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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? | Yes | 565.2 | $0.186 | $98.91 | -$6.09 |
|
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?Yes | buy | 104.97 | $0.067 | $7 | 22d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 184.18 |
| $0.326 |
| $74.59 |
| +$14.59 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 24.39 | $0.820 | $23.52 | +$3.52 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 126.67 | $0.450 | $23.43 | -$33.57 |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30? | Yes | 400.91 | $0.060 | $11.02 | -$12.97 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 146.03 | $0.068 | $5.77 | -$4.23 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 566.67 | $0.021 | $1.98 | -$10.02 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 97.62 | $0.113 | $1.02 | -$9.97 |
| buy |
| 26.32 |
| $0.190 |
| $5 |
| 22d ago |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?Yes | buy | 15.15 | $0.066 | $1 | 22d ago |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30, 2027?Yes | buy | 184.18 | $0.326 | $60 | 22d ago |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027?Yes | sell | 109.09 | $0.540 | $58.91 | 22d ago |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 109.09 | $0.550 | $60 | 22d ago |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.200 | $10 | 24d ago |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.200 | $20 | 24d ago |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.180 | $10 | 28d ago |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?Yes | buy | 175.44 | $0.057 | $10 | 28d ago |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?Yes | buy | 105.35 | $0.057 | $6 | 28d ago |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.180 | $20 | 28d ago |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.180 | $10 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.180 | $30 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.130 | $13 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?No | sell | 15.22 | $0.820 | $12.48 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.120 | $10 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 67.33 | $0.015 | $1 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.015 | $1 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.022 | $1 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 454.55 | $0.022 | $10 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 15.56 | $0.450 | $7 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.450 | $50 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 56.22 | $0.931 | $52.34 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.060 | $5 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 58.5 | $0.590 | $34.52 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 6:55PM-7:00PM ETDown | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 6:45PM-6:50PM ETUp | buy | 14.71 | $0.340 | $5 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 6:45PM-6:50PM ETUp | buy | 3.45 | $0.290 | $1 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.038 | $1 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 357.14 | $0.070 | $25 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 34.26 | $0.574 | $19.67 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 4.93 | $0.203 | $1 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 144.04 | $0.202 | $29.1 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.025 | $1 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 10.36 | $0.193 | $2 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 43.1 | $0.116 | $5 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.130 | $5 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 89.29 | $0.112 | $10 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 74.63 | $0.134 | $10 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | sell | 53.09 | $0.860 | $45.66 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 16.05 | $0.810 | $13 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 37.04 | $0.810 | $30 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:15AM-12:20AM ETDown | buy | 30 | $0.200 | $6 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:15AM-12:20AM ETDown | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:15AM-12:20AM ETDown | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:15AM-12:20AM ETUp | sell | 31.25 | $0.840 | $26.25 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:15AM-12:20AM ETUp | buy | 31.25 | $0.320 | $10 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:10AM-12:15AM ETUp | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Jun 6, 2026 |