.870 | $101.55 | Dec 17, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 116.73 | $0.810 | $94.55 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?Yes | sell | 205.56 | $0.460 | $94.56 | Dec 15, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31?Yes | buy | 240.17 | $0.696 | $167.12 | Dec 15, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Huliaipole by January 31?Yes | sell | 273.97 | $0.610 | $167.12 | Dec 15, 2025 |
| U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?No | buy | 62.57 | $0.760 | $47.55 | Dec 13, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Huliaipole by January 31?Yes | buy | 273.97 | $0.730 | $200 | Dec 13, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31?No | sell | 276.45 | $0.895 | $247.54 | Dec 13, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 56.33 | $0.829 | $46.72 | Dec 12, 2025 |
| Will Google have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?Yes | buy | 121.95 | $0.820 | $100 | Dec 12, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?No | buy | 120.43 | $0.830 | $100 | Dec 12, 2025 |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 205.56 | $0.486 | $100 | Dec 12, 2025 |
 Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?Yes | sell | 413.01 | $0.840 | $346.73 | Dec 12, 2025 |
| Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?Yes | buy | 413.02 | $0.634 | $261.76 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?No | sell | 331.33 | $0.790 | $261.75 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31?No | buy | 276.46 | $0.870 | $240.52 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?No | sell | 320.7 | $0.750 | $240.52 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 331.33 | $0.750 | $248.5 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?No | sell | 271.6 | $0.915 | $248.5 | Dec 10, 2025 |