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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026? | No | 6.32 | $0.800 | $5.91 | +$0.85 |
 Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting?No | buy | 6.76 | $0.740 | $5 | 2d ago |
 |
| No |
| 6 |
| $0.790 |
| $5.61 |
| +$0.87 |
 Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 8.13 | $0.610 | $5.33 | +$0.37 |
| Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting? | No | 6.76 | $0.740 | $4.83 | -$0.17 |
 Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 6.28 | $0.677 | $4.55 | +$0.3 |
 Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 15.97 | $0.310 | $4.55 | -$0.4 |
 Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 8.06 | $0.620 | $4.07 | -$0.93 |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | No | 8.14 | $0.570 | $4.03 | -$0.61 |
 Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | Yes | 7.81 | $0.640 | $3.55 | -$1.44 |
 Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition? | No | 6.25 | $0.240 | $2.25 | +$0.75 |
 Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 6.25 | $0.210 | $1.81 | +$0.5 |
 Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 8.75 | $0.440 | $1.36 | -$2.49 |
 US strike on Colombia by December 31? | Yes | 6.32 | $0.220 | $0.92 | -$0.47 |
 Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 6 | $0.210 | $0.87 | -$0.39 |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? | Yes | 6.75 | $0.280 | $0.66 | -$1.23 |
| buy |
| 4 |
| $0.270 |
| $1.08 |
| Jul 25, 2026 |
 Will South Korea GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 3.5% and 3.9%?No | buy | 8.04 | $0.378 | $3.04 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?No | buy | 9.17 | $0.520 | $4.77 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 15?Up | buy | 9.18 | $0.500 | $4.59 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.300 | $2.1 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.59 | $0.730 | $4.81 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?No | buy | 6 | $0.790 | $4.74 | Jul 11, 2026 |
 Will annual inflation be 3.7% in June?No | buy | 7.15 | $0.695 | $4.97 | Jul 11, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?Yes | buy | 7.5 | $0.380 | $2.85 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.12 | $0.299 | $2.13 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.05 | $0.298 | $2.1 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?No | buy | 7.62 | $0.650 | $4.95 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 6?Up | buy | 7.5 | $0.360 | $2.7 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $755 Week of July 6 2026?Yes | buy | 3.05 | $0.620 | $1.89 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 8.14 | $0.570 | $4.64 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.210 | $1.26 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.87 | $0.380 | $2.99 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 8.13 | $0.610 | $4.96 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?No | buy | 6.41 | $0.780 | $5 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $175 Week of June 15 2026?No | buy | 8 | $0.390 | $3.12 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $304 Week of June 15 2026?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.330 | $2.31 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $92 Week of June 15 2026?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.220 | $1.32 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will Warsh say "Inflation" 50+ times during June Press Conference?No | buy | 8.13 | $0.600 | $4.88 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will Kroger Q1 identical sales without fuel growth be below 1%?Yes | buy | 3 | $0.350 | $1.05 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?No | buy | 7.11 | $0.660 | $4.69 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No | buy | 7 | $0.320 | $2.24 | May 28, 2026 |
 Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.240 | $1.5 | May 27, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 6.28 | $0.677 | $4.25 | May 27, 2026 |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?Yes | buy | 6.75 | $0.280 | $1.89 | May 13, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.240 | $1.5 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 Week of May 11 2026?Yes | buy | 8.13 | $0.600 | $4.88 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.210 | $1.26 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?No | buy | 6.25 | $0.240 | $1.5 | May 12, 2026 |
| Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.75 | $0.440 | $3.85 | May 11, 2026 |
 Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 9.75 | $0.640 | $6.24 | May 11, 2026 |
 Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 277.78 | $0.018 | $5 | May 11, 2026 |
 Will Jason Perry win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election?Yes | buy | 6.41 | $0.230 | $1.47 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 Will Trump dance during WHCA Dinner on April 25?Yes | buy | 5.92 | $0.230 | $1.36 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.57 | $0.390 | $2.95 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 7.93 | $0.380 | $3.01 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?Yes | buy | 6.43 | $0.740 | $4.76 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.5 and 39.9 on April 24, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.53 | $0.450 | $3.84 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?No | buy | 9.09 | $0.550 | $5 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?No | buy | 6.69 | $0.730 | $4.89 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 in April?No | buy | 6.15 | $0.800 | $4.92 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.76 | $0.210 | $1.21 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?No | buy | 6.27 | $0.780 | $4.89 | Apr 10, 2026 |
 Trump declassifies new UFO files by April 30?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.210 | $1.31 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be between 1.50T and 1.75T?No | buy | 6.94 | $0.720 | $5 | Apr 9, 2026 |