Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 3.08 | $0.650 | $2.51 | +$0.51 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?No | sell | 18.18 | $0.160 | $2.91 | 2d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 5.71 |
| $0.350 |
| $2.49 |
| +$0.49 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026? | No | 2.53 | $0.790 | $2.47 | +$0.47 |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? | Yes | 2.86 | $0.700 | $2.46 | +$0.46 |
 Will Andrew Scott win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 12.5 | $0.160 | $2.44 | +$0.44 |
 Will Styvenson Valentim win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte Senate election? | No | 2.47 | $0.810 | $2.39 | +$0.39 |
 Will Sílvia Cristina win the most votes in the 2026 Rondônia Senate election? | No | 3.64 | $0.550 | $2.29 | +$0.29 |
 Will Carlos Jordy win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro Senate election? | No | 2.6 | $0.770 | $2.29 | +$0.29 |
 Will Tom Pelphrey – “Task” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a drama series? | Yes | 4.76 | $0.420 | $2.21 | +$0.21 |
 Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary? | No | 2.63 | $0.760 | $2.17 | +$0.17 |
 Will Rogerio Carvalho win the second-most votes in the 2026 Sergipe Senate election? | No | 2.74 | $0.730 | $2.1 | +$0.1 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | No | 14.29 | $0.140 | $2.07 | +$0.07 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 2.38 | $0.840 | $2.04 | +$0.04 |
 Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? | Yes | 6.67 | $0.300 | $2.03 | +$0.03 |
 Will Arthur Lira win the most votes in the 2026 Alagoas Senate election? | Yes | 4.44 | $0.450 | $2.02 | +$0.02 |
 Will Indiana Hoosiers win the 2027 CFP National Championship? | Yes | 18.35 | $0.109 | $2.02 | +$0.02 |
| Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? | No | 2.82 | $0.710 | $1.96 | -$0.04 |
 Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 2.67 | $0.750 | $1.89 | -$0.11 |
 Will Cilliers Brink be the next mayor of Tshwane? | Yes | 2.82 | $0.710 | $1.75 | -$0.25 |
 Will Ruth González Silva win the 2027 San Luis Potosí Governor Election? | No | 4 | $0.500 | $1.74 | -$0.26 |
 Iran full airspace closure by December 31? | No | 2.44 | $0.820 | $1.72 | -$0.28 |
 Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? | No | 20 | $0.100 | $1.7 | -$0.3 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027? | Yes | 2.99 | $0.670 | $1.69 | -$0.31 |
 Will Humberto Costa win the second-most votes in the 2026 Pernambuco Senate election? | No | 2.9 | $0.690 | $1.67 | -$0.33 |
 Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? | Yes | 8.7 | $0.230 | $1.61 | -$0.39 |
| sell |
| 5.88 |
| $0.720 |
| $4.23 |
| 2d ago |
| Will “Beef” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding limited or anthology series?No | sell | 3.57 | $0.850 | $3.03 | 2d ago |
 Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?Yes | sell | 6.06 | $0.810 | $4.91 | 2d ago |
 Will claude-opus-5-high be the best AI model on September 7, 2026?No | sell | 4.08 | $0.999 | $4.08 | 2d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on August 27?No | buy | 2.74 | $0.730 | $2 | 14d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 27?No | buy | 2.7 | $0.740 | $2 | 14d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on August 27?No | buy | 2.44 | $0.820 | $2 | 14d ago |
 Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs 1WIN (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games European Qualifier Group StageTeam Nemesis | buy | 5 | $0.400 | $2 | 14d ago |
 LoL: NightBirds vs Meavedron (BO3) - Hitpoint Masters Regular SeasonMeavedron | buy | 29.41 | $0.068 | $2 | 14d ago |
 Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-08-27?Yes | buy | 2.53 | $0.790 | $2 | 14d ago |
| Will FK Partizan Beograd win on 2026-08-27?No | buy | 2.7 | $0.740 | $2 | 14d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on August 26?No | buy | 2.5 | $0.800 | $2 | 14d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on August 26?No | buy | 2.94 | $0.680 | $2 | 14d ago |
 Spread: Independiente del Valle (-1.5)CD Tolima | buy | 3.23 | $0.620 | $2 | 14d ago |
 Will AC Goianiense vs. Botafogo FC end in a draw?No | buy | 2.5 | $0.800 | $2 | 14d ago |
 Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-08-29?No | buy | 2.9 | $0.690 | $2 | 14d ago |
 Will Alianza FC win on 2026-08-24?No | buy | 2.67 | $0.750 | $2 | 14d ago |
 Sabah FK leading at halftime?Yes | buy | 5.13 | $0.390 | $2 | 15d ago |
 Will Cardiff City FC win on 2026-08-25?No | buy | 3.03 | $0.660 | $2 | 15d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on August 25?No | buy | 2.5 | $0.800 | $2 | 15d ago |
 Fed rate hike in 2026?No | buy | 4.55 | $0.440 | $2 | 15d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 2.38 | $0.840 | $2 | 15d ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 2.99 | $0.670 | $2 | 15d ago |
 FC Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5Under | buy | 5.88 | $0.340 | $2 | 15d ago |
| Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-08-30?Yes | buy | 5.13 | $0.390 | $2 | 15d ago |
 Will Darline Graham Nordone win York County in the South Carolina Special Senate Primary runoff?Yes | buy | 33.9 | $0.059 | $2 | 15d ago |
 Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.6 | $0.770 | $2 | 15d ago |
 Next Alibaba Qwen Plus (3.8+) released by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.7 | $0.740 | $2 | 15d ago |
| Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?Yes | buy | 6.06 | $0.330 | $2 | 15d ago |
 Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?Yes | buy | 3.17 | $0.630 | $2 | 15d ago |
 ChatGPT Outage by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 3.13 | $0.640 | $2 | 15d ago |
| Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No | buy | 2.67 | $0.750 | $2 | 15d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.7 | $0.540 | $2 | 15d ago |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?Yes | buy | 2.86 | $0.700 | $2 | 15d ago |
 Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on August 26?Yes | buy | 3.85 | $0.520 | $2 | 15d ago |
 Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.44 | $0.450 | $2 | 15d ago |
 Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from August 18 to August 25, 2026?No | buy | 5.41 | $0.370 | $2 | 15d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026?No | buy | 3.57 | $0.560 | $2 | 15d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on August 25?No | buy | 4.88 | $0.410 | $2 | 15d ago |
| Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.300 | $2 | 15d ago |
| Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?No | buy | 2.82 | $0.710 | $2 | 15d ago |
| Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 8.7 | $0.230 | $2 | 15d ago |
 Will AC Milan vs. Venezia FC end in a draw?No | buy | 2.47 | $0.810 | $2 | 15d ago |
| Nottingham Forest FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 1.5Over | buy | 2.67 | $0.750 | $2 | 15d ago |
| Will AC Milan vs. Venezia FC end in a draw?No | buy | 2.47 | $0.810 | $2 | 15d ago |
| Will US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Torino FC end in a draw?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.300 | $2 | 15d ago |
| Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)Athletic Club | buy | 4.08 | $0.490 | $2 | 15d ago |
| Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 4.5Under | buy | 2.63 | $0.760 | $2 | 15d ago |
| Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 3.5Over | buy | 4.55 | $0.440 | $2 | 15d ago |