Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 100 | $0.810 | $79.5 | -$1.5 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fetterman leaves the Democrats by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.110 | $1.1 | 1d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 50 |
| $0.533 |
| $43.23 |
| +$16.58 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 50 | $0.750 | $39.75 | +$2.25 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | No | 20 | $0.780 | $15.4 | -$0.2 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 20 | $0.730 | $14.2 | -$0.4 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 20 | $0.530 | $10.7 | +$0.1 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 20 | $0.449 | $10.07 | +$1.09 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.880 | $9.64 | +$0.84 |
 Will Trump speak to Mark Carney in September? | Yes | 10 | $0.830 | $9.59 | +$1.29 |
 NYPost cover features $Laptop by September 23? | No | 10 | $0.660 | $9.35 | +$2.75 |
 US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by December 31? | No | 30 | $0.320 | $8.7 | -$0.9 |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 12.05 | $0.830 | $7.77 | -$2.23 |
 Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2028? | Yes | 10 | $0.630 | $6.35 | +$0.05 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.150 | $4.3 | +$1.3 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 20 | $0.490 | $4.1 | -$5.7 |
 Will Marco Rubio be TIME Person of the Year 2026? | Yes | 65.99 | $0.090 | $3.37 | -$2.57 |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 20 | $0.157 | $3.23 | +$0.09 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026? | Yes | 9.09 | $0.220 | $2.77 | +$0.77 |
 Canada's population Up or Down this year? | Up | 10 | $0.530 | $1.25 | -$4.05 |
 Will Natalie Harp be the next White House Press Secretary? | Yes | 59.99 | $0.018 | $1.17 | +$0.09 |
| Fetterman leaves the Democrats by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.110 | $1.05 | -$0.05 |
 Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026? | Yes | 603.3 | $0.039 | $0.6 | -$22.79 |
 Will Chris Wright be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? | Yes | 116.78 | $0.012 | $0.41 | -$0.99 |
| buy |
| 12.05 |
| $0.830 |
| $10 |
| 1d ago |
| Will Trump speak to Mark Carney in September?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.830 | $8.3 | 1d ago |
 Will Trump say "Charlie" or "Kirk" during RNC Convention?Yes | sell | 11 | $0.920 | $10.12 | 1d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.880 | $8.8 | 2d ago |
| US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by December 31?No | buy | 30 | $0.320 | $9.6 | 2d ago |
| NYPost cover features $Laptop by September 23?No | buy | 10 | $0.660 | $6.6 | 3d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.810 | $81 | 3d ago |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.750 | $37.5 | 3d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.780 | $15.6 | 3d ago |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 20 | $0.730 | $14.6 | 3d ago |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.150 | $3 | 3d ago |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.530 | $10.6 | 3d ago |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.449 | $8.98 | 3d ago |
| Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during RNC Convention?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.630 | $12.6 | 4d ago |
| Will Trump say "Made in America" or "American Made" during remarks at Steel Across America?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.190 | $13.3 | 4d ago |
| Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2028?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.630 | $6.3 | 5d ago |
 Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000?No | buy | 10 | $0.140 | $1.4 | 5d ago |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.157 | $3.14 | 5d ago |
| Will Natalie Harp be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes | buy | 59.99 | $0.018 | $1.08 | 5d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.490 | $9.8 | 5d ago |
 Will it rain in New York, NY on September 5?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.280 | $2.8 | 6d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | sell | 624.95 | $0.994 | $621.2 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 28.98 | $0.984 | $28.53 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Will Blake Lively attend Taylor Swift's wedding?No | sell | 10 | $0.998 | $9.98 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No | sell | 297.1 | $0.993 | $295.16 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?Yes | buy | 6.74 | $0.533 | $3.59 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?No | buy | 10 | $0.590 | $5.9 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 30 | $0.993 | $29.79 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.220 | $2 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 28.99 | $0.690 | $20 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 30 | $0.820 | $24.6 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No | buy | 100 | $0.860 | $86 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 16.03 | $0.624 | $10 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jimmy Kimmel by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.920 | $9.2 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.150 | $1.5 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.610 | $6.1 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.450 | $4.5 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.260 | $15.6 | Jun 29, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | sell | 642.49 | $0.986 | $633.5 | Jun 28, 2026 |
 Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.578 | $5.78 | Jun 28, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump attend NATO Summit?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.989 | $9.89 | Jun 28, 2026 |
 Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027?No | buy | 25 | $0.740 | $18.5 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 40 | $0.660 | $26.4 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No | buy | 50 | $0.880 | $44 | Jun 28, 2026 |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.246 | $12.3 | Jun 28, 2026 |
 Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.160 | $16 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.460 | $9.2 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.540 | $54 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | sell | 214.16 | $0.974 | $208.59 | Jun 23, 2026 |