Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?Yes | sell | 613.63 | $0.993 | $609.56 | Feb 18, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 32.18 |
| $0.100 |
| $3.22 |
| Feb 18, 2026 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 58.82 | $0.005 | $0.29 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 16.91 | $0.007 | $0.12 | Feb 18, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 134.58 | $0.590 | $79.4 | Feb 18, 2026 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: JanuaryYes | buy | 75.32 | $0.470 | $35.4 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Will there be 10-12 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?Yes | buy | 35 | $0.870 | $30.45 | Jan 26, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 52 | $0.593 | $30.86 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes | buy | 32.18 | $0.110 | $3.54 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 68 | $0.450 | $30.6 | Jan 20, 2026 |
 US government shutdown Saturday?No | buy | 30 | $0.820 | $24.6 | Jan 20, 2026 |
| Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?Yes | buy | 613.63 | $0.932 | $572.06 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 134.59 | $0.510 | $68.64 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?Yes | sell | 49.88 | $0.919 | $45.84 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on January 17?Yes | buy | 59.42 | $0.646 | $38.4 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on January 16?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.768 | $38.4 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 100 | $0.952 | $95.21 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.956 | $95.6 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $185-$190 on the final day of trading of the week of Jan 12 – Jan 16?Yes | buy | 58.26 | $0.322 | $18.77 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on January 15?Yes | sell | 5.75 | $0.965 | $5.55 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on January 15?Yes | buy | 71 | $0.700 | $49.7 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?Yes | buy | 49.88 | $0.919 | $45.85 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.350 | $50 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will Gian van Veen win the PDC World Darts Championship?Yes | sell | 107.91 | $0.001 | $0.12 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Will Gian van Veen win the PDC World Darts Championship?Yes | buy | 107.91 | $0.278 | $30 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 114 | $0.880 | $100.32 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Will Max Mayfield die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.032 | $2 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Will the Gävle Goat burn in 2025?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Dec 29, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.25K | $0.004 | $5 | Dec 24, 2025 |
 Will "Man Vs. Baby" be the top US Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)Yes | buy | 100 | $0.030 | $3 | Dec 24, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 114 | $0.880 | $100.32 | Dec 24, 2025 |
 Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the December meeting?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the December meeting?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.005 | $1 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| Will the ECB announce an increase at the December meeting?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Will Jake Paul fight Anthony Joshua in 2025?No | sell | 100 | $0.070 | $7 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will Jake Paul fight Anthony Joshua in 2025?No | buy | 100 | $0.290 | $29 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: DecemberYes | sell | 38.39 | $0.760 | $29.18 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: DecemberYes | buy | 38.39 | $0.740 | $28.41 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: Nuclear EditionYes | sell | 7.52 | $0.950 | $7.14 | Dec 9, 2025 |
 Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | sell | 22.33 | $0.952 | $21.26 | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | buy | 22.33 | $0.945 | $21.1 | Dec 8, 2025 |
| Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | sell | 22.39 | $0.943 | $21.11 | Dec 8, 2025 |
| Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | buy | 22.4 | $0.943 | $21.12 | Dec 8, 2025 |
 Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Yes | sell | 21.21 | $0.996 | $21.13 | Dec 5, 2025 |
| Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Yes | buy | 21.22 | $0.979 | $20.77 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.250 | $20 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?Yes | buy | 18.29 | $0.350 | $6.4 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Yes | sell | 66.88 | $0.090 | $6.02 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 Will Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.993 | $1 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?No | sell | 35.71 | $0.039 | $1.39 | Dec 3, 2025 |