Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | No | 1.12 | $0.890 | $0.99 | -$0.01 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | 1d ago |
 |
| sell |
| 1.04 |
| $0.971 |
| $1.01 |
| 1d ago |
| Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.959 | $1 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027?No | sell | 1.04 | $0.950 | $0.99 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 5.71 | $0.972 | $5.55 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?No | sell | 4.55 | $0.968 | $4.4 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?No | buy | 4.56 | $0.974 | $4.44 | May 19, 2026 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on April 3?Yes | buy | 165.3 | $0.036 | $5.95 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 Sam Altman in jail by June 30?No | sell | 7.17 | $0.965 | $6.92 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Sam Altman in jail by June 30?No | buy | 7.17 | $0.991 | $7.11 | Feb 21, 2026 |
 Will Elon cut the budget by at least 5% in 2025?No | buy | 7.1 | $0.966 | $6.86 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?No | buy | 6.86 | $0.994 | $6.82 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,100 and $3,200 on December 17?No | buy | 6.82 | $0.976 | $6.66 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?No | sell | 6.8 | $0.980 | $6.66 | Dec 17, 2025 |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?No | buy | 6.81 | $0.965 | $6.57 | Dec 3, 2025 |
 Will Israel strike Turkey by December 31?No | sell | 6.64 | $0.989 | $6.57 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Will Israel strike Turkey by December 31?No | buy | 6.64 | $0.989 | $6.57 | Nov 25, 2025 |
 Will the California Proposition 50 referendum have the largest Democratic margin of victory?Yes | sell | 6.63 | $0.991 | $6.57 | Nov 25, 2025 |
| Will the California Proposition 50 referendum have the largest Democratic margin of victory?Yes | buy | 6.63 | $0.998 | $6.62 | Nov 20, 2025 |
 Will Democrats win three elections in Nov?No | sell | 6.63 | $0.999 | $6.62 | Nov 20, 2025 |
| Will Democrats win three elections in Nov?No | buy | 6.64 | $0.991 | $6.58 | Nov 4, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Fuck" again by October 31?No | buy | 6.58 | $0.987 | $6.49 | Oct 28, 2025 |
 Will Petr Fiala be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?No | sell | 6.52 | $0.996 | $6.49 | Oct 28, 2025 |
| Will Petr Fiala be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?No | buy | 6.52 | $0.995 | $6.49 | Oct 12, 2025 |
 Lily Phillips breaks record for sex in one day?No | buy | 2.11 | $0.990 | $2.09 | Feb 19, 2025 |
 Deshaun Watson suspended for personal misconduct?No | buy | 3.71 | $0.997 | $3.7 | Jan 4, 2025 |
 Ethereum all time high by January 31?No | buy | 7.29 | $0.927 | $6.76 | Jan 4, 2025 |
 Taylor Swift pregnant in 2024?No | buy | 0.73 | $0.980 | $0.72 | Dec 19, 2024 |
 Will Trump get over 50% of the Popular Vote?No | buy | 2.3 | $0.994 | $2.29 | Dec 11, 2024 |
 Will Mary Lou McDonald be the next Prime Minister of Ireland?No | buy | 0.43 | $0.998 | $0.43 | Dec 2, 2024 |
 Will Harris win California by 25+ points?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.998 | $1.03 | Nov 22, 2024 |
 Will Harris win New Jersey by 10+ points?No | buy | 19.27 | $0.991 | $19.1 | Nov 14, 2024 |
 Will Trump do better in Ohio or Texas?Texas | buy | 2.37 | $0.999 | $2.37 | Nov 14, 2024 |
 Will Republicans have 56 or more seats in Senate after election?Yes | buy | 21.47K | $0.001 | $21.47 | Nov 10, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris win Hawaii by the largest margin?Yes | buy | 21.47K | $0.001 | $21.47 | Nov 9, 2024 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 November meeting?No | buy | 1.71 | $0.986 | $1.69 | Nov 7, 2024 |
 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 65-104Yes | buy | 1.31 | $0.994 | $1.3 | Nov 7, 2024 |
 Will Girona FC win La Liga?No | buy | 2.08 | $0.998 | $2.08 | Nov 7, 2024 |
 Will 'Joker 2' gross most in 2024?No | buy | 1.62 | $0.999 | $1.62 | Nov 7, 2024 |
 Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | buy | 2.3 | $0.997 | $2.29 | Nov 7, 2024 |
 Will a candidate from another party win Texas Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 18.04K | $0.001 | $18.04 | Nov 4, 2024 |