Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 0.12 | $0.530 | $0.06 | -$0 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No | sell | 8.21 | $0.880 | $7.22 | Jul 11, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 2.34 |
| $0.820 |
| $1.92 |
| Jul 11, 2026 |
 US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?No | sell | 3.44 | $0.965 | $3.32 | Jul 11, 2026 |
 Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?No | sell | 1.81 | $0.858 | $1.55 | Jul 11, 2026 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Yes | sell | 12.29 | $0.820 | $10.08 | Jul 11, 2026 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 3.15 | $0.992 | $3.12 | Jul 11, 2026 |
 Israeli forces enter Choukine by July 31?No | sell | 1.57 | $0.910 | $1.43 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?No | sell | 6.14 | $0.770 | $4.73 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?No | buy | 1.97 | $0.760 | $1.5 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?No | buy | 2.08 | $0.720 | $1.5 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?No | buy | 2.08 | $0.720 | $1.5 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | sell | 9.83 | $0.570 | $5.6 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | buy | 2.46 | $0.610 | $1.5 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | buy | 2.46 | $0.610 | $1.5 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Iran full airspace closure by July 15?No | sell | 1.92 | $0.940 | $1.8 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Iran full airspace closure by July 15?No | buy | 1.92 | $0.780 | $1.5 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Israeli forces enter Choukine by July 31?No | buy | 1.58 | $0.950 | $1.5 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | buy | 2.46 | $0.610 | $1.5 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | buy | 2.46 | $0.610 | $1.5 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.5 | $0.999 | $1.5 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Kurds declare independence from Iran?No | buy | 1.5 | $0.999 | $1.5 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Israel annex any territory by June 30?No | buy | 1.5 | $0.999 | $1.5 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Yes | buy | 107.14 | $0.014 | $1.5 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.58 | $0.950 | $1.5 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.58 | $0.950 | $1.5 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 2.54 | $0.915 | $2.32 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?No | sell | 4.06 | $0.170 | $0.69 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.65 | $0.910 | $1.5 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?No | buy | 4.05 | $0.370 | $1.5 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?No | buy | 3.41 | $0.440 | $1.5 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes | sell | 20.83 | $0.140 | $2.92 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.360 | $1.5 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.360 | $1.5 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.360 | $1.5 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.360 | $1.5 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?Yes | sell | 28.32 | $0.001 | $0.03 | May 31, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?Yes | buy | 11.28 | $0.133 | $1.5 | May 29, 2026 |
 Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?No | sell | 2.2 | $0.570 | $1.25 | May 29, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?Yes | buy | 17.05 | $0.088 | $1.5 | May 29, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Yes | sell | 4.83 | $0.210 | $1.01 | May 28, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.84 | $0.310 | $1.5 | May 27, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?No | sell | 2 | $0.800 | $1.6 | May 27, 2026 |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?No | buy | 2.21 | $0.680 | $1.5 | May 27, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?Yes | sell | 7.89 | $0.160 | $1.26 | May 27, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?No | buy | 2 | $0.750 | $1.5 | May 27, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?Yes | buy | 7.89 | $0.190 | $1.5 | May 27, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | sell | 1.56 | $0.974 | $1.52 | May 27, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Yes | buy | 2.03 | $0.740 | $1.5 | May 25, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?No | sell | 2.23 | $0.590 | $1.32 | May 25, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.67 | $0.080 | $0.21 | May 25, 2026 |