Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 37.31 | $0.670 | $24.07 | -$0.93 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes | buy | 37.31 | $0.670 | $25 | May 20, 2026 |
|
| sell |
| 60.97 |
| $0.330 |
| $20.12 |
| May 20, 2026 |
 Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?Yes | buy | 31.96 | $0.782 | $25 | May 20, 2026 |
 Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No | buy | 44.64 | $0.560 | $25 | May 19, 2026 |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No | buy | 60.98 | $0.410 | $25 | May 19, 2026 |
 Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes | buy | 58.14 | $0.430 | $25 | May 19, 2026 |
 Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?Yes | sell | 166.66 | $0.100 | $16.6 | May 18, 2026 |
| Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.150 | $25 | May 18, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 49.01 | $0.610 | $29.9 | May 18, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by May 24?No | buy | 37.33 | $0.670 | $25 | May 17, 2026 |
 Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?No | buy | 175.44 | $0.570 | $100 | May 17, 2026 |
| Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?Yes | sell | 227.27 | $0.207 | $47.01 | May 17, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 49.02 | $0.510 | $25 | May 17, 2026 |
| Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?Yes | buy | 227.27 | $0.220 | $50 | May 17, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?Yes | buy | 3.33 | $0.300 | $1 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?No | buy | 1.35 | $0.740 | $1 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?Yes | sell | 416.28 | $0.912 | $379.81 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?No | sell | 100.48 | $0.890 | $89.43 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?No | sell | 469.8 | $0.334 | $157.01 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?No | buy | 469.8 | $0.213 | $100 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?No | buy | 100.48 | $0.498 | $50 | Apr 19, 2026 |
 Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.050 | $5 | Apr 19, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Epic Fury" during Taoiseach events?Yes | buy | 102.48 | $0.488 | $50 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Yes | buy | 312.5 | $0.320 | $100 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?Yes | buy | 405.7 | $0.739 | $300 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?No | sell | 345.33 | $0.503 | $173.6 | Mar 12, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 27+ times during Kentucky visit?No | buy | 38.64 | $0.647 | $25 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 27+ times during Kentucky visit?Yes | sell | 118.08 | $0.479 | $56.52 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Biden" or "Obama" 7+ times during Kentucky visit?Yes | sell | 53.39 | $0.990 | $52.86 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" during Kentucky visit?Yes | sell | 21.51 | $0.990 | $21.29 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" during Kentucky visit?Yes | buy | 21.51 | $0.999 | $21.49 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Biden" or "Obama" 7+ times during Kentucky visit?Yes | buy | 53.39 | $0.656 | $35 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 27+ times during Kentucky visit?Yes | buy | 118.09 | $0.381 | $45 | Mar 11, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Percent" 20+ times during Ohio visit?Yes | sell | 225.02 | $0.003 | $0.68 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Drug" 15+ times during Ohio visit?Yes | sell | 110.58 | $0.002 | $0.22 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Drug" 15+ times during Ohio visit?Yes | buy | 20.85 | $0.144 | $3 | Mar 11, 2026 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 133.33 | $0.015 | $2 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Percent" 20+ times during Ohio visit?Yes | buy | 225.02 | $0.089 | $20 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Drug" 15+ times during Ohio visit?Yes | buy | 89.73 | $0.279 | $25 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?No | buy | 345.34 | $0.579 | $200 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 416.28 | $0.721 | $300 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?Yes | sell | 182.09 | $0.444 | $80.91 | Mar 11, 2026 |
 Will Iran strike Dimona by March 31?Yes | sell | 152.26 | $0.100 | $15.23 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by March 31?Yes | sell | 173.91 | $0.149 | $25.95 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Will France strike Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 228.63 | $0.082 | $18.82 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 74.07 | $0.169 | $12.5 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Epic Fury" during Miami address?Yes | sell | 99.41 | $0.999 | $99.31 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Hell" 8+ times during Miami address?No | buy | 71.43 | $0.700 | $50 | Mar 9, 2026 |