Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? | No | 86.76 | $0.287 | $41.64 | +$16.74 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Russia enter Dobropillia by October 31?No | buy | 11.2 | $0.210 | $2.35 | 1d ago |
|
| No |
| 94 |
| $0.260 |
| $28.2 |
| +$3.76 |
 Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15? | Yes | 57.52 | $0.440 | $24.42 | -$0.89 |
| Will Russia enter Dobropillia by October 31? | No | 99.5 | $0.254 | $20.4 | -$4.91 |
 Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher? | No | 103.21 | $0.244 | $19.04 | -$6.19 |
 Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? | No | 13.18 | $0.240 | $5.07 | +$1.91 |
 Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 80 | $0.120 | $3.84 | -$5.76 |
 Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record? | Yes | 117 | $0.085 | $2.63 | -$7.31 |
 Will SpaceX have between 180-199 launches in 2026? | Yes | 42 | $0.223 | $0.4 | -$8.95 |
| buy |
| 26.76 |
| $0.460 |
| $12.31 |
| 1d ago |
 Will Kim Ahern be the Rhode Island Attorney General Democratic nominee?No | buy | 10.11 | $0.160 | $1.62 | 1d ago |
 Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?No | sell | 82 | $0.963 | $78.99 | 1d ago |
| Will Russia enter Dobropillia by October 31?No | buy | 88.3 | $0.260 | $22.96 | 8d ago |
| Will Kim Ahern be the Rhode Island Attorney General Democratic nominee?No | buy | 88.3 | $0.260 | $22.96 | 8d ago |
| Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?No | buy | 82 | $0.280 | $22.96 | 8d ago |
| Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?No | buy | 20 | $0.210 | $4.2 | 8d ago |
 Alofoke forms party in DR by June 30, 2027?No | sell | 46.95 | $0.350 | $16.43 | 8d ago |
 Will Moonshot be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?No | buy | 49 | $0.032 | $1.57 | 11d ago |
 Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?No | sell | 54.32 | $0.450 | $24.44 | 11d ago |
 Israeli parliament dissolved by March 31?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.240 | $9.6 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.120 | $9.6 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?Yes | buy | 117 | $0.085 | $9.95 | Feb 20, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Biden" 10+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.390 | $9.75 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX have between 180-199 launches in 2026?Yes | buy | 42 | $0.223 | $9.35 | Feb 20, 2026 |
 Will the US embassy in Venezuela reopen by March 31?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.400 | $2.1 | Feb 20, 2026 |
 Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?No | sell | 60 | $0.440 | $26.4 | Feb 6, 2026 |
 Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 61%?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.600 | $20 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Next Thai Prime Minister Chosen by March 31?No | buy | 43.75 | $0.457 | $20 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 411.89 | $0.110 | $45.46 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 253.75 | $0.158 | $40 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 411.89 | $0.146 | $60 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Lighter market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?No | sell | 5.23 | $0.933 | $4.88 | Dec 7, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?No | sell | 62.5 | $0.618 | $38.6 | Dec 7, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?No | sell | 111.76 | $0.320 | $35.76 | Dec 7, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?No | buy | 5.23 | $0.956 | $5 | Nov 28, 2025 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?Yes | buy | 506.08 | $0.016 | $8 | Nov 26, 2025 |
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?Yes | buy | 597.38 | $0.008 | $5 | Nov 26, 2025 |
 Will MicroStrategy announce holding 650k+ BTC by November 30?Yes | buy | 508.53 | $0.039 | $20 | Nov 26, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in November?Yes | buy | 313.38 | $0.064 | $20 | Nov 26, 2025 |
 Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?Yes | buy | 714.29 | $0.028 | $20 | Nov 26, 2025 |
 Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?Yes | buy | 454.55 | $0.044 | $20 | Nov 26, 2025 |
 Will Stable launch a token in 2025?No | buy | 86.96 | $0.230 | $20 | Nov 26, 2025 |
 Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?No | sell | 149.84 | $0.916 | $137.25 | Nov 26, 2025 |
 Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?No | buy | 54.39 | $0.570 | $31 | Nov 17, 2025 |
 Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?No | buy | 319.15 | $0.047 | $15 | Nov 14, 2025 |
| Monad market cap (FDV) >$5B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 51.72 | $0.290 | $15 | Nov 14, 2025 |
| Monad market cap (FDV) >$10B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 2.17K | $0.023 | $50 | Nov 10, 2025 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?No | sell | 59.52 | $0.890 | $52.97 | Nov 10, 2025 |
 Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 6.81K | $0.003 | $19 | Oct 31, 2025 |
| Will Monad perform an airdrop by December 31?No | sell | 1.05K | $0.018 | $19.3 | Oct 31, 2025 |
 Will Dell say "China" during earnings call?Yes | buy | 72.5 | $0.345 | $25 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 Will Israel strike Gaza on October 30?No | buy | 117.86 | $0.212 | $25 | Oct 30, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | sell | 625 | $0.080 | $50 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 Will Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025?Yes | buy | 312.5 | $0.080 | $25 | Oct 25, 2025 |
 Will XRP reach $3.10 in October?Yes | buy | 271.74 | $0.092 | $25 | Oct 25, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | sell | 833.33 | $0.060 | $50 | Oct 25, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?No | buy | 111.76 | $0.170 | $19 | Oct 25, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?No | buy | 62.5 | $0.400 | $25 | Oct 25, 2025 |