Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 24.39 | $0.205 | $14.76 | +$9.76 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Jordan Bardella advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?No | sell | 19.23 | $0.940 | $18.08 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Yes |
| 23.44 |
| $0.640 |
| $9.96 |
| -$5.04 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 46.5 | $0.215 | $9.04 | -$0.96 |
 Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 15.15 | $0.330 | $9.02 | +$4.02 |
| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 55.56 | $0.090 | $6.94 | +$1.94 |
 Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 33.33 | $0.150 | $3.83 | -$1.17 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 19.16 | $0.261 | $2.77 | -$2.23 |
 Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 86.21 | $0.058 | $1.51 | -$3.49 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | Yes | 18.52 | $0.270 | $1.02 | -$3.98 |
 Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 12.5 | $0.400 | $0.81 | -$4.19 |
 Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 117.39 | $0.043 | $0.7 | -$4.3 |
| Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 23.81 | $0.210 | $0.51 | -$4.49 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by September 15, 2026? | Yes | 62.5 | $0.080 | $0.09 | -$4.91 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes| sell |
| 29.85 |
| $0.997 |
| $29.76 |
| Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 15.15 | $0.330 | $5 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.080 | $5 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 33.33 | $0.910 | $30.33 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.005 | $5 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | sell | 13.15 | $0.810 | $10.65 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by June 30?Yes | buy | 117.53 | $0.043 | $5 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be between 2.25T and 2.50T?Yes | buy | 254.58 | $0.020 | $5 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be at least 2.50T?Yes | buy | 416.53 | $0.012 | $5 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be between 2.00T and 2.25T?Yes | buy | 125.91 | $0.040 | $5 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes | buy | 24.39 | $0.205 | $5 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.150 | $5 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?Yes | buy | 19.23 | $0.260 | $5 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30?Yes | buy | 63.83 | $0.078 | $5 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Will Jordan Bardella advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?No | buy | 19.23 | $0.260 | $5 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?Yes | buy | 23.44 | $0.640 | $15 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 Trump weaponization fund blocked by June 30?Yes | buy | 9.97 | $0.501 | $5 | May 23, 2026 |
| Trump weaponization fund blocked by May 31?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.130 | $5 | May 23, 2026 |
 Will Trump’s approval rating be between 37.5 and 37.9 on May 29, 2026?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.300 | $5 | May 23, 2026 |
 Trump approval Up or Down this week?Down | buy | 7.81 | $0.640 | $5 | May 23, 2026 |
 Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,900 by end of June?No | sell | 14.7 | $0.750 | $11.02 | May 23, 2026 |
 Will Trump attend his son's wedding?No | buy | 7.46 | $0.670 | $5 | May 22, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be between 1.75T and 2.00T?Yes | buy | 14.71 | $0.340 | $5 | May 18, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 25.64 | $0.070 | $1.79 | May 18, 2026 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 62.5 | $0.060 | $3.75 | May 18, 2026 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 20.33 | $0.246 | $5 | May 9, 2026 |
 Will Benny Gantz join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?Yes | sell | 38.46 | $0.210 | $8.08 | May 9, 2026 |
| Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 22.73 | $0.220 | $5 | May 3, 2026 |
 Will Marine Le Pen be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?Yes | buy | 13.89 | $0.360 | $5 | May 3, 2026 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 131.57 | $0.105 | $13.81 | May 3, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 29.85 | $0.670 | $20 | May 1, 2026 |
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | sell | 41.66 | $0.304 | $12.68 | May 1, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.080 | $5 | May 1, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.250 | $5 | May 1, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Yes | buy | 18.52 | $0.270 | $5 | May 1, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.250 | $5 | May 1, 2026 |
| Will Benny Gantz join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.130 | $5 | Apr 30, 2026 |
 Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?Yes | buy | 21.74 | $0.230 | $5 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 22.73 | $0.220 | $5 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.060 | $5 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump visit France in 2026?No | sell | 53.1 | $0.187 | $9.91 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 Trump sues Jimmy Kimmel by May 31?Yes | buy | 12.51 | $0.380 | $4.75 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the second highest estimated revenue for Apr 27–May 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 41.93 | $0.111 | $4.64 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?Yes | buy | 51.51 | $0.090 | $4.64 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump visit France in 2026?No | buy | 21.85 | $0.229 | $5 | Apr 27, 2026 |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.400 | $5 | Apr 27, 2026 |
| Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 38.0 on May 1, 2026?Yes | buy | 82.08 | $0.056 | $4.62 | Apr 27, 2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,900 by end of June?No | buy | 14.71 | $0.340 | $5 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?No | buy | 93.19 | $0.054 | $5 | Apr 25, 2026 |