Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 260 | $0.491 | $127.76 | May 18, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 260 |
| $0.790 |
| $205.4 |
| Jan 8, 2026 |
 Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on January 5?Down | buy | 140 | $0.300 | $42 | Jan 5, 2026 |
 S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 5?Down | buy | 100 | $0.350 | $35 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 56.1 | $0.390 | $21.88 | Jan 4, 2026 |
 Solana Up or Down on January 3?Up | buy | 89.52 | $0.480 | $42.97 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Seahawks vs. 49ers49ers | buy | 200 | $0.440 | $88 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Panthers vs. BuccaneersBuccaneers | sell | 200 | $0.580 | $116 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Panthers vs. BuccaneersBuccaneers | buy | 200 | $0.590 | $118 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down on January 2?Down | sell | 200 | $0.030 | $6 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on January 2?Down | buy | 200 | $0.190 | $38 | Jan 2, 2026 |
 Nets vs. WizardsNets | buy | 300 | $0.510 | $153 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Solana Up or Down on January 1?Down | buy | 140 | $0.420 | $58.8 | Jan 1, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on January 1?Down | buy | 21.01 | $0.330 | $6.93 | Jan 1, 2026 |
 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?No | sell | 54 | $0.998 | $53.89 | Jan 1, 2026 |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?No | buy | 54 | $0.999 | $53.95 | Dec 31, 2025 |
| Solana Up or Down on December 31?Up | buy | 200 | $0.300 | $60 | Dec 31, 2025 |
 Ethereum Up or Down on December 30?Down | buy | 198 | $0.150 | $29.7 | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?No | sell | 47 | $0.997 | $46.86 | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?No | buy | 47 | $0.997 | $46.86 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on December 28?Down | buy | 200 | $0.130 | $26 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 LoL: LNG Esports vs Weibo Gaming (BO3)LNG Esports | buy | 100.35 | $0.340 | $34.12 | Dec 23, 2025 |
 Counter-Strike: 33 vs GenOne (BO3)GenOne | buy | 197.91 | $0.490 | $96.98 | Dec 23, 2025 |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?No | sell | 204.84 | $0.995 | $203.82 | Dec 23, 2025 |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?No | buy | 204.84 | $0.996 | $204.02 | Dec 22, 2025 |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?No | sell | 304.77 | $0.995 | $303.25 | Dec 22, 2025 |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?No | buy | 304.77 | $0.996 | $303.55 | Dec 21, 2025 |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?No | sell | 204.84 | $0.995 | $203.82 | Dec 21, 2025 |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?No | buy | 204.84 | $0.995 | $203.82 | Dec 20, 2025 |
 Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.420 | $84 | Dec 18, 2025 |
| Will the price of Solana be above $130 on December 17?No | buy | 237.52 | $0.750 | $178.14 | Dec 17, 2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down on December 14?Up | buy | 200 | $0.320 | $64 | Dec 14, 2025 |
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.620 | $124 | Dec 13, 2025 |
| LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5)Hanwha Life Esports | buy | 100 | $0.735 | $73.5 | Dec 12, 2025 |
 XRP Up or Down on December 12?Down | buy | 150 | $0.070 | $10.5 | Dec 12, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on December 10?Up | buy | 200 | $0.080 | $16 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Solana Up or Down on December 7?Up | buy | 140 | $0.470 | $65.8 | Dec 7, 2025 |
| XRP Up or Down on December 6?Down | buy | 200 | $0.580 | $116 | Dec 6, 2025 |
| Lakers vs. RaptorsLakers | buy | 50 | $0.480 | $24 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| XRP Up or Down on December 4?Down | buy | 5 | $0.350 | $1.75 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Will the price of Solana be above $140 on December 3?No | buy | 200 | $0.617 | $123.4 | Dec 2, 2025 |
| XRP Up or Down on November 29?Up | buy | 200 | $0.820 | $164 | Nov 29, 2025 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 10 | $0.630 | $6.3 | Nov 27, 2025 |
| Solana Up or Down on November 27?Up | buy | 100 | $0.950 | $95 | Nov 27, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on November 26?Up | buy | 200 | $0.270 | $54 | Nov 26, 2025 |
| Solana Up or Down on November 24?Down | buy | 300 | $0.760 | $228 | Nov 24, 2025 |
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by November 30?No | buy | 50 | $0.960 | $48 | Nov 23, 2025 |
| XRP Up or Down on November 21?Down | buy | 100 | $0.840 | $84 | Nov 21, 2025 |
| Solana Up or Down on November 17?Up | buy | 60 | $0.740 | $44.4 | Nov 17, 2025 |
 UFC 322: Brady vs. Morales (Welterweight, Main Card)Brady | buy | 70 | $0.570 | $39.9 | Nov 13, 2025 |