Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?No | buy | 124.62 | $0.881 | $109.79 | Apr 14, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 111.1 |
| $0.999 |
| $110.99 |
| Apr 11, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 859.69 | $0.002 | $1.72 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?No | buy | 112.1 | $0.999 | $111.99 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?No | buy | 111.11 | $0.999 | $111 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | buy | 108.43 | $0.996 | $108 | Mar 30, 2026 |
 Will DeepSeek have the #3 AI model at the end of March 2026?No | buy | 1.32 | $0.984 | $1.3 | Mar 25, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Mar 25, 2026 |
 Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 24, 2026?Yes | buy | 108.11 | $0.999 | $108 | Mar 25, 2026 |
 Netanyahu out by March 31?No | buy | 1.52 | $0.984 | $1.5 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?No | buy | 110.11 | $0.999 | $110 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 14 to March 16, 2026?No | buy | 111.92 | $0.956 | $107 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by March 13?Yes | buy | 610 | $0.002 | $1.22 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?No | buy | 105.11 | $0.999 | $105 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?No | buy | 105.32 | $0.997 | $105 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?No | buy | 105.11 | $0.999 | $105 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in March?Yes | buy | 2.59 | $0.540 | $1.4 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?No | buy | 105.11 | $0.999 | $105 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | buy | 106.16 | $0.989 | $105 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?No | buy | 105.24 | $0.984 | $103.57 | Feb 11, 2026 |
 Will the ECB announce an increase at the February 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.3 | $0.999 | $1.3 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the February 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.1 | $0.999 | $1.1 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the February 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the February 2026 meeting?No | buy | 100.1 | $0.999 | $100 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026?No | buy | 103.47 | $0.998 | $103.25 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes | buy | 102 | $0.990 | $100.98 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Will Google have the #3 AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes | buy | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 100.91 | $0.991 | $100 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from January 10 to January 12, 2026?No | buy | 100.3 | $0.997 | $100 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?No | buy | 100.2 | $0.998 | $100 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?No | buy | 100.56 | $0.994 | $99.96 | Jan 1, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?No | buy | 97.23 | $0.978 | $95.09 | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?No | sell | 95.95 | $0.984 | $94.41 | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?No | buy | 95.96 | $0.990 | $95 | Dec 29, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?No | buy | 95.68 | $0.990 | $94.72 | Dec 21, 2025 |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 91.46 | $0.984 | $90 | Dec 18, 2025 |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the December meeting?Yes | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Dec 16, 2025 |
| No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 2.06 | $0.971 | $2 | Dec 16, 2025 |
 Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 1.29 | $0.930 | $1.2 | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 1.44 | $0.900 | $1.3 | Dec 16, 2025 |
 Next US strike on Syria on December 16?No | buy | 90.18 | $0.998 | $90 | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?Yes | buy | 4.82 | $0.332 | $1.6 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?Yes | buy | 4.37 | $0.225 | $0.98 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?No | buy | 90.09 | $0.999 | $90 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 93.19 | $0.976 | $90.95 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets in December 2025?No | buy | 90.95 | $0.999 | $90.86 | Dec 5, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?No | buy | 90.86 | $0.970 | $88.13 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?No | buy | 88.14 | $0.994 | $87.61 | Nov 26, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?No | buy | 87.6 | $0.997 | $87.34 | Nov 24, 2025 |
 Will the price of XRP be above $1.90 on November 20?Yes | buy | 87.35 | $0.999 | $87.26 | Nov 20, 2025 |