Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 214.61 | $0.932 | $206.35 | +$6.35 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 23.81 | $0.840 | $20 | 20d ago |
 |
| No |
| 228.3 |
| $0.745 |
| $195.19 |
| +$25.2 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | No | 105.58 | $0.568 | $98.71 | +$38.71 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | No | 81.1 | $0.740 | $77.45 | +$17.45 |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 63.44 | $0.946 | $62.33 | +$2.33 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 58.14 | $0.860 | $50.87 | +$0.87 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 94.34 | $0.530 | $49.53 | -$0.47 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 46 | $0.848 | $43.01 | +$4.01 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 42.8 | $0.934 | $41.16 | +$1.16 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 45.38 | $0.661 | $38.64 | +$8.64 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | No | 39.82 | $0.891 | $38.03 | +$2.54 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 41.67 | $0.240 | $34.37 | +$24.37 |
 Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? | No | 23.95 | $0.835 | $21.67 | +$1.67 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | No | 21.51 | $0.930 | $20.88 | +$0.88 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | No | 21.31 | $0.938 | $20.66 | +$0.66 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 22.23 | $0.899 | $20.57 | +$0.57 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | No | 15.87 | $0.630 | $14.37 | +$4.37 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 15.15 | $0.660 | $13.11 | +$3.11 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? | No | 12.2 | $0.820 | $12.11 | +$2.11 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | No | 11.9 | $0.840 | $11.13 | +$1.13 |
 Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | No | 10.49 | $0.953 | $10.31 | +$0.31 |
 Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? | No | 10.64 | $0.940 | $10.25 | +$0.25 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? | Yes | 16.39 | $0.610 | $1.89 | -$8.11 |
 Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 6.66 | $0.320 | $0.6 | -$1.53 |
| buy |
| 10.25 |
| $0.976 |
| $10 |
| 20d ago |
 Will France win on 2026-07-14?No | buy | 12.27 | $0.815 | $10 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will France win on 2026-07-14?No | buy | 12.35 | $0.810 | $10 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will France win on 2026-07-14?No | buy | 12.38 | $0.807 | $10 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will France win on 2026-07-14?No | buy | 12.42 | $0.805 | $10 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Yes | buy | 16.39 | $0.610 | $10 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | buy | 21.05 | $0.950 | $20 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 11.9 | $0.840 | $10 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?No | buy | 10.29 | $0.972 | $10 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?No | buy | 10.87 | $0.920 | $10 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 11.36 | $0.880 | $10 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 15.87 | $0.630 | $10 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 12.2 | $0.820 | $10 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?Yes | buy | 36.7 | $0.545 | $20 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | buy | 11.9 | $0.840 | $10 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | buy | 53.36 | $0.937 | $50 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 11.36 | $0.880 | $10 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Will England win on 2026-06-27?Yes | buy | 12.05 | $0.830 | $10 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?Yes | buy | 16.39 | $0.610 | $10 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-26?Yes | buy | 12.05 | $0.830 | $10 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?Yes | buy | 32.79 | $0.610 | $20 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-24?No | buy | 10.99 | $0.910 | $10 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?Yes | buy | 23.81 | $0.420 | $10 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 10.03 | $0.997 | $10 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | buy | 10.71 | $0.934 | $10 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?No | buy | 2.76K | $0.004 | $10 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | buy | 20.14 | $0.993 | $20 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 22.22 | $0.900 | $20 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 10.7 | $0.935 | $10 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?No | buy | 10.41 | $0.961 | $10 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | buy | 10.21 | $0.979 | $10 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | buy | 21.65 | $0.924 | $20 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 41.67 | $0.240 | $10 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 14.08 | $0.710 | $10 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 10.99 | $0.910 | $10 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | buy | 10.18 | $0.982 | $10 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | buy | 10.87 | $0.920 | $10 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Xi Jinping out by June 30?No | buy | 20.12 | $0.994 | $20 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | buy | 21.74 | $0.920 | $20 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?No | buy | 10.49 | $0.953 | $10 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30?No | buy | 10.03 | $0.997 | $10 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 14.33 | $0.698 | $10 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?No | buy | 10.17 | $0.983 | $10 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by June 30?No | buy | 10.4 | $0.962 | $10 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 20.58 | $0.972 | $20 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 10.72 | $0.933 | $10 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.800 | $10 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 11.9 | $0.840 | $10 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?No | buy | 10.11 | $0.989 | $10 | Jun 8, 2026 |