Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 798.37 | $0.175 | $14.77 | -$125.23 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 2.56K | $0.039 | $100 | Jun 8, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 2.56K |
| $0.039 |
| $1.28 |
| -$98.72 |
| buy |
| 798.37 |
| $0.175 |
| $140 |
| Jun 8, 2026 |
 Will o3-mini be better than DeepSeek before March?Yes | sell | 73.86 | $0.040 | $2.95 | Feb 20, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | buy | 119.05 | $0.840 | $100 | Feb 14, 2025 |
 Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?No | buy | 61.35 | $0.978 | $60 | Feb 14, 2025 |
| Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?No | buy | 101.83 | $0.982 | $100 | Feb 14, 2025 |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | buy | 692.31 | $0.260 | $180 | Feb 14, 2025 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025?Yes | buy | 620.69 | $0.290 | $180 | Feb 14, 2025 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?Yes | sell | 45.97 | $0.810 | $37.24 | Feb 14, 2025 |
 Will Meta reincorporate in Texas before July?Yes | sell | 147.13 | $0.320 | $47.03 | Feb 14, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model this year?Yes | sell | 56.81 | $0.753 | $42.77 | Feb 14, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model this year?Yes | buy | 56.82 | $0.880 | $50 | Feb 4, 2025 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?Yes | buy | 45.98 | $0.870 | $40 | Feb 4, 2025 |
 Google Maps renames it "Gulf of America" before March?Yes | buy | 61.73 | $0.810 | $50 | Feb 4, 2025 |
 Kash Patel confirmed as Director of the FBI?Yes | sell | 104.79 | $0.965 | $101.09 | Feb 4, 2025 |
 Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.972 | $194.4 | Feb 4, 2025 |
| Will o3-mini be better than DeepSeek before March?Yes | buy | 73.86 | $0.880 | $65 | Feb 3, 2025 |
| Will Meta reincorporate in Texas before July?Yes | buy | 147.13 | $0.680 | $100 | Feb 3, 2025 |
| Kash Patel confirmed as Director of the FBI?Yes | buy | 104.79 | $0.954 | $100 | Feb 3, 2025 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 117.65 | $0.850 | $100 | Feb 3, 2025 |
 Will Canada join US as 51st state before July?No | sell | 400 | $0.963 | $385.2 | Dec 20, 2024 |
| Will Canada join US as 51st state before July?No | buy | 723.36 | $0.968 | $700 | Dec 20, 2024 |
 Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?Yes | sell | 564.36 | $0.410 | $231.39 | Dec 20, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?Yes | sell | 220.58 | $0.970 | $214.06 | Dec 18, 2024 |
 OpenAI Sora public release in 2024?Yes | buy | 346.42 | $0.866 | $300 | Dec 9, 2024 |
 Pete Hegseth confirmed as Secretary of Defense?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.400 | $100 | Dec 9, 2024 |
 Lee Zeldin confirmed as Administrator of the EPA?Yes | buy | 106.68 | $0.937 | $100 | Nov 29, 2024 |
| Pete Hegseth confirmed as Secretary of Defense?Yes | buy | 161.29 | $0.620 | $100 | Nov 29, 2024 |
| Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.500 | $100 | Nov 29, 2024 |
 70°F in NYC in December?No | buy | 108.7 | $0.920 | $100 | Nov 29, 2024 |
 Will Fianna Fáil win the most seats in the 2024 Irish general election?Yes | sell | 1.08K | $0.721 | $775.94 | Nov 29, 2024 |
| Will Fianna Fáil win the most seats in the 2024 Irish general election?Yes | buy | 1.08K | $0.744 | $800 | Nov 29, 2024 |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?Yes | buy | 564.36 | $0.443 | $250 | Nov 29, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 220.59 | $0.680 | $150 | Nov 29, 2024 |
 Will Rick Scott be the next Senate Majority Leader?Yes | buy | 1.03K | $0.585 | $600 | Nov 11, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 0.19 | $0.997 | $0.19 | Nov 11, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 476.19 | $0.357 | $170 | Nov 1, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 780.71 | $0.613 | $478.58 | Nov 1, 2024 |
 Will a Democrat win the popular vote and a Republican win the Presidency?Yes | buy | 1.48K | $0.270 | $400 | Nov 1, 2024 |
 Russian nuke in space in 2024?No | sell | 20 | $0.930 | $18.61 | Nov 1, 2024 |
 U.S. arms embargo on Israel in 2024?No | sell | 249.79 | $0.880 | $219.82 | Nov 1, 2024 |
 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 35-64Yes | sell | 2K | $0.130 | $260 | Nov 1, 2024 |
| 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 105-154Yes | sell | 2.07K | $0.081 | $167.84 | Nov 1, 2024 |
| 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 15-34Yes | sell | 2K | $0.070 | $140 | Nov 1, 2024 |
| 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 5-14Yes | sell | 1K | $0.024 | $24 | Nov 1, 2024 |
| 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 1-4Yes | sell | 2.6K | $0.013 | $33.8 | Nov 1, 2024 |
 Will China invade Taiwan in 2024?No | sell | 300 | $0.950 | $285 | Nov 1, 2024 |
 Will Kamala go on Joe Rogan before election?No | sell | 500 | $0.965 | $482.5 | Nov 1, 2024 |
| 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 65-104Yes | sell | 1.5K | $0.210 | $315 | Nov 1, 2024 |
 Will a Democrat win Virginia Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 738.63 | $0.810 | $598.29 | Oct 30, 2024 |