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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 5.56 | $0.810 | $4.86 | +$0.36 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 25.95 | $0.007 | $0.18 | 7h ago |
|
| No |
| 3.7 |
| $0.810 |
| $3.2 |
| +$0.2 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 4.01 | $0.374 | $2.02 | +$0.52 |
 Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 1.58 | $0.949 | $1.39 | -$0.11 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 130.1 | $0.010 | $1.11 | -$0.14 |
 Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 2.08 | $0.720 | $0.78 | -$0.72 |
| buy |
| 156.05 |
| $0.010 |
| $1.5 |
| 7d ago |
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes | buy | 2.08 | $0.720 | $1.5 | 26d ago |
 Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?No | sell | 3.19 | $0.550 | $1.75 | 26d ago |
| Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?No | buy | 3.19 | $0.620 | $1.98 | 26d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 2.23 | $0.700 | $1.56 | 26d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.24 | $0.670 | $1.5 | 27d ago |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No | sell | 1.66 | $0.940 | $1.56 | 27d ago |
 Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 500m and 600m by August 31?No | buy | 1.54 | $0.974 | $1.5 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.74 | $0.860 | $1.5 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.81 | $0.830 | $1.5 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?Yes | buy | 5.12 | $0.293 | $1.5 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?Yes | buy | 5.12 | $0.293 | $1.5 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | sell | 3.75 | $0.480 | $1.8 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | sell | 1.64 | $0.880 | $1.44 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | buy | 3.75 | $0.400 | $1.5 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?No | sell | 1.52 | $0.988 | $1.5 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 14?No | buy | 3.44 | $0.950 | $3.27 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 14?No | buy | 2.88 | $0.950 | $2.74 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?No | buy | 1.52 | $0.986 | $1.5 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by August 31?Yes | buy | 4.84 | $0.310 | $1.5 | Jul 11, 2026 |
 Counter-Strike: 9z vs Alliance (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffs9z | buy | 1.7 | $0.880 | $1.5 | Jul 11, 2026 |
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 8.98 | $0.211 | $1.89 | Jul 11, 2026 |
 Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 107.14 | $0.014 | $1.5 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?No | sell | 1.55 | $0.973 | $1.51 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will the next Grok model released by xAI debut at a score of at least 1440 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.53 | $0.980 | $1.5 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?Yes | sell | 1.78 | $0.810 | $1.44 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by July 31?No | buy | 1.76 | $0.850 | $1.5 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?No | buy | 1.55 | $0.970 | $1.5 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?Yes | buy | 1.79 | $0.840 | $1.5 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | sell | 73.53 | $0.075 | $5.51 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 4.24 | $0.354 | $1.5 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 17.86 | $0.084 | $1.5 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 18.52 | $0.081 | $1.5 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 18.52 | $0.081 | $1.5 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 18.64 | $0.080 | $1.5 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?No | sell | 5.98 | $0.972 | $5.81 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?No | buy | 5.99 | $0.970 | $5.81 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?Yes | sell | 5.5 | $0.999 | $5.49 | Jul 3, 2026 |
 Epstein client list released by July 31?No | buy | 1.52 | $0.986 | $1.5 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No | buy | 1.67 | $0.900 | $1.5 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?No | buy | 1.5 | $0.998 | $1.5 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.73 | $0.550 | $1.5 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 6.07 | $0.460 | $2.79 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 3.66 | $0.410 | $1.5 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 4.68 | $0.410 | $1.92 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 375 | $0.004 | $1.5 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | sell | 1.51 | $0.996 | $1.5 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 1.51 | $0.993 | $1.5 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Wimbledon ATP: Alex Molcan vs Daniel AltmaierAlex Molcan | buy | 1.63 | $0.920 | $1.5 | Jul 1, 2026 |